Jefferies Upgrades RTX to Buy, Sets $220 Target
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 48 minutes ago
0mins
Source: seekingalpha
- Rating Upgrade: Jefferies upgraded RTX from Hold to Buy with a price target of $220, reflecting an optimistic outlook on the company's earnings potential, particularly in defense and commercial aerospace growth opportunities.
- Earnings Forecast Increase: Jefferies raised its earnings-per-share estimates for RTX from 2026 to 2028 by approximately 5% on average, driven by strong performance expectations in both commercial aerospace and defense sectors, indicating enhanced competitive positioning.
- Cash Flow Potential: Analysts project RTX to generate over $9 billion in discretionary free cash flow over the next three years, providing financial flexibility to support shareholder returns, debt reduction, and investments in growth initiatives, thereby solidifying its market position.
- Defense Business Growth: Jefferies highlighted that about 75% of RTX's business is tied to sensors and missile systems, which are expected to benefit from rising U.S. and international defense spending, with sustained double-digit growth anticipated and operating margins projected to exceed 14%.
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Analyst Views on RTX
Wall Street analysts forecast RTX stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
9 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 172.550
Low
168.00
Averages
195.77
High
215.00
Current: 172.550
Low
168.00
Averages
195.77
High
215.00
About RTX
RTX Corporation is an aerospace and defense company, which provides advanced systems and services for commercial, military, and government customers worldwide. The Company operates through three segments: Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon. Collins Aerospace segment provides technologically advanced aerospace and defense products and aftermarket service solutions for civil and military aircraft manufacturers, commercial airlines, and regional, business and general aviation, as well as for defense and commercial space operations. The Pratt & Whitney segment supplies aircraft engines for commercial, military, business jet, and general aviation customers. The Raytheon segment provides defensive and offensive threat detection, tracking and mitigation capabilities for the United States and foreign government and commercial customers. The Raytheon designs, develops, and provides advanced capabilities in integrated air and missile defense, smart weapons, missiles and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Contract Value: Raytheon has been awarded a $515 million contract from the U.S. Navy for the SPY-6 radar system, which serves as a follow-on to the Integration and Production Support contract awarded in June 2025, indicating strong demand in the defense sector.
- Technology Upgrade Plan: The contract includes upgrading Flight IIA destroyers with the SPY-6(V)4 variant, aimed at enhancing the Navy's vessel defense capabilities and ensuring competitiveness in modern warfare.
- International Market Potential: Raytheon will provide ongoing support for the U.S. Navy and the German government, with potential expansion to other countries under the Foreign Military Sales program, further strengthening its international business footprint.
- Future Deployment Plans: Over the next decade, the SPY-6 radar is expected to be deployed on more than 50 U.S. Navy ships, significantly enhancing defense against air, surface, ballistic, and electronic warfare threats, solidifying Raytheon's leadership in radar technology.
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- Rating Upgrade: Jefferies upgraded RTX from Hold to Buy with a price target of $220, reflecting an optimistic outlook on the company's earnings potential, particularly in defense and commercial aerospace growth opportunities.
- Earnings Forecast Increase: Jefferies raised its earnings-per-share estimates for RTX from 2026 to 2028 by approximately 5% on average, driven by strong performance expectations in both commercial aerospace and defense sectors, indicating enhanced competitive positioning.
- Cash Flow Potential: Analysts project RTX to generate over $9 billion in discretionary free cash flow over the next three years, providing financial flexibility to support shareholder returns, debt reduction, and investments in growth initiatives, thereby solidifying its market position.
- Defense Business Growth: Jefferies highlighted that about 75% of RTX's business is tied to sensors and missile systems, which are expected to benefit from rising U.S. and international defense spending, with sustained double-digit growth anticipated and operating margins projected to exceed 14%.
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- Futures Market Dynamics: US equity futures showed mixed signals on Thursday, reflecting a cautious market sentiment as traders await upcoming economic data and corporate earnings for clearer direction.
- Tech Stock Focus: Broadcom (AVGO), as a tech giant, is under close scrutiny, with market participants looking to its performance as a barometer for the overall health of the technology sector.
- Investor Sentiment: Despite the fluctuations in the futures market, investor sentiment remains cautious primarily due to uncertainties surrounding inflation and interest rate policies, which could impact future investment decisions.
- Market Outlook: As economic data releases approach, market participants are adopting a wait-and-see approach regarding the trends for the coming weeks, which may influence short-term trading strategies.
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- RTX Upgraded to Buy: Jefferies upgraded RTX from hold to buy, emphasizing its leading position in aerospace and defense, with significant growth potential from market expansion and budget support, enhancing investor confidence.
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- Contract Value and Purpose: Raytheon announced a $515.8 million cost-only contract modification aimed at supporting the integration and production of the AN/SPY-6V Air and Missile Defense Radar system, reflecting the company's ongoing investment and commitment in the defense sector.
- Clients and Funding Sources: The contract supports the U.S. Navy (74%) and Germany (26%) under Foreign Military Sales (FMS), with total funding of $121.5 million covering R&D, operations, maintenance, and procurement, ensuring diversified financial backing for the project.
- Project Completion Timeline: The work is expected to be completed by May 2027, indicating Raytheon's capability to meet client demands and timelines while also opening opportunities for potential future foreign customers.
- Funding Expiration Risk: The contract includes $17.5 million in funding that will expire at the end of this fiscal year, which could impact the project's liquidity, necessitating effective financial management by Raytheon to ensure smooth project progression.
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- Nuclear Deployment Expansion: The U.S. is considering expanding its nuclear weapons deployment to more European NATO member states, currently limited to six countries, which could enhance the market outlook for defense companies involved in this sector.
- Interest from Eastern Europe: Countries like Poland and certain Baltic nations may express interest in hosting nuclear-capable bombers, especially following President Trump's pledge to increase troop presence, thereby strengthening their defense capabilities and strategic position within NATO.
- Increased Defense Spending: As Europe seeks to reduce reliance on the U.S. and boost its defense spending, there is expected to be a surge in demand for dual-capable aircraft like the F-35, which will significantly benefit companies such as BAE Systems, Lockheed Martin, and Rolls-Royce.
- Market Opportunities and Jobs: Analysts indicate that an increase in nuclear weapons deployment will necessitate more dual-capable aircraft, potentially creating numerous new jobs and generating substantial revenue growth for manufacturers, thereby solidifying their positions in the global supply chain.
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