Investors Lost Over 95% Of Their Wealth In This Nvidia-Linked ETF While Jensen Huang-Led Chip Giant Gained 220% In The Past Year: Here's More
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 21 2024
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Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: Benzinga
T-Rex ETF Performance: The T-Rex 2X Inverse Nvidia Daily Target ETF has experienced a staggering 96% decline in value over the past year, contrasting sharply with Nvidia Corp.'s stock surge of 221.08%, as it is designed to gain when Nvidia's stock decreases and lose when it increases.
Nvidia's Growth Outlook: Nvidia continues to lead the chip industry with a market cap exceeding $3 trillion, and analysts predict its valuation could reach $4 trillion due to strong demand for GPU chips and potential revenue doubling driven by AI investments.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 178.560
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 178.560
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms, and DGX Cloud computing services. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Revenue Surge Forecast: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang announced at the GPU Technology Conference that orders for the Blackwell and Vera Rubin architectures are expected to reach $1 trillion by 2027, doubling last year's forecast, indicating strong market demand and future growth potential.
- Price Target Analysis: With Nvidia's current share price at $183, a rise to $500 would require a 173% increase, a target deemed achievable against the backdrop of ongoing AI investments, reflecting market optimism about its future performance.
- Earnings Growth Outlook: Wall Street analysts project Nvidia's revenue and earnings per share to grow at compound annual rates of 36.5% and 39.4% over the next three fiscal years, providing investors with confidence that could lead to further stock price increases.
- Market Valuation Underestimation: Despite Nvidia's current forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22.5, the market may be underestimating its business potential, and investors should monitor whether AI spending continues to grow to avoid potential cyclical risks.
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- Focus on Inference Architecture: Analysts indicate that Nvidia is shifting its focus to inference architecture, which is expected to be the next growth catalyst for the company, particularly following its acquisition of Groq, driving further development in its AI business.
- Significant Performance Boost: Nvidia claims that when Groq 3 LPX racks are paired with its next-generation Vera Rubin GPUs, the architecture can achieve up to 35 times higher throughput per watt, with expectations of a 15-fold increase in token output per second, significantly enhancing AI application efficiency.
- Strategic Acquisition Implications: Analyst Beth Kindig highlights that the Groq acquisition will drive increased token usage, thereby boosting the company's revenue and profits, akin to the benefits realized from the 2020 acquisition of Mellanox, which resolved networking bottlenecks.
- Market Reaction and Outlook: Although Nvidia's stock fell over 1% in Friday's opening trade, retail sentiment on Stocktwits remained bullish, reflecting market confidence in the company's future growth potential.
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- Okta Financial Performance: In fiscal year 2026, Okta achieved a 12% year-over-year revenue increase, reaching nearly $3 billion, yet its revenue growth forecast for 2027 has declined to 9%, indicating a slowdown that could impact its long-term investment appeal.
- Zscaler Strong Growth: Zscaler reported $815.8 million in revenue for Q2 of fiscal 2026, marking a 26% year-over-year increase, with annual recurring revenue growing 25% to $3.3 billion, and it expects 24% revenue growth for the full year, demonstrating financial health and market competitiveness.
- Market Valuation Changes: While Okta's stock has dropped 30% over the past year, its current valuation may be undervalued, whereas Zscaler's stock has also fallen over 20%, but its forward P/E ratio exceeds 40, reflecting market confidence in its future growth.
- AI Impact and Strategic Positioning: Facing growth challenges due to AI, Okta's deceleration is concerning, while Zscaler's collaboration with AI to develop security products showcases its stronger market adaptability, potentially giving it an edge in future competition.
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- Market Turmoil: Major indexes broke long-term support last week as oil prices and bond yields surged, indicating growing concerns about the economic outlook that could lead to decreased investor confidence and trigger broader sell-offs.
- Geopolitical Impact: President Trump's erratic stance on the Iran war, alternating between escalating military pressure and de-escalation, may further exacerbate market volatility and influence investor decision-making amid uncertainty.
- Rising Oil Prices: The surge in international oil prices not only increases operational costs for businesses but may also lead to reduced consumer spending, negatively impacting economic growth, especially against a backdrop of rising inflationary pressures.
- Bond Yield Increase: With rising bond yields, borrowing costs may increase, putting greater pressure on corporate financing, potentially stifling investment and expansion plans, which could affect overall economic vitality.
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- Significant Investment Returns: Tesla's market cap has reached $1.2 trillion, with a staggering 2,430% increase in stock price over the past decade, turning a $10,000 investment into over $253,000, showcasing its strong market performance and investment appeal.
- Robust Revenue Growth: Tesla's annual sales surged from $4 billion in 2015 to $95 billion in 2022, significantly enhancing its production and delivery capabilities of electric vehicles, which propelled sustained revenue growth for the company.
- Cautious Future Expectations: Despite its outstanding performance over the past decade, Tesla may not replicate such returns in the next ten years, as the current price-to-earnings ratio of 353 reflects optimistic market expectations regarding autonomous driving and robotics, which are not guaranteed to succeed.
- Intensifying Market Competition: Tesla faces fierce competition from other electric vehicle manufacturers; although it holds a leading position in the market, the future growth potential and profitability require ongoing scrutiny and assessment.
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- Market Correction: The CoinMarketCap 20Index has dropped over 30% since its inception last November, indicating a significant cooling in the cryptocurrency market in 2026, although investors still face the potential for long-term returns.
- Bitcoin Value Prediction: Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan believes Bitcoin could reach $1 million in the next decade based on reasonably conservative assumptions regarding market value and Bitcoin's market share, highlighting its potential as a store of value.
- Market Size Expansion: Currently, the store-of-value market is valued at nearly $38 trillion, with gold accounting for $36 trillion; Hougan expects this market to expand to $121 trillion in ten years, suggesting that if Bitcoin captures 17% of this market, its price could reach $1 million.
- Growing Investor Demand: Despite Bitcoin's lower liquidity, its appeal as a diversifying asset is increasing, as evidenced by the rise in funds holding the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF from 443 to 1,780, indicating growing interest from institutional investors.
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