Lucid and Nio Deliveries Surge Significantly
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 15 2026
0mins
Should l Buy NIO?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Lucid Delivery Growth: Lucid delivered 15,841 vehicles in 2025, marking a 55% increase year-over-year, with over one-third of deliveries occurring in Q4, indicating strong momentum in the EV market despite ongoing profitability challenges.
- Production Capacity Boost: Lucid's Q4 production surged 116% sequentially and 148% year-over-year, demonstrating the company's ability to effectively ramp up production of its newly launched Gravity SUV after resolving bottlenecks, setting the stage for future delivery records.
- Nio Delivery Milestone: Nio delivered over 326,000 vehicles in Q4 2025, a nearly 72% increase year-over-year, achieving a new monthly delivery record in December, showcasing its robust growth potential in the EV market despite fierce price competition.
- Improved Profit Outlook: Nio is expected to achieve an adjusted operating profit between $100 million and $172 million for Q4 2025, marking a significant step towards proving its ability to achieve economies of scale and future profitability, although it still faces risks associated with its battery swap network strategy.
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Analyst Views on NIO
Wall Street analysts forecast NIO stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 5.780
Low
4.00
Averages
5.90
High
7.00
Current: 5.780
Low
4.00
Averages
5.90
High
7.00
About NIO
NIO Inc is a holding company mainly engaged in the design, development, manufacturing and sales of smart electric vehicles. The Company offers premium smart electric vehicles under the NIO brand, family-oriented smart electric vehicles through the ONVO brand, and small smart high-end electric cars with the FIREFLY brand. The Company focuses on building in-house capabilities including battery swapping, assisted and intelligent driving, digital technologies, electric powertrain and battery, vehicle engineering and design, among others, to control the design and development of the vehicle software and hardware architecture and the critical components.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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See More
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- Strong Market Performance: The NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator rises by 433.1 to 24,331.25, indicating positive investor sentiment that may suggest a strong opening performance.
- Active Stock Trading: ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) increases by 2.12 to $45.20 with a trading volume of 23,618,398 shares, representing a 158.29% rise from its 52-week low, reflecting strong demand for tech stocks in the market.
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See More
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- Market Performance Decline: On Friday, Asian equities traded in the US saw a significant drop in American Depositary Receipts (ADRs), reflecting investor concerns about market outlook, which could lead to capital outflows and diminished market confidence.
- Investor Sentiment Weakens: Heightened global economic uncertainty has negatively impacted investor confidence in Asian companies, potentially resulting in reduced trading volumes in the coming weeks, thereby affecting overall market liquidity.
- Sector Impact Notable: The decline in ADRs significantly affects sectors such as technology and consumer goods, which may face negative repercussions on their financing capabilities and market valuations, further exacerbating market volatility.
- Uncertain Future Outlook: With the ongoing low market sentiment, analysts anticipate more volatility in the short term, urging investors to exercise caution in response to potential market risks.
See More
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- Chip Production Growth: Nio has achieved rapid scaling in its core chip portfolio, with the Yangjian LiDAR chip exceeding 400,000 units and the Shenji NX9031 smart driving chip surpassing 150,000 units, reflecting strong vehicle demand and an improving profitability outlook.
- Cost Efficiency Improvement: CEO William Li stated that the in-house chips are delivering cost efficiencies, with the Yangjian chip reducing per-vehicle costs by hundreds of yuan while enhancing performance, indicating that the company's significant R&D investments are driving long-term margin expansion.
- Domestic Chip Sourcing Goals: Nio aims for 35% to 40% of its automotive semiconductors to be sourced domestically by 2027, addressing rising AI computing demands and supply chain volatility while standardizing its chip ecosystem to improve scale efficiency.
- Strong ES8 Demand: Nio is set to deliver its 80,000th third-generation ES8, which accounted for over half of February deliveries, with first-quarter delivery expectations ranging from 80,000 to 83,000 vehicles, showcasing a strong recovery in orders following the Chinese New Year slowdown.
See More
Nio's Intelligent Driving User Growth Exceeds 200%
- User Reliance Deepens: Nio's intelligent driving users have seen time spent increase by over 200%, with high-usage drivers growing by more than 100%, indicating a strong reliance on the intelligent driving system that enhances the company's competitive edge in the market.
- Strong ES8 Delivery Momentum: Nio is set to deliver its 80,000th third-generation ES8, which accounted for over 54% of total deliveries in February with 11,260 units sold, maintaining its top position in China's large SUV market for three consecutive months, reflecting robust market demand and brand influence.
- First Profit Boosts Confidence: Nio achieved its first-ever operating profit of 807.3 million yuan in Q4 2025, primarily driven by higher-margin ES8 deliveries, which has bolstered investor confidence in the company's future growth and contributed to a rise in stock price.
- Optimistic Market Sentiment: On Stocktwits, retail sentiment for Nio is 'bullish' with a 300% surge in 24-hour message volume, indicating strong investor optimism about Nio's future developments, further propelling its stock price up 23% year-to-date.
See More
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- Market Indicator Surge: The NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator rises by 266.97 points to 24,647.7, indicating a positive shift in market sentiment that may attract more investors to tech stocks.
- Active Stock Performance: CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. (CTMX) increases by $2.34 to $7.02 with a trading volume of 27,793,236 shares, reflecting optimistic short-term prospects for the company.
- ETF Trading Dynamics: ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) climbs $1.46 to $47.39 with 6,584,506 shares traded, representing a 170.8% increase from its 52-week low, showcasing strong investor interest in tech stocks.
- Earnings Forecast Revisions: Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) rises $5.795 to $121.18, with an expected EPS of $0.22 for the fiscal quarter ending September 2026, indicating market confidence in its future profitability.
See More
HSBC Upgrades Nio to Buy, Target $6.80
- First Profitable Quarter: Nio reported its first profitable quarter with revenue of 34.65 billion yuan ($4.95 billion), exceeding estimates of 33.25 billion yuan, and an adjusted EPS of 0.29 yuan, indicating a significant improvement in profitability that may attract more investor interest.
- Wall Street Optimism: HSBC upgraded Nio from Hold to Buy with a target price of $6.80, implying a 16% upside, reflecting strong conviction in Nio's 2026 volume growth and earnings improvement trajectory, which could further drive the stock price upward.
- Retail Trader Sentiment Shift: Following the earnings report, retail trader sentiment turned ‘extremely bullish’, with 62% of users expecting the stock to break above $6, indicating increased confidence in Nio's future performance that may trigger more buying activity.
- Delivery Volume Growth: Nio achieved vehicle deliveries of 124,807 units in Q4 2022, a 72% year-over-year increase, with total deliveries for the year rising 47% to 326,028 units, and expects Q1 2023 deliveries of 80,000 to 83,000 units, showcasing strong market demand and growth potential.
See More
