HP Stock Drops 5% Amid Earnings Forecast Adjustment
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 25 2026
0mins
Should l Buy HPQ?
Source: stocktwits
- Stock Volatility: HP shares dropped over 5% in Wednesday's premarket trading and are poised to test a five-year low, primarily due to the company's downward revision of its full-year earnings forecast, indicating market concerns about its future performance.
- Earnings Forecast Adjustment: HP anticipates adjusted profits for fiscal 2026 to be at the low end of its previous forecast of $2.90 to $3.20 per share, reflecting pressure on margins from rising memory chip prices, with expected PC unit shipments declining in double digits.
- Market Dynamics Response: To counter the impact of changing market dynamics, HP has implemented measures including reworking its supply chain and increasing prices to mitigate the effects of memory shortages and tariffs, although these actions may affect its competitive position in the market.
- Q1 Performance: Despite a 6.9% year-over-year increase in Q1 sales to $14.44 billion, exceeding expectations, the downward revision of profit forecasts has shifted market sentiment from 'bearish' to 'extremely bullish', indicating that investor confidence in HP's future remains intact.
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Analyst Views on HPQ
Wall Street analysts forecast HPQ stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
10 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 18.950
Low
20.00
Averages
25.30
High
30.00
Current: 18.950
Low
20.00
Averages
25.30
High
30.00
About HPQ
HP Inc. is a global provider of sustainable devices, services and subscriptions for personal computing (PC), printing, three-dimensional (3D) printing, hybrid work, gaming and other related technologies. The Company’s segments include Personal Systems, Printing and Corporate Investments. Its Personal Systems segment offers desktops, notebooks, and workstations, thin clients, retail point-of-sale (POS) systems, displays, hybrid systems, software, solutions including endpoint security and services. Its Printing segment provides consumer and commercial printer hardware, supplies, services and solutions. Printing is also focused on graphics and 3D printing and personalization in the commercial and industrial markets. Its Corporate Investments segment includes certain business incubation and investment projects. Its security solutions provide layered resiliency using features such as containment and isolation technology as well as artificial intelligence (AI) deep learning.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Investor Misconceptions: Many novice investors often mistakenly compare company values solely based on stock prices, overlooking market capitalization as a crucial metric, which highlights the importance of investor education.
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- Market Cap Comparison: HP Inc's market capitalization stands at $17.33 billion, compared to PTC Inc's $16.96 billion, indicating HP's relative strength in the market, which may attract more attention from large investors.
- Investor Misconceptions: Many novice investors often mistakenly compare company values solely based on stock prices, overlooking market capitalization as a crucial metric, which highlights the importance of investor education.
- Market Positioning Impact: Market capitalization not only affects a company's ranking among peers but also determines which mutual funds and ETFs are willing to hold these stocks; the difference in market cap between HP and PTC may influence their inclusion in investment portfolios.
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See More
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- Market Correction: Major indices, including the Dow Jones and Nasdaq, fell over 10% due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, indicating a significant risk-off sentiment among investors.
- Surge in Oil Prices: The geopolitical instability has driven oil prices higher, exacerbating inflation fears and leading investors to anticipate a prolonged high-interest rate environment, which negatively impacts overall market sentiment.
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See More
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- Analyst Optimism: Recent analyst reports highlight strong iPhone loyalty and the upcoming release of a new MacBook as positive indicators for the company's future.
See More
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- Energizer's Growth Challenges: Energizer (ENR) has a forward P/E ratio of 4.8x, and despite being one of the largest battery manufacturers globally, its organic sales growth has been sluggish at only 2.4% over the past two years, indicating a need for strategic adjustments or M&A to catalyze growth.
- Financial Leverage Risks: With a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 5x, Energizer is overleveraged, increasing the risk of shareholder dilution if circumstances worsen, which poses a significant risk to investors.
- HP's Market Challenges: HP (HPQ) trades at a forward P/E of 7x, with flat sales over the past five years and a 2.6% annual decline in earnings per share, indicating that its products and services are facing challenges in the current market cycle, leading to declining profitability.
- Sprouts' Growth Potential: Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) trades at a forward P/E of 13.6x, with same-store sales growth averaging 7.5% over the past two years and projected revenue growth of 8.1% for the next 12 months, demonstrating strong momentum in the healthy living trend, making it a stock to watch.
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- Price Increase Anticipation: Reports from Nikkei indicate that AMD and Intel have informed customers of planned CPU price hikes starting in March and April, with expected increases of 10% to 15%, further fueling optimism around both companies.
- Shifting Market Dynamics: With Arm Holding and Nvidia launching new CPUs targeting AI data centers, demand for CPUs is rising, and Evercore ISI notes that the need for CPUs in enterprise server refreshes and AI infrastructure is expected to drive more resilient demand.
- Improved Retail Investor Sentiment: On Stocktwits, retail sentiment for AMD shifted from 'bearish' to 'neutral', while Intel's sentiment improved from 'neutral' to 'bullish', indicating a recovery in investor confidence towards CPU manufacturers.
See More
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AI Market Trends: The market is currently focused on the AI boom, with semiconductor and software companies experiencing significant valuation increases as they build the digital infrastructure for this new era.
Sustainable Value Concerns: Following the initial surge in AI investments, there is a critical question regarding the sustainability of these valuations, prompting investors to seek more grounded entry points.
HP's Strategic Positioning: HP Inc. is positioning itself to capitalize on the AI trend by offering unique, value-driven investments in AI applications, while also focusing on hardware that supports intelligent business operations.
Investment Opportunities: Despite short-term market caution, HP's undervalued stock presents a compelling opportunity for investors looking for a high-yield entry point into the evolving AI landscape, supported by a strong dividend yield and a commitment to shareholder returns.
See More
