Kaspi.kz Plans to Distribute KZT 850 Quarterly Dividend per ADS
CEO Mikhail Lomtadze said, "Two topics have dominated my conversations with investors over the last year: our progress in Turkiye and our approach to dividends. I want to address these and the other questions we hear most often, so that you better understand the context behind the decisions we're taking. Both Turkiye and dividends connect to a single ambition: to build Kaspi.kz into a 100 million user company. We believe that every strategic decision we make - the launch of new products and services, investments in Turkiye, and dividend policy - is anchored to this goal...We have always maintained that we will prioritize high-impact international opportunities where we believe we can create long-term value. Following the acquisition of Hepsiburada, we anticipate that we can now balance targeted growth investments and resume dividend distributions to our shareholders. Subject to shareholder approval, we intend to pay a quarterly dividend of KZT 850 per ADS. Based on the business's current performance and cash generation, we believe this is sustainable for the remainder of 2026. We believe that our progress in Turkiye has been substantial. Over the past year, we have tested and validated key elements of our operating model, strengthening our conviction that it can work at scale in Turkiye. We are prioritizing our investments and efforts to increase orders, consumers and engagement through better personalisation, more relevant search, faster delivery, broader payment options, and improved marketing efficiency. Next-day shipment, which now covers around 63% of orders, up from around 47% in 4Q 2024 is a good example of the changes we're making."
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on KSPI
About KSPI
About the author

- Earnings Announcement Date: Kaspi.kz is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings report on March 2 before market open, with investors keenly awaiting performance insights to gauge future growth potential.
- EPS Expectations: The consensus EPS estimate stands at $3.15, reflecting investor expectations for the company's profitability, yet it lacks strong upward momentum in revisions.
- Revenue Forecast Analysis: The consensus revenue estimate is $2.33 billion, with one upward and one downward revision in the past three months, indicating a cautious market sentiment regarding the company's revenue growth.
- Estimate Revision Trends: Over the last three months, EPS estimates have seen no upward revisions and two downward adjustments, suggesting a decline in analyst confidence regarding Kaspi.kz's future earnings potential.
- Rating Adjustment: Susquehanna downgraded Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz (NASDAQ:KSPI) from a Positive to Neutral rating and reduced the price target from $130 to $87, indicating a cautious market sentiment despite a potential upside of 17%.
- Optimistic Outlook: Citi reaffirmed a Buy rating on January 15 with a price target of $100, reflecting long-term confidence in Kaspi.kz, even as market sentiment remains mixed.
- Financial Report Announcement: Kaspi.kz is set to disclose its financial report on March 2, 2026, for the year ending December 31, 2025, with management emphasizing that 2025 will be an “investment year” to lay the groundwork for future growth.
- Market Sentiment Analysis: Currently, 43% of analysts are bullish on Kaspi.kz, 43% are neutral, and 14% are bearish, with a median price target of $89.63, indicating a 20.36% upside potential and reflecting the complex views on its future performance.
- Executive Shakeup Impact: PayPal's CEO Alex Chris is replaced after less than two years, resulting in a nearly 20% drop in stock price following earnings reports, indicating strong market reaction to management changes that could undermine investor confidence.
- Performance Decline Warning: While PayPal reported a 9% increase in total payment volume, a 5% drop in transactions per active account highlights challenges in user growth and profitability, potentially affecting future market competitiveness.
- New CEO Challenges: The appointment of Enrique Lores raises concerns due to his lackluster performance at HP, leading investors to question his ability to effectively drive PayPal's transformation, which may impact the company's strategic direction.
- Market Valuation Slump: With a current P/E ratio around 8.5, significantly below market averages, PayPal is seen as a value investment opportunity; however, investor concerns about future growth may lead to further stock price pressure.
- Executive Shakeup Impact: PayPal's CEO Alex Chris is replaced after less than two years, leading to a nearly 20% drop in stock price, indicating investor unease about the company's future direction amidst challenges in the payment processing sector.
- Performance Decline Warning: Despite a 5% drop in transaction volume over the past year, PayPal is focusing on its most profitable products, yet skepticism about new CEO Enrique Lores' capabilities has resulted in significant stock volatility.
- Investor Confidence Eroded: PayPal's stock has fallen approximately 27% during Chris's tenure and nearly 43% from its peak, reflecting a decline in investor trust in management, particularly in a fiercely competitive market.
- Uncertain Future Outlook: Although PayPal's current P/E ratio is just 8.5, significantly below market levels, some analysts view this as a potential value trap, while others believe there are still growth opportunities under new leadership.
- Price Fluctuation: KSPI's 52-week low stands at $70.61, with a high of $111.45, and the current trading price at $83.25 indicates stability within this range, which may influence investor confidence and market expectations.
- Technical Indicators: The current price of $83.25 is above the 200-day moving average, suggesting a potential upward trend in the short term, attracting the attention of technical analysts and possibly triggering more buy signals.
- Market Sentiment: Despite fluctuations within the 52-week range, the current price reflects a degree of market support, potentially indicating investor confidence in the company's fundamentals, which could impact future investment decisions.
- Investor Focus: As the stock price approaches its 52-week high, investors may closely monitor market dynamics to assess KSPI's future performance and potential investment opportunities.

- Acquisition Agreement Signed: On March 27, 2025, Kaspi.kz signed a share purchase agreement with Rabobank Group to acquire its Turkish subsidiary, with the transaction expected to close in mid-2026, marking a strategic expansion into international markets.
- Regulatory Approvals Pending: The completion of this transaction is subject to obtaining necessary regulatory approvals and satisfying all customary closing conditions, which not only affects the timeline but may also impact market confidence in Kaspi.kz in the short term.
- Market Position Enhancement: By acquiring Rabobank A.Ş., Kaspi.kz will further solidify its market position in Turkey, enhancing its competitiveness in the e-commerce and fintech sectors, particularly in collaboration with Hepsiburada.
- Innovation-Driven Growth: Kaspi.kz is committed to driving innovation through its two-sided Super App model, and this acquisition is expected to provide additional resources to develop digital products that meet user needs, further boosting the company's profitability and market share growth.









