Is It Wise to Invest in Nvidia-Focused ETFs Ahead of Q3 Earnings Announcement?
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 18 2025
0mins
Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Nvidia's Upcoming Earnings: Nvidia (NVDA) is set to release its third-quarter fiscal 2026 results on Nov. 19, with analysts expecting strong revenue and earnings growth, despite a recent dip in share price driven by market concerns over AI valuations.
Investment Opportunities: The current market conditions present a potential buying opportunity for investors, particularly through NVDA-heavy exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which can help diversify risk while capitalizing on Nvidia's anticipated performance.
Analyst Confidence: Analysts maintain a bullish outlook on Nvidia, with a consensus recommendation of 1.29 (on a scale of 1 to 5), indicating strong buy sentiments, and an average price target suggesting a 26.2% upside from its last closing price.
Top NVDA-Focused ETFs: Notable ETFs that heavily feature Nvidia include the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH), Strive U.S. Semiconductor ETF (SHOC), and VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX), all of which have shown significant year-to-date gains and hold Nvidia as a top investment.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 180.050
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 180.050
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms, and DGX Cloud computing services. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Market Position Consolidation: As the world's most valuable company with a market cap of $4.4 trillion, Nvidia maintains a strong investment appeal despite overall bearish sentiment in tech, thanks to its leadership in the AI chip sector.
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- Stock Price Volatility: Despite strong performance, Nvidia's stock price has declined following the earnings release, currently trading at a P/E ratio of 37, which drops to 23 based on expected earnings, highlighting market concerns over its high valuation.
- Market Position Consolidation: As the world's most valuable company with a market cap of $4.4 trillion, Nvidia maintains a strong investment appeal despite overall bearish sentiment in tech, thanks to its leadership in the AI chip sector.
- Cautious Investor Sentiment: Analysts suggest that investors should approach Nvidia with caution in the current market environment, as while its business remains strong, the likelihood of the stock doubling in value in the short term is low, necessitating realistic expectations.
See More
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- Core Investment: The Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) tracks the entire U.S. stock market and owns over 3,500 stocks, providing investors with the convenience of investing in thousands of stocks with a single click, making it ideal for those looking to simplify their investments.
- Cost Advantage: With an expense ratio of just 0.03%, investing $10,000 incurs only $3 in annual fees, significantly lowering investment costs and enhancing long-term return potential for investors.
- Long-Term Return Potential: Since its inception in 2001, the ETF has averaged a 9.2% annual total return, meaning a $10,000 investment would be worth over $90,000 today, demonstrating its effectiveness as a wealth-building tool.
- Concentration Risk and Lack of Diversification: Despite holding many stocks, the ETF's performance is heavily reliant on the top 10 companies, presenting significant concentration risk, while lacking exposure to international stocks and fixed-income assets, which may hinder portfolio diversification.
See More
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- Same-Store Sales Improvement: Same-store sales growth rebounded to 1.6% from 5.9% in the previous quarter, surpassing management's prior guidance of flat growth, suggesting a potential recovery in consumer demand that could lay the groundwork for future growth.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Management's guidance for 2026 projects net sales growth between 4.5% and 6.5%, with same-store sales expected to range from -1% to 1%, reflecting a cautious stance in a high-inflation environment that may impact investor confidence.
- Share Buyback Program: Sprouts announced a $1 billion share repurchase program, having already bought back approximately $472 million worth of shares, with plans to repurchase another $300 million, a move that could provide short-term support for the stock price and bolster market confidence.
See More
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- Job Data Beats Expectations: The ADP report revealed that U.S. private employers added 63,000 jobs in February, significantly exceeding the 48,000 consensus and marking a sharp rebound from January's downwardly revised 11,000, indicating a robust economic recovery.
- Investor Sentiment Improves: Investor jitters regarding U.S.-Iran tensions eased as oil prices stabilized and President Trump's comments on protecting shipping lanes provided reassurance, boosting overall market confidence.
- Future Outlook: Despite the encouraging rebound on Wednesday, S&P 500 futures were down 0.43% at 6,846.75 at last check, suggesting potential challenges for Thursday's open, especially with upcoming weekly jobless claims and the non-farm payroll report set to test market direction.
See More
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Nvidia's revenue has soared over 1,000% in the past five years, demonstrating its strong performance in the AI sector and further solidifying its market leadership.
- Strong Stock Performance: The company's stock price has also increased by over 1,000% in the last five years, currently trading around $180, reflecting investor confidence in its future growth prospects.
- Split History Review: Since 2000, Nvidia has executed six stock splits, with the most recent being a 10-for-1 split in 2024, indicating a strategic approach to stock price management as splits typically occur in pairs.
- Future Split Possibility: Despite two recent large splits, the likelihood of Nvidia splitting its stock again in the near term seems low, given the current price around $180, suggesting a need for further price appreciation before considering another split.
See More
Nvidia vs. Amazon: A Financial Comparison
- Nvidia's Data Center Surge: Nvidia's latest earnings report reveals a staggering 75% year-over-year increase in data center revenue, reaching $62.3 billion, driven by strong AI demand; however, the stock fell post-reporting, indicating high market expectations for future growth.
- Amazon's Cloud Acceleration: Amazon's AWS segment saw a 24% year-over-year sales increase in Q4, totaling $35.6 billion, underscoring its critical role in AI application infrastructure, while e-commerce and advertising revenues also achieved double-digit growth, enhancing overall business resilience.
- Cyclical Industry Risks: Despite Nvidia's impressive financial results, its heavy reliance on the cyclical semiconductor industry poses risks; if demand for AI infrastructure cools, profit margins could compress, increasing investment risk.
- Amazon's Diversification Advantage: In contrast to Nvidia, Amazon's business model is more diversified across e-commerce, cloud computing, and advertising, operating on lower margins which mitigates the impact of market fluctuations on profitability.
See More
