Look Under The Hood: RWK Has 11% Upside
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jul 16 2025
0mins
Should l Buy TMHC?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Analysis: The Invesco S&P MidCap 400 Revenue ETF (RWK) has an implied analyst target price of $133.38, indicating an 11.43% upside from its current trading price of $119.70.
Stock Performance Insights: Notable underlying holdings such as Taylor Morrison Home Corp, Blackbaud, Inc., and Hancock Whitney Corp show potential upsides of 14.90%, 12.78%, and 12.50% respectively, raising questions about the validity of analysts' targets amidst market conditions.
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Analyst Views on TMHC
Wall Street analysts forecast TMHC stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 60.350
Low
62.00
Averages
74.80
High
95.00
Current: 60.350
Low
62.00
Averages
74.80
High
95.00
About TMHC
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation is a homebuilder and developer. The Company's principal business is residential homebuilding and the development of lifestyle communities with operations across 12 states. The Company provides an assortment of homes across a range of price points to appeal to an array of consumer groups. It designs, builds and sells single and multi-family detached and attached homes in traditionally high growth markets for entry level, move-up, and resort lifestyle buyers. It operates under various brand names, including Taylor Morrison, Darling Homes Collection by Taylor Morrison, and Esplanade. It also has a Build-to-Rent homebuilding business which operates under the Yardly brand name. It owns and operates commercial space, retail, and multi-family properties under the Urban Form brand name. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides financial services and title services. The Company, through its insurance agency, provides homeowner’s insurance policies.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Homebuilder Earnings Beat: Taylor Morrison Home reported first-quarter 2026 earnings that exceeded Wall Street expectations, leading to a 5.5% stock increase, a performance that not only boosts market confidence in its competitiveness in a challenging housing market but may also drive future sales growth and market share expansion.
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- Revenue Performance: Taylor Morrison delivered 2,268 homes in Q1 at an average price of $578,000, generating approximately $1.3 billion in revenue, indicating stable performance in the market.
- Margin Exceeds Expectations: The adjusted home closings gross margin reached 20.6%, surpassing the company's guidance of 20%, reflecting positive progress in cost control and pricing strategies.
- Order and Backlog Growth: The company increased its backlog by 23% to 3,465 homes, indicating strong demand for to-be-built homes, despite a 14% year-over-year decline in net orders.
- Strong Liquidity Position: At the end of the quarter, Taylor Morrison had $1.6 billion in liquidity, including $653 million in cash and no outstanding borrowings, ensuring financial stability amid uncertain market conditions.
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- Earnings Highlights: Taylor Morrison reported a Q1 GAAP EPS of $1.01, beating expectations by $0.15, indicating strong profitability despite a 26.8% year-over-year revenue decline to $1.39 billion, which still surpassed market expectations by $60 million.
- Delivery and Sales Performance: The company closed 2,268 homes in Q1, generating $1.3 billion in revenue with an average sales price of $578,000, demonstrating resilience in sales amid market challenges.
- Sales Orders and Backlog: Net sales orders totaled 2,914 homes at an average selling price of $603,000, with a backlog of 3,465 homes valued at $2.3 billion, indicating significant sales potential in the coming months.
- Future Guidance: The company anticipates around 370 communities by Q2 2026, with home closings projected between 2,500 and 2,600, and an expected average closing price of approximately $575,000, reflecting confidence in market recovery.
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- Profit Decline: Taylor Morrison reported a net profit of $98.62 million for Q1, translating to earnings per share of $1.01, which is a significant drop from $2.07 in the same period last year, indicating challenges in market conditions and weakened profitability.
- Adjusted Earnings: Excluding certain items, the adjusted earnings stood at $109.21 million, or $1.12 per share, showing some resilience despite the overall decline in profitability during a tough market environment.
- Revenue Drop: The company's revenue fell by 26.8% to $1.387 billion from $1.896 billion last year, highlighting the significant impact of weak market demand on sales performance.
- Uncertain Market Outlook: With both revenue and profit declining, Taylor Morrison faces increased market pressure, necessitating effective strategies to navigate industry challenges and restore profitability moving forward.
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- Financial Performance: In Q1 2026, Taylor Morrison reported a net income of $99 million and diluted earnings per share of $1.01, with adjusted net income reaching $109 million, reflecting robust growth under its diversified strategy.
- Deliveries and Sales: The company delivered 2,268 homes at an average price of $578,000, achieving an adjusted gross margin of 20.6%, despite a 26.8% decline in revenue year-over-year, indicating strong profitability.
- Market Demand: The proportion of to-be-built orders increased to 38% from 28% in the previous quarter, signaling a recovery in market demand, while backlog grew 23% to 3,465 homes, suggesting future sales potential.
- Strategic Investment: The company invested $503 million in land and development, with plans for approximately $2 billion in land investments in 2026, aiming to drive long-term growth by optimizing its product offerings and target consumer segments.
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