Kemper Q4 Earnings Miss Expectations Significantly
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 6h ago
0mins
Should l Buy KMPR?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Shortfall: Kemper reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.25, missing expectations by $0.61, indicating significant pressure on profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Decline: The company generated $1.13 billion in revenue, a 5.0% year-over-year decrease, falling short of market expectations by $90 million, reflecting weak business growth that may lead to poor future financial performance.
- Stock Price Reaction: Shares fell 6.65% in after-hours trading, indicating a strong negative reaction from investors to the earnings report, which may impact the company's ability to raise capital going forward.
- Analyst Attention: Kemper's financial performance has drawn significant attention from analysts, particularly regarding its quant rating and historical earnings data, potentially prompting investors to reassess their investment strategies.
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Analyst Views on KMPR
Wall Street analysts forecast KMPR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KMPR is 47.50 USD with a low forecast of 35.00 USD and a high forecast of 60.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
1 Hold
2 Sell
Moderate Sell
Current: 38.090
Low
35.00
Averages
47.50
High
60.00
Current: 38.090
Low
35.00
Averages
47.50
High
60.00
About KMPR
Kemper Corporation is a diversified insurance holding company. The Company is engaged, through its subsidiaries, in the property and casualty insurance and life insurance businesses. It is engaged in providing personalized solutions to individuals, families, and businesses through its Kemper Auto and Kemper Life brands. The Company conducts its operations through two operating segments: Specialty Property & Casualty Insurance, and Life Insurance. The Specialty Property & Casualty Insurance segment include specialty automobile and commercial automobile insurance to consumers. These products are distributed primarily through independent agents and brokers. The Specialty Property & Casualty Insurance segment, based in Chicago, Illinois, conducts business in 16 states under the Kemper Auto brand. The Life Insurance segment offers individual life, accident, supplemental health and property insurance. The Company conducts its operations solely in the United States.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Poor Financial Performance: Kemper reported a net loss of $8 million or $0.13 per share in Q4, despite an adjusted net operating income of $14.6 million or $0.25 per share, highlighting challenges in restoring profitability, particularly in California and Florida markets.
- Increased Liability Limits: California raised minimum liability insurance limits for the first time since 1967, doubling bodily injury limits and tripling property damage limits, which complicates loss cost predictions and adds financial pressure on the company.
- Restructuring and Product Innovation: The company is undergoing restructuring to enhance operational efficiency and plans to launch new personal auto products in non-California states, aiming for over 50% of its customer base to come from these regions to achieve geographic diversification and restore profitability.
- Cautious Market Outlook: While management expresses optimism about future restructuring and product launches, analysts remain skeptical about the speed of profitability recovery in California, especially given the ongoing regulatory changes and rising claims severity, necessitating close attention to profitability restoration in the short term.
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- Earnings Shortfall: Kemper reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.25, missing expectations by $0.61, indicating significant pressure on profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Decline: The company generated $1.13 billion in revenue, a 5.0% year-over-year decrease, falling short of market expectations by $90 million, reflecting weak business growth that may lead to poor future financial performance.
- Stock Price Reaction: Shares fell 6.65% in after-hours trading, indicating a strong negative reaction from investors to the earnings report, which may impact the company's ability to raise capital going forward.
- Analyst Attention: Kemper's financial performance has drawn significant attention from analysts, particularly regarding its quant rating and historical earnings data, potentially prompting investors to reassess their investment strategies.
See More
- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: Kemper Corporation's Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.32 per share, payable on March 3, 2026, to shareholders of record as of February 17, 2026, aimed at enhancing investor confidence.
- Robust Asset Base: With approximately $12 billion in assets, Kemper provides personalized insurance solutions through its Kemper Auto and Kemper Life brands, showcasing its strong position and influence in the insurance industry.
- Extensive Customer Base: Serving over 4.6 million policies with 24,200 agents and brokers, Kemper demonstrates broad market coverage and customer trust, further solidifying its market share.
- Strong Employee Team: With 7,500 associates dedicated to meeting the ever-changing needs of customers, Kemper reflects its commitment and capability in delivering high-quality customer service.
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- Quarterly Dividend Declaration: Kemper Corporation's Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.32 per share, payable on March 3, 2026, to shareholders of record as of February 17, 2026, reflecting the company's ongoing commitment to shareholder returns.
- Robust Asset Base: With approximately $12 billion in assets, Kemper stands as one of the nation's leading specialized insurers, dedicated to providing affordable and easy-to-use personalized insurance solutions for individuals, families, and businesses, enhancing its competitive position in the market.
- Extensive Customer Base: Kemper serves over 4.6 million policies and is supported by 24,200 agents and brokers, along with 7,500 associates, ensuring the ability to meet the ever-changing needs of its customers, thereby improving customer satisfaction and loyalty.
- Diverse Brand Portfolio: Through its Kemper Auto and Kemper Life brands, the company not only offers auto insurance but also expands into the life insurance sector, further strengthening its comprehensive service capabilities and market share in the insurance industry.
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- Oversold Signal: Kemper Corp's stock price fell to $38.08 per share on Tuesday, with an RSI reading of 29.5, indicating that recent selling pressure may be waning, thus providing potential buying opportunities for investors.
- Market Comparison: Compared to the S&P 500 ETF's current RSI of 59.5, KMPR's oversold condition may attract bullish investors who see this as a chance for a rebound.
- Historical Performance: KMPR's 52-week low is $33.91 and high is $72.25, with the last trade at $38.29, illustrating the stock's volatility within its historical range, which could influence investor decisions.
- Investor Sentiment: Despite the current oversold status, investors should carefully assess market sentiment and fundamentals to determine whether to enter at this time, avoiding potential risks.
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- Insider Buying Signal: Kemper Corp Director Stuart B. Parker purchased 25,000 shares at $36.82 each on November 10, investing a total of $920,500, indicating strong confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Stock Performance: As of last Friday, KMPR shares traded as low as $39.61, representing a 7.6% increase over Parker's purchase price, and since then, he has earned $0.32 per share in dividends, resulting in an overall return of 8.4%.
- Valuation Appeal: The DividendRank report highlighted that Kemper Corp exhibits attractive valuation and strong profitability metrics within its coverage universe, suggesting that its stock is a valuable investment in the current market.
- Dividend History: Kemper Corp pays an annualized dividend of $1.28 per share, with the most recent ex-dividend date on November 17, 2025, and its robust dividend history provides investors with confidence in the likelihood of continued payouts.
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