Marvell Completes Acquisition of XConn, Expects $100M Revenue in 2028
Marvell Technology announced that it has completed its previously announced acquisition of XConn Technologies, a provider of advanced PCIe and CXL switching silicon. Marvell expects initial revenue contributions from XConn to begin in the third quarter of fiscal 2027, ramping to a $50M annualized run rate in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2027. In fiscal 2028, Marvell expects XConn to contribute $100M in revenue. The acquisition is expected to add approximately $25M in annual non-GAAP operating expenses to Marvell's current run rate. The completion of the acquisition reduced Marvell's cash balance by $325M, lowering expected interest income in future fiscal periods, which will result in a decrease in the company's Other Income by approximately $12M on an annual basis. In addition, the company issued equity to complete the acquisition which increased Marvell's diluted weighted-average shares outstanding by approximately 2.7M shares.
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- Expanded Collaboration: Meta has announced a new deal with Nvidia to deploy millions of AI chips across U.S. data centers, marking a significant upgrade in their technology partnership and is expected to further propel Meta's advancements in AI.
- Investment Commitment: Meta plans to invest $600 billion in the U.S. by 2028 for data centers and infrastructure, including the construction of its two largest AI data centers, Prometheus and Hyperion, demonstrating a long-term commitment to AI technology.
- New Technology Deployment: The partnership will see Meta independently deploy Nvidia's Grace CPUs for the first time, aimed at optimizing AI inference workloads, thereby enhancing its data processing capabilities and strengthening its competitive position in the market.
- Supply Chain Assurance: By collaborating closely with Nvidia, Meta secures a stable supply of Blackwell and Rubin GPUs, alleviating current chip shortages while also developing next-generation AI models to enhance its technological prowess.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya raised the 2030 market size forecast for AI data center systems from $1.2 trillion to $1.4 trillion, reflecting strong expectations for 2026 cloud capex, thereby boosting confidence in semiconductor stocks.
- Accelerated Growth Projections: The overall data center systems market is expected to grow at a 64% year-over-year rate in 2026, while AI systems are projected to achieve a remarkable 100% growth rate, indicating significant market expansion driven by new accelerator deployments.
- Reduced Supply Risks: Arya noted that the anticipated supply growth for High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM) and Chip-on-Wafer-on-Substrate (CoWoS) in 2026, projected at 75% and 70% year-over-year respectively, has largely been allocated, thus mitigating near-term supply risks and ensuring margin protection.
- Company-Specific Estimates Adjusted: For Nvidia, Arya raised revenue estimates by 7% for fiscal 2027, anticipating $0.5 trillion in sales visibility through 2026, while also adjusting Marvell's revenue estimates post-XConn acquisition, although visibility on next-gen programs remains limited until 2027.
- Market Value Loss: In 2026, major tech companies including Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia, Apple, and Alphabet saw a combined market value drop of over $1.3 trillion due to a reassessment of AI spending, indicating investor caution regarding elevated capital expenditure plans.
- Semiconductor Industry Outlook: Despite market volatility, the semiconductor sector remains robust, with global chip sales reaching $791.7 billion in 2025 and projected to grow by 26% in 2026, positioning the industry to approach $1 trillion in annual revenue.
- Accelerating Data Center Demand: SIA CEO John Neuffer highlighted that increasing demand for data centers is driving growth in the semiconductor industry, while also noting that cyclical fluctuations are likely to persist, reflecting the dynamic nature of the market.
- Nvidia Earnings Focus: Nvidia is set to report earnings on February 25, 2026, and despite recent stock weakness, analysts like Jim Cramer have dubbed it the “GOAT,” emphasizing its competitive position and resilience in the market.
- Market Volatility Expected: The ongoing rotation among investors suggests that market volatility will persist, and while Marvell Technology's recent pullback may seem excessive, its growth potential in the AI sector remains promising.
- Investment Recommendation: Although Marvell Technology was not included in the current top stock picks by The Motley Fool Stock Advisor, its unique position in AI technology, particularly in relation to partnerships with Nvidia and Intel, warrants attention.
- Historical Returns Comparison: Data from The Motley Fool indicates that previously recommended stocks like Netflix and Nvidia yielded returns of 414,554% and 1,120,663% respectively, highlighting the significant long-term investment value of their recommendations.
- Investor Community: Joining The Motley Fool's investor community provides access to the latest top 10 stock recommendations; while Marvell Technology is not among them, its potential market performance continues to attract investor interest.
- Market Volatility Analysis: All five stocks discussed have experienced varying degrees of pullback, and this volatility is expected to continue in the foreseeable future as investors rotate their assets.
- Overdone Sell-off Assessment: Despite the market pressure, the sell-off of certain stocks appears overdone, and analysts believe these stocks remain attractive for inclusion in investment portfolios, particularly Marvell Technology.
- Marvell Technology Growth Potential: As an AI-focused company, Marvell Technology has gone through significant ups and downs, yet its growth trajectory is still viewed positively, indicating potential for long-term investment.
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- Chipmaker Rebound: Applied Materials (AMAT) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $2.38, surpassing the consensus of $2.21, leading to a 10% stock price increase that helped lift the broader market, indicating strong recovery potential in tech stocks.
- Inflation Data Impact: The US January CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, below the expected 2.5%, which may prompt the Fed to continue cutting rates, with the 10-year T-note yield falling to 4.05%, providing support for the market.
- Earnings Performance: Over two-thirds of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 76% exceeding expectations, and Q4 earnings growth is projected at 8.4%, demonstrating corporate resilience and restoring market confidence.
- Market Sentiment Fluctuations: Despite the overall market rise, concerns over AI persist, putting pressure on certain stocks, particularly in tech and logistics, reflecting investor caution regarding future economic prospects.










