Latin American Stocks Make a Comeback, But Challenges Lie Ahead.
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 12 2026
0mins
Should l Buy ITUB?
Source: Barron's
- Current Situation: Latin America is experiencing a significant moment, marked by potential opportunities and developments.
- Future Challenges: The region may face critical challenges ahead, hinging on several uncertain factors.
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Analyst Views on ITUB
Wall Street analysts forecast ITUB stock price to fall
2 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 8.450
Low
8.00
Averages
8.00
High
8.00
Current: 8.450
Low
8.00
Averages
8.00
High
8.00
About ITUB
Itau Unibanco Holding SA, formerly Banco Frances e Brasileiro SA is a Brazil-based provider of diversified banking and nonbanking services and products. The Company’s activities are divided into three business segments: Retail Business, Wholesale Business, and Activities with the Market and Corporations. The Retail Business segment’s offering includes personal loans, credit cards, payroll deducted loans, vehicle financing, mortgage loans, insurance, pension plan and premium bond products. The Wholesale Business segment offers services and products to private banking clients, such as asset management, capital market solutions, corporate and investment banking activities. The Activities with the Market and Corporations Business segment manages interest income associated with the Company’s capital surplus, subordinated debt surplus and the net balance of tax credits and debits. Itau Unibanco Holding serves individuals and corporate clients.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Q1 Revenue Growth: Itaú Unibanco reported Q1 revenue of R$46.82 billion, reflecting a 4.5% year-over-year increase, indicating the bank's resilience amid economic fluctuations and bolstering investor confidence.
- Credit Portfolio Outlook: The bank anticipates a credit portfolio growth of 5.5% to 9.5% in Brazil for 2026, suggesting an optimistic outlook on market demand that could drive future revenue growth.
- Profit Margin Expectations: Expected growth in financial margin with clients ranges from 5.0% to 9.0%, while market financial margins are projected between R$2.5 billion and R$5.5 billion, directly impacting the bank's profitability and shareholder returns.
- Cost Control Strategy: Non-interest expenses are expected to grow between 1.5% and 5.5%, alongside an effective tax rate forecasted between 29.5% and 32.5%, reflecting the bank's cautious approach to cost management, which helps maintain profitability.
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- Earnings Report: Itau Unibanco reported a net income of $2.27 billion for Q1, with earnings per share at $0.20, falling short of Wall Street's expectation of $0.22, indicating pressure on its profitability.
- Revenue Performance: The bank's total revenue was $8.89 billion, with net revenue after interest expenses at $8.67 billion, both missing market forecasts, reflecting challenges in revenue growth.
- Market Reaction: The earnings miss may lead to investor concerns regarding Itau Unibanco's future growth prospects, potentially putting downward pressure on its stock price and affecting market confidence.
- Analyst Insights: Analysts express concern over Itau Unibanco's profitability, suggesting that the bank needs to implement effective measures to improve financial performance in order to regain investor trust and enhance market competitiveness.
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- Earnings Announcement: Itau Unibanco (ITUB) is scheduled to announce its Q1 2023 earnings on May 5, after market close, drawing significant market attention.
- Earnings Expectations: The consensus EPS estimate stands at $0.21, indicating a fundamental confidence in the bank's profitability among analysts.
- Revenue Estimate Changes: While there has been one upward revision in EPS estimates, revenue estimates have faced two downward revisions, reflecting concerns about the bank's revenue growth.
- Market Reaction: As the earnings release approaches, investors will closely monitor Itau Unibanco's performance to assess its standing in the current economic climate and future growth potential.
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- Price Fluctuation Analysis: SPEM's 52-week low is $34.38 and high is $51.355, with the latest trade at $50.44, indicating stability near the high point, which may attract investor interest in its technical performance.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the latest stock price to the 200-day moving average provides investors with deeper insights into market trends, enabling better timing for investment decisions.
- ETF Trading Mechanism: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on demand, reflecting market liquidity and changes in investor sentiment.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding for ETFs helps identify those experiencing notable inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), assessing their impact on underlying assets and overall market sentiment.
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- Current Situation: Latin America is experiencing a significant moment, marked by potential opportunities and developments.
- Future Challenges: The region may face critical challenges ahead, hinging on several uncertain factors.
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- Earnings Per Share: Itaú Unibanco reported a GAAP EPS of R$4.01 for Q4 2025, indicating the bank's ability to maintain stable profitability despite a year-over-year decline.
- Slight Revenue Decline: The bank's revenue for the quarter was R$167.78 billion, reflecting a 0.2% decrease year-over-year, which highlights the challenges and pressures faced by the banking sector amid changing economic conditions.
- Market Reaction: Despite the slight revenue drop, the market maintains a neutral stance on Itaú Unibanco's overall performance, indicating cautious optimism among investors regarding its future growth potential.
- Future Outlook: With a slow economic recovery, Itaú Unibanco may need to implement additional strategies to enhance revenue growth, particularly in maintaining its market share within a highly competitive financial landscape.
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