HSBC Research Slightly Lowers BAIC MOTOR's Target Price to HKD2.2; No Acceleration in NEV Cycle Anticipated Before End of 2026
Sales Performance: Beijing Benz, under BAIC MOTOR, experienced an 8% decline in sales QoQ in 2Q25 and a 19% decline YoY in the first eight months of 2025, attributed to a weak NEV product cycle and fierce competition in the market.
Profit Forecasts and Future Outlook: HSBC Global Research has significantly reduced its net profit forecasts for BAIC MOTOR for 2025-26 by 57% and 50%, respectively, but anticipates a recovery in 2027 with a projected net profit of around RMB1.7 billion, contingent on the successful launch of new NEV models.
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BYD Shares Increase 4% as Auto Manufacturers Surge Following CN-EU Agreement on EV Tariffs
EU-China Tariff Agreement: The European Union has reached a consensus with China regarding tariffs on electric vehicles, requiring Chinese exporters to submit price commitment letters before entering the EU market.
Auto Stocks Performance: Following the tariff announcement, several Chinese carmakers, including BYD, CHERY, and GEELY, saw significant stock price increases, with BYD rising by nearly 4% and other brands also experiencing gains.
HSBC Research Slightly Lowers BAIC MOTOR's Target Price to HKD2.2; No Acceleration in NEV Cycle Anticipated Before End of 2026
Sales Performance: Beijing Benz, under BAIC MOTOR, experienced an 8% decline in sales QoQ in 2Q25 and a 19% decline YoY in the first eight months of 2025, attributed to a weak NEV product cycle and fierce competition in the market.
Profit Forecasts and Future Outlook: HSBC Global Research has significantly reduced its net profit forecasts for BAIC MOTOR for 2025-26 by 57% and 50%, respectively, but anticipates a recovery in 2027 with a projected net profit of around RMB1.7 billion, contingent on the successful launch of new NEV models.
BofAS Reduces BAIC MOTOR's Target Price to HKD2 Amidst Revised Revenue and Earnings Projections
Financial Performance: BAIC MOTOR reported a 16% year-over-year decline in 2Q25 revenue to RMB40 billion, with a negative EBIT margin of -1.2%, down 7.1 percentage points from the previous year.
Net Profit Decline: The company's quarterly net profit fell by 43% year-over-year, resulting in a net loss of RMB569 million compared to a profit of RMB943 million in the same quarter last year.
Interim Results: For the first half of 2025, BAIC MOTOR's sales decreased by 13% year-over-year to RMB82.4 billion, with an interim net profit dropping 82% to RMB360 million, representing only 16% of the broker's full-year forecast.
Revised Forecasts: BofA Securities has reduced its revenue forecasts for BAIC MOTOR for 2025-27 by 3-4%, lowered gross profit margins by 0.5-1.1 percentage points, and cut earnings estimates by 12-27%, while also lowering the target price from HKD2.1 to HKD2.
BAIC MOTOR Reports Interim Net Profit of RMB 360 Million, a Decrease of 82%
Company Performance: BAIC MOTOR reported a turnover decline of 12.6% year-over-year, totaling RMB82.398 billion for the interim results ending June 2025.
Profit Decline: The net profit significantly dropped by 81.8% year-over-year to RMB360 million, indicating substantial financial challenges.
Earnings Per Share: The earnings per share (EPS) was recorded at RMB4 cents, reflecting the company's reduced profitability.
Dividend Status: No dividend was declared for this period, suggesting a conservative approach in light of the financial downturn.
<Research>JPM Initiates Coverage on UBTECH ROBOTICS (09880.HK) w/ Rating Overweight/ TP $135
UBTECH ROBOTICS' Market Position: UBTECH ROBOTICS is recognized as a strategic leader in the humanoid robot industry, with strong partnerships and a solid customer base, including major companies like BYD and SERES. The company benefits from supportive government policies and its location in Shenzhen.
Growth Potential of Humanoid Robots: JPMorgan forecasts significant growth in the global humanoid robot market, predicting a total addressable market of 5 billion units over the next decade, positioning UBTECH ROBOTICS to capitalize on this expanding opportunity with an Overweight rating and a target price of $135.
BYD Shares Increase 4% as Auto Manufacturers Surge Following CN-EU Agreement on EV Tariffs
EU-China Tariff Agreement: The European Union has reached a consensus with China regarding tariffs on electric vehicles, requiring Chinese exporters to submit price commitment letters before entering the EU market.
Auto Stocks Performance: Following the tariff announcement, several Chinese carmakers, including BYD, CHERY, and GEELY, saw significant stock price increases, with BYD rising by nearly 4% and other brands also experiencing gains.
HSBC Research Slightly Lowers BAIC MOTOR's Target Price to HKD2.2; No Acceleration in NEV Cycle Anticipated Before End of 2026
Sales Performance: Beijing Benz, under BAIC MOTOR, experienced an 8% decline in sales QoQ in 2Q25 and a 19% decline YoY in the first eight months of 2025, attributed to a weak NEV product cycle and fierce competition in the market.
Profit Forecasts and Future Outlook: HSBC Global Research has significantly reduced its net profit forecasts for BAIC MOTOR for 2025-26 by 57% and 50%, respectively, but anticipates a recovery in 2027 with a projected net profit of around RMB1.7 billion, contingent on the successful launch of new NEV models.
BofAS Reduces BAIC MOTOR's Target Price to HKD2 Amidst Revised Revenue and Earnings Projections
Financial Performance: BAIC MOTOR reported a 16% year-over-year decline in 2Q25 revenue to RMB40 billion, with a negative EBIT margin of -1.2%, down 7.1 percentage points from the previous year.
Net Profit Decline: The company's quarterly net profit fell by 43% year-over-year, resulting in a net loss of RMB569 million compared to a profit of RMB943 million in the same quarter last year.
Interim Results: For the first half of 2025, BAIC MOTOR's sales decreased by 13% year-over-year to RMB82.4 billion, with an interim net profit dropping 82% to RMB360 million, representing only 16% of the broker's full-year forecast.
Revised Forecasts: BofA Securities has reduced its revenue forecasts for BAIC MOTOR for 2025-27 by 3-4%, lowered gross profit margins by 0.5-1.1 percentage points, and cut earnings estimates by 12-27%, while also lowering the target price from HKD2.1 to HKD2.
BAIC MOTOR Reports Interim Net Profit of RMB 360 Million, a Decrease of 82%
Company Performance: BAIC MOTOR reported a turnover decline of 12.6% year-over-year, totaling RMB82.398 billion for the interim results ending June 2025.
Profit Decline: The net profit significantly dropped by 81.8% year-over-year to RMB360 million, indicating substantial financial challenges.
Earnings Per Share: The earnings per share (EPS) was recorded at RMB4 cents, reflecting the company's reduced profitability.
Dividend Status: No dividend was declared for this period, suggesting a conservative approach in light of the financial downturn.
<Research>JPM Initiates Coverage on UBTECH ROBOTICS (09880.HK) w/ Rating Overweight/ TP $135
UBTECH ROBOTICS' Market Position: UBTECH ROBOTICS is recognized as a strategic leader in the humanoid robot industry, with strong partnerships and a solid customer base, including major companies like BYD and SERES. The company benefits from supportive government policies and its location in Shenzhen.
Growth Potential of Humanoid Robots: JPMorgan forecasts significant growth in the global humanoid robot market, predicting a total addressable market of 5 billion units over the next decade, positioning UBTECH ROBOTICS to capitalize on this expanding opportunity with an Overweight rating and a target price of $135.
