Is It Wise to Invest in Nvidia-Focused ETFs Ahead of Q3 Earnings Announcement?
Nvidia's Upcoming Earnings: Nvidia (NVDA) is set to release its third-quarter fiscal 2026 results on Nov. 19, with analysts expecting strong revenue and earnings growth, despite a recent dip in share price driven by market concerns over AI valuations.
Investment Opportunities: The current market conditions present a potential buying opportunity for investors, particularly through NVDA-heavy exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which can help diversify risk while capitalizing on Nvidia's anticipated performance.
Analyst Confidence: Analysts maintain a bullish outlook on Nvidia, with a consensus recommendation of 1.29 (on a scale of 1 to 5), indicating strong buy sentiments, and an average price target suggesting a 26.2% upside from its last closing price.
Top NVDA-Focused ETFs: Notable ETFs that heavily feature Nvidia include the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH), Strive U.S. Semiconductor ETF (SHOC), and VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX), all of which have shown significant year-to-date gains and hold Nvidia as a top investment.
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- Stock Performance: Nvidia shares rose 1.8% in premarket trading on Wednesday, reflecting market optimism ahead of its upcoming earnings report, particularly as UBS analysts noted a “favorable” financial setup.
- Earnings Expectations: UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri reiterated his Buy rating and raised the price target from $235 to $245, anticipating Nvidia's revenue to reach approximately $76 billion, surpassing the market's expectations of $74 billion to $75 billion for the next quarter.
- Gross Margin Outlook: Despite investor skepticism regarding the 75% gross margin guidance, Arcuri stated that there are no near-term factors likely to impact this figure, indicating Nvidia's stability amid competitive threats from Google and Broadcom.
- Market Signals: As the GTC conference approaches, Nvidia's management appears frustrated with prevailing market doubts, yet bullish supply chain signals support the company's prospects for growth and margin sustainability.
- Market Bubble Phenomenon: Predictions of an AI bubble bursting have not materialized, yet froth remains in the market as unprofitable companies are bid up based on expectations of heavy AI infrastructure spending, prompting investors to reassess risks.
- Microsoft's Stock Volatility: Microsoft (MSFT) shares soared over the past year due to investments in OpenAI and AI infrastructure, but dropped over 16% in 2026, with analysts predicting that its AI spending will pressure profitability; Stifel downgraded the stock and cut its price target by nearly 30%.
- Diversification Strategy: While Microsoft still holds long-term value, its price fluctuations highlight the importance of a diversified AI investment portfolio, suggesting that investors anchor their holdings with a clear leader to navigate future growth in AI-related companies.
- Nvidia's Growth Potential: Nvidia (NVDA) expects $3 trillion to $4 trillion to be spent on AI infrastructure by 2030, as reiterated by CFO Colette Kress, indicating that the company will benefit from growth in the AI sector, with a reasonable forward P/E ratio of about 25, making it suitable for long-term investment.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Fastly's Q4 revenue increased by 23% year-over-year to $172.6 million, driven by a 19% rise in network services sales to $130.8 million and a 32% surge in security revenue to $35.4 million, showcasing the company's robust performance in the cloud computing market.
- Improved Profitability: The company reported an adjusted net income of $20.1 million, compared to a loss of $2.4 million in the same quarter last year, with adjusted earnings per share reaching $0.12, significantly exceeding Wall Street expectations and indicating a marked improvement in profitability.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Fastly anticipates revenue growth of approximately 14% to $710 million by 2026, with operating income projected at $55 million and adjusted earnings per share at $0.26, reflecting strong confidence in future growth, particularly driven by AI technology.
- Positive Market Reaction: Fastly's stock price soared 72% by the end of trading, indicating strong investor recognition of the company's performance and future prospects, further solidifying its position in the rapidly evolving cloud computing and AI markets.
- Google Search Engine Advantage: Alphabet (GOOGL) holds a dominant position as the primary search engine globally, leveraging AI to drive search growth, with its cloud computing revenue surging 48% last quarter, indicating strong market demand and profitability.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Alphabet plans to invest between $175 billion and $185 billion in capital expenditures in 2023, particularly on its proprietary TPU chips, which provide a cost advantage in the AI sector, thereby enhancing its return on investment.
- Amazon E-commerce Growth: Amazon (AMZN) drives a 24% increase in operating income in its North American e-commerce business, with a 10% rise in sales, showcasing its dominant market position and operational efficiency through a robust logistics network.
- Cloud Computing Market Leadership: Amazon Web Services (AWS) sees a 24% revenue growth last quarter, marking an acceleration in its cloud computing sector, while committing to $200 billion in capital expenditures in 2023 to meet the rising demand for infrastructure and AI services.
- Spending Plans Overview: Alphabet plans to increase its AI spending from $91 billion in 2025 to $180 billion by 2026, while Microsoft reported $37.5 billion in Q2 2023, up from $34.9 billion in Q1, and Amazon aims to raise its spending to $200 billion in 2026, indicating a strong commitment to AI investments.
- TSMC's Market Outlook: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) expects its capital expenditures to rise from $41 billion in 2025 to $54 billion, with management highlighting increased capacity to meet demand during the Q4 earnings call, leading to positive market sentiment regarding its potential benefits from the AI spending surge.
- Nvidia's Growth Potential: As a leading GPU provider, Nvidia's cloud products are sold out, and it anticipates AI spending could reach $3 to $4 trillion over the next decade, with management asserting that the company is still in the early stages of AI development and will continue to launch more powerful products to maintain its competitive edge.
- Applied Digital's Successful Pivot: Applied Digital has shifted from crypto-mining to AI infrastructure, securing a $5 billion long-term contract over 15 years, and despite currently being unprofitable, it reported a 250% year-over-year sales increase in Q2 2026, indicating strong market demand and positioning for future growth.
- Surge in Capital Expenditure: Top hyperscalers are expected to increase capital expenditures by 70% this year, with Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft planning a combined spending of over $600 billion, indicating a strong commitment to AI infrastructure investment.
- Mixed Market Reactions: Despite the significant increase in capital spending, Amazon and Microsoft's shares have dropped 12% and 16% respectively, while Alphabet's stock is down less than 1% and Meta's has risen by 1%, reflecting investor concerns about the timing of returns on these investments.
- Infrastructure Investment Opportunities: With spending accelerating, investors are drawn to








