MSTR Outperforms Market Returns: Key Points to Note
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 06 2025
0mins
Should l Buy MSTR?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Stock Performance: Strategy (MSTR) saw a 2.29% increase to $359.69, outperforming the S&P 500's 0.37% gain, while the Dow fell by 0.14% and the Nasdaq rose by 0.71%. Over the past month, MSTR's stock has risen by 4.69%, surpassing both the Finance sector and S&P 500 gains.
Earnings Expectations: Analysts anticipate an EPS of -$0.11 for Strategy's upcoming earnings report, a significant improvement from the previous year, with projected revenue of $118.2 million, reflecting a 1.84% increase. The full-year estimates suggest earnings of -$15.73 per share and revenue of $466.75 million.
Analyst Outlook: Recent changes in analyst estimates indicate a favorable outlook for Strategy, with the Zacks Rank system currently rating it as #3 (Hold). The Zacks Rank has a strong historical performance, with #1 stocks averaging a 25% annual return since 1988.
Investment Insights: Zacks Investment Research has identified five stocks with high potential for significant gains, including a satellite-based communications firm expected to thrive in the growing trillion-dollar space industry, with analysts predicting a major revenue breakout in 2025.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy MSTR?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on MSTR
Wall Street analysts forecast MSTR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MSTR is 453.17 USD with a low forecast of 229.00 USD and a high forecast of 705.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 129.090
Low
229.00
Averages
453.17
High
705.00
Current: 129.090
Low
229.00
Averages
453.17
High
705.00
About MSTR
Strategy Inc., formerly MicroStrategy Incorporated, is a bitcoin treasury and business intelligence company. The Company provides cloud-native, artificial intelligence (AI)-powered enterprise analytics software to thousands of global customers. The Company’s Strategy ONE platform provides access to AI-powered workflows, unlimited data sources, cloud-native technologies, and performance to speed up time from data to action. Strategy One delivers visualization, reporting, and embedded analytics capabilities across retail, banking, technology, manufacturing, insurance, consulting, healthcare, telecommunications, and the public sector. Its Strategy Mosaic is a universal intelligence layer that provides enterprises with consistent definitions and governance across data sources, regardless of where that data resides or which tools access it. The Strategy Mosaic offers data clarity and connection by eliminating trade-offs between flexibility, control, and speed.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Strategypress Reports Q4 2024 Earnings with Significant Losses
- Severe Earnings Loss: Strategypress reported a Q4 2024 GAAP EPS of -$42.93, missing expectations by $21.94, indicating increased pressure in the digital asset market that may undermine investor confidence.
- Digital Asset Impairment: The company faced $1 billion in digital asset impairment losses for the fourth quarter, reflecting significant challenges in asset valuation prior to the accounting model change, which could lead to future financial uncertainty.
- Slight Revenue Growth: Q4 revenue reached $122.99 million, up 1.9% year-over-year and beating market expectations by $4.52 million, suggesting some revenue growth potential even in a challenging market environment.
- Bitcoin Holdings Overview: Strategypress holds 713,502 bitcoins at a total cost of $54.26 billion, averaging $76,052 per bitcoin, and achieved a 22.8% BTC yield in FY2025, demonstrating its long-term strategic commitment to digital asset investment.
See More
Strategy Faces Massive Losses and Market Pressure Amid Bitcoin Volatility
- Massive Loss Disclosure: Strategy's fourth-quarter results revealed a net loss of $12.6 billion, primarily due to $17.5 billion in unrealized losses on digital assets, highlighting the vulnerability of its debt-fueled acquisition strategy, which may impact future financing capabilities.
- Escalating Market Risks: If Bitcoin prices fall another 10%, capital markets could become 'essentially closed,' potentially leaving the firm billions in the red and triggering a broader ecosystem collapse affecting miners and related assets.
- Significant Stock Decline: Shares of Strategy have fallen 29.59% year-to-date and 71.50% over the last six months, with a 17.12% drop to $106.99 on Thursday following earnings, indicating weak price trends in both the short and long term.
- High Cost Pressure: Despite the market price hovering around $64,000, Strategy's average Bitcoin cost stands at $76,052, facing a severe stress test that could impact its future profitability and market competitiveness.
See More
US Stocks Plunge as Tech Sector Leads Decline
- Tech Sector Decline: Qualcomm's (QCOM) forecast of weaker-than-expected Q2 revenue led to an over 8% drop in its stock, triggering a sell-off across the tech sector, with the Nasdaq 100 index hitting a 2.5-month low, indicating waning investor confidence in technology stocks.
- Weak Labor Market Signals: Challenger's report revealed a staggering 117.8% year-over-year increase in job cuts for January, totaling 108,435, the highest for January since 2009, while initial jobless claims rose by 22,000 to 231,000, highlighting vulnerabilities in the US labor market that could hinder economic recovery.
- Bitcoin Plunge: Bitcoin (^BTCUSD) plummeted over 12% to a 1.25-year low, reflecting deepening negative momentum in the cryptocurrency market, with approximately $2 billion flowing out of Bitcoin ETFs in the past month, signaling a decline in investor confidence.
- Earnings Season Impact: Despite 150 S&P 500 companies set to report earnings this week, market focus on economic data intensifies, with S&P 500 earnings expected to grow by 8.4% in Q4, yet overall market sentiment remains suppressed by recent economic weakness.
See More
Amazon's Huge Capital Spending Leads to Futures Losses and Bitcoin Bounce
- Market Volatility: Futures markets pared losses after the stock market broke key levels, indicating investor concerns about future economic prospects, which could lead to short-term market instability.
- Amazon's Capital Spending: Amazon's stock fell due to significant capital expenditures, reflecting the company's aggressive strategy in expansion and infrastructure investment, which may impact its short-term profitability.
- Bitcoin Bounce: Despite overall market pressure, Bitcoin saw a slight bounce, indicating a demand for digital assets as a safe haven in uncertain market conditions, potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Investor Sentiment: The market's strong reaction to Amazon's spending may lead investors to reassess the risk and return of tech stocks, influencing overall investment strategies.
See More
Stock Market Plummets Amid Amazon Earnings Miss
- Market Decline: The stock market experienced a significant sell-off on Thursday, with major indices declining broadly, reflecting investor concerns about the economic outlook amid high inflation and rising interest rates, which have dampened market confidence.
- Bitcoin Crash: Bitcoin prices fell sharply, driven by a bearish market sentiment as investors rushed to sell off crypto assets, likely due to concerns over increased regulation in the crypto market and a general rise in risk aversion.
- Amazon Earnings Miss: Amazon's stock price dropped following its earnings report, primarily due to concerns over its massive capital spending plans, which raised investor apprehensions about future profitability, highlighting the tension between expansion and earnings.
- Capital Expenditure Impact: While Amazon's capital expenditure plans aim to drive long-term growth, they may negatively affect cash flow and shareholder returns in the short term, leading to lowered market expectations for its future performance.
See More
Major U.S. Stock Indexes Close Lower Amid Market Volatility
- Amazon Stock Volatility: Amazon's stock closed down 4.42% at $222.69 after reaching an intraday high of $226.31 and a low of $220.38, with a 52-week range of $258.60 to $161.43; in after-hours trading, the stock plummeted nearly 11% to $198.21, indicating market concerns about its future performance.
- IREN Earnings Miss: IREN shares dropped 11.46% to close at $39.79, with an intraday high of $44.92 and a low of $38.90, while its 52-week high and low are $76.87 and $5.12; the company reported a second-quarter loss with an EPS of -$0.52, missing expectations of -$0.18, despite revenue rising to $71.21 million year-over-year, reflecting profitability challenges.
- Roblox Stock Decline: Roblox's stock fell 3.96% to $60.57, hitting an intraday high of $64.84 and a low of $60.07, with a 52-week range of $150.59 to $50.10; however, it gained 7.3% to $65 in after-hours trading, suggesting investor confidence in its long-term potential.
- Strategy Inc. Sharp Drop: Strategy Inc.'s shares plummeted 17.12% to $106.99, with an intraday high of $122 and a low of $104.17, while its 52-week high and low are $457.22 and $104.16, reflecting market pessimism regarding its future growth prospects.
See More
Strategypress Reports Q4 2024 Earnings with Significant Losses
- Severe Earnings Loss: Strategypress reported a Q4 2024 GAAP EPS of -$42.93, missing expectations by $21.94, indicating increased pressure in the digital asset market that may undermine investor confidence.
- Digital Asset Impairment: The company faced $1 billion in digital asset impairment losses for the fourth quarter, reflecting significant challenges in asset valuation prior to the accounting model change, which could lead to future financial uncertainty.
- Slight Revenue Growth: Q4 revenue reached $122.99 million, up 1.9% year-over-year and beating market expectations by $4.52 million, suggesting some revenue growth potential even in a challenging market environment.
- Bitcoin Holdings Overview: Strategypress holds 713,502 bitcoins at a total cost of $54.26 billion, averaging $76,052 per bitcoin, and achieved a 22.8% BTC yield in FY2025, demonstrating its long-term strategic commitment to digital asset investment.
See More
Strategy Faces Massive Losses and Market Pressure Amid Bitcoin Volatility
- Massive Loss Disclosure: Strategy's fourth-quarter results revealed a net loss of $12.6 billion, primarily due to $17.5 billion in unrealized losses on digital assets, highlighting the vulnerability of its debt-fueled acquisition strategy, which may impact future financing capabilities.
- Escalating Market Risks: If Bitcoin prices fall another 10%, capital markets could become 'essentially closed,' potentially leaving the firm billions in the red and triggering a broader ecosystem collapse affecting miners and related assets.
- Significant Stock Decline: Shares of Strategy have fallen 29.59% year-to-date and 71.50% over the last six months, with a 17.12% drop to $106.99 on Thursday following earnings, indicating weak price trends in both the short and long term.
- High Cost Pressure: Despite the market price hovering around $64,000, Strategy's average Bitcoin cost stands at $76,052, facing a severe stress test that could impact its future profitability and market competitiveness.
See More
US Stocks Plunge as Tech Sector Leads Decline
- Tech Sector Decline: Qualcomm's (QCOM) forecast of weaker-than-expected Q2 revenue led to an over 8% drop in its stock, triggering a sell-off across the tech sector, with the Nasdaq 100 index hitting a 2.5-month low, indicating waning investor confidence in technology stocks.
- Weak Labor Market Signals: Challenger's report revealed a staggering 117.8% year-over-year increase in job cuts for January, totaling 108,435, the highest for January since 2009, while initial jobless claims rose by 22,000 to 231,000, highlighting vulnerabilities in the US labor market that could hinder economic recovery.
- Bitcoin Plunge: Bitcoin (^BTCUSD) plummeted over 12% to a 1.25-year low, reflecting deepening negative momentum in the cryptocurrency market, with approximately $2 billion flowing out of Bitcoin ETFs in the past month, signaling a decline in investor confidence.
- Earnings Season Impact: Despite 150 S&P 500 companies set to report earnings this week, market focus on economic data intensifies, with S&P 500 earnings expected to grow by 8.4% in Q4, yet overall market sentiment remains suppressed by recent economic weakness.
See More
Amazon's Huge Capital Spending Leads to Futures Losses and Bitcoin Bounce
- Market Volatility: Futures markets pared losses after the stock market broke key levels, indicating investor concerns about future economic prospects, which could lead to short-term market instability.
- Amazon's Capital Spending: Amazon's stock fell due to significant capital expenditures, reflecting the company's aggressive strategy in expansion and infrastructure investment, which may impact its short-term profitability.
- Bitcoin Bounce: Despite overall market pressure, Bitcoin saw a slight bounce, indicating a demand for digital assets as a safe haven in uncertain market conditions, potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Investor Sentiment: The market's strong reaction to Amazon's spending may lead investors to reassess the risk and return of tech stocks, influencing overall investment strategies.
See More
Stock Market Plummets Amid Amazon Earnings Miss
- Market Decline: The stock market experienced a significant sell-off on Thursday, with major indices declining broadly, reflecting investor concerns about the economic outlook amid high inflation and rising interest rates, which have dampened market confidence.
- Bitcoin Crash: Bitcoin prices fell sharply, driven by a bearish market sentiment as investors rushed to sell off crypto assets, likely due to concerns over increased regulation in the crypto market and a general rise in risk aversion.
- Amazon Earnings Miss: Amazon's stock price dropped following its earnings report, primarily due to concerns over its massive capital spending plans, which raised investor apprehensions about future profitability, highlighting the tension between expansion and earnings.
- Capital Expenditure Impact: While Amazon's capital expenditure plans aim to drive long-term growth, they may negatively affect cash flow and shareholder returns in the short term, leading to lowered market expectations for its future performance.
See More
Major U.S. Stock Indexes Close Lower Amid Market Volatility
- Amazon Stock Volatility: Amazon's stock closed down 4.42% at $222.69 after reaching an intraday high of $226.31 and a low of $220.38, with a 52-week range of $258.60 to $161.43; in after-hours trading, the stock plummeted nearly 11% to $198.21, indicating market concerns about its future performance.
- IREN Earnings Miss: IREN shares dropped 11.46% to close at $39.79, with an intraday high of $44.92 and a low of $38.90, while its 52-week high and low are $76.87 and $5.12; the company reported a second-quarter loss with an EPS of -$0.52, missing expectations of -$0.18, despite revenue rising to $71.21 million year-over-year, reflecting profitability challenges.
- Roblox Stock Decline: Roblox's stock fell 3.96% to $60.57, hitting an intraday high of $64.84 and a low of $60.07, with a 52-week range of $150.59 to $50.10; however, it gained 7.3% to $65 in after-hours trading, suggesting investor confidence in its long-term potential.
- Strategy Inc. Sharp Drop: Strategy Inc.'s shares plummeted 17.12% to $106.99, with an intraday high of $122 and a low of $104.17, while its 52-week high and low are $457.22 and $104.16, reflecting market pessimism regarding its future growth prospects.
See More
