Just How Serious Was the DeepSeek Selloff? Money Pros Weigh In.
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 29 2025
0mins
Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: Barron's
Market Reaction to DeepSeek's AI Development: U.S. tech stocks, particularly Nvidia, experienced significant declines following the announcement of DeepSeek's cost-effective AI model, raising concerns about the future of expensive semiconductor manufacturers and the potential for increased competition in the AI sector.
Investor Perspectives on Market Dynamics: Wealth managers expressed mixed views; some see the market reaction as an overreaction while others emphasize the importance of diversification in investment strategies, highlighting that rapid changes in technology can impact stock valuations unpredictably.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 175.200
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 175.200
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms, and DGX Cloud computing services. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Massive Order Backlog: Huang noted that Nvidia had a backlog of $500 billion in orders for 2026, with an additional $500 billion projected for 2027, providing robust support for future revenue.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Nvidia generated $215.9 billion in revenue for the fiscal year 2026, reflecting a 65% year-over-year increase, demonstrating strong demand in the AI market and ample room for future growth.
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- Amazon's Investment Surge: Amazon plans to increase capital expenditures to $200 billion by 2026, a 50% rise from last year, aiming to catch up with competitors despite risks of losing market share, which could set the stage for future growth amid supply chain constraints.
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- Strong Sales Outlook: CEO Jensen Huang expects Nvidia to achieve at least $1 trillion in sales from Blackwell and Vera Rubin chips by 2027, indicating the company's ongoing growth potential in the AI sector.
- Massive Order Backlog: Huang noted that Nvidia had a backlog of $500 billion in orders for 2026, with an additional $500 billion projected for 2027, providing robust support for future revenue.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Nvidia generated $215.9 billion in revenue for the fiscal year 2026, reflecting a 65% year-over-year increase, demonstrating strong demand in the AI market and ample room for future growth.
- Reasonable Valuation: Despite its large market cap, Nvidia's forward P/E ratio stands at 21 times, which is an increase from last April's lows, suggesting that Nvidia's stock remains attractive amid ongoing earnings growth.
See More
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- Sales Forecast Surge: Nvidia anticipates lifetime sales of its Blackwell and Rubin graphics processing units to reach $1 trillion, doubling last year's estimate of $500 billion, indicating robust demand that could drive stock price increases.
- Data Center Spending Growth: Global data center capital expenditures are projected to rise to $3 trillion to $4 trillion annually by the end of 2030, and with ongoing AI spending trends, this forecast may not be far-fetched, presenting significant market opportunities for Nvidia.
- AI Spending Trends: Despite investor skepticism regarding the ROI of AI spending, major tech companies like Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet are expected to spend around $650 billion this year on data center construction and chip costs, positioning Nvidia as a primary beneficiary.
- Market Rebound Expectations: Analysts believe Nvidia's stock is poised to hit new highs in the coming years, especially if major AI hyperscalers continue to ramp up spending in 2027, signaling to investors that Nvidia's growth potential remains strong.
See More
Surging Oil Prices Trigger Market Jitters
- Surging Oil Prices: Oil prices have surged past $100 per barrel for the first time in 2026, marking a significant increase from below $60 at the start of the year, which has raised investor concerns about potential impacts on economic growth and profitability across various sectors.
- Supply Disruption Impact: Approximately 20% of oil supply has been disrupted for about nine days due to the largest supply disruption in history, with no spare capacity available to alleviate the situation, intensifying fears of sustained high oil prices.
- S&P 500 Changes: The S&P 500 index has undergone changes, removing four companies including Match Group, while adding four others like Vertiv, reflecting strong demand for AI and connectivity infrastructure and indicating a shift in industry trends.
- Hims & Hers Stock Surge: Hims & Hers stock jumped significantly following an unexpected partnership with Novo Nordisk, resolving a legal dispute and allowing the sale of FDA-approved weight loss drugs, which is expected to boost revenue and improve market sentiment.
See More
Alphabet Outshines Nvidia in AI Market Dynamics
- Market Performance Comparison: Year-to-date, Alphabet's stock has declined by 6.6%, while Nvidia has seen a 6.38% drop; despite both facing challenges, Alphabet's overall performance in the AI market appears stronger, indicating potential investment value.
- AI Market Competition: Alphabet is not only competing with OpenAI and Anthropic in the software domain but is also enhancing its market position by partnering with Broadcom to develop tensor processing units (TPUs), directly challenging Nvidia's GPUs.
- Increased Hardware Replaceability: With Anthropic planning to bring 1 gigawatt of TPU computing capacity online by the end of 2026, it indicates that AI hardware is becoming more easily replaceable, with Alphabet's TPUs performing comparably to Nvidia's GPUs, further solidifying its competitive edge.
- Investment Recommendation: Given Alphabet's dual competitive advantages in both AI hardware and software, the current dip in stock price presents a favorable buying opportunity for investors, especially in the context of the rapidly evolving AI market.
See More
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- Walmart's Valuation Issues: Walmart is trading at a high valuation of 43 times earnings and 40 times forward earnings, leading analysts to downgrade its rating to hold, resulting in a 6% decline in stock price since early March.
- Amazon's Spending Plans: Amazon plans to increase capital expenditures to $200 billion by 2026, primarily for AI infrastructure, raising concerns among investors about cash flow, but the company believes this is essential to catch up with competitors.
- Taiwan Semiconductor's Market Outlook: TSMC expects to increase its market share from 64% to 70% by 2025, with projected revenue growth of nearly 30% in 2026, highlighting its strong growth potential in the AI super cycle.
- Analysts' Optimism for TSMC: TSMC's forward P/E ratio is 24, with 98% of analysts rating it a buy and a price target of $435, suggesting a 28% upside, reflecting strong market confidence in its future growth.
See More
Walmart's High Valuation Impacts Stock Performance
- Walmart Stock Decline: Walmart's stock has dropped about 6% since early March due to a high valuation of 43 times earnings, with analysts downgrading its rating to hold, indicating concerns over its valuation that may impact investor confidence.
- Amazon's Investment Surge: Amazon plans to increase capital expenditures to $200 billion by 2026, a 50% rise from last year, aiming to catch up with competitors despite risks of losing market share, which could set the stage for future growth amid supply chain constraints.
- Taiwan Semiconductor's Market Outlook: Taiwan Semiconductor expects to increase its market share from 64% to 70% by 2025, with projected revenue growth of nearly 30% in 2026, highlighting its strong growth potential in the AI super cycle that attracts investor interest.
- Analysts Bullish on TSMC: With 98% of analysts rating Taiwan Semiconductor as a buy and a price target of $435 per share suggesting a 28% upside, the market reflects optimism about its future growth prospects.
See More
