HOOD Stock Down 6% Heading for Worst Weekly Performance
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 05 2026
0mins
Source: stocktwits
- PDT Rule Change Impact: The cancellation of the Pattern Day Trader (PDT) rule on Thursday allows investors using margin accounts to avoid maintaining a minimum of $25,000 in equity, which is expected to boost retail trading activity, with Webull anticipating at least a 20% increase in transaction volume over time.
- SpaceX IPO Catalyst: The upcoming IPO of SpaceX has generated significant interest in brokerage firms like Robinhood, SoFi, and E*Trade, which are expected to offer eligible retail investors access to shares, as historically high-profile IPOs tend to attract new customers and increase trading activity.
- Robinhood Market Performance: Despite HOOD's stock dropping over 6% this week, Robinhood is actively promoting the PDT rule change by removing PDT flags from customer accounts, allowing users to trade without day-trading limits, which could potentially draw in more participants.
- Retail Sentiment Analysis: On Stocktwits, retail sentiment for HOOD and SOFI is deemed 'bullish', while BULL is in 'bearish' territory, indicating market optimism regarding HOOD's potential in the upcoming SpaceX IPO.
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Analyst Views on HOOD
Wall Street analysts forecast HOOD stock price to rise
20 Analyst Rating
16 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 97.190
Low
130.00
Averages
156.24
High
181.00
Current: 97.190
Low
130.00
Averages
156.24
High
181.00
About HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc. is focused on providing financial services offering retail brokerage, crypto, advisory, digital banking services, and private markets access to investors. Its offerings include Brokerage, Robinhood Crypto, Custody, Robinhood Wallet, Robinhood Gold, and Robinhood Gold Card. Brokerage services include investing, options trading, fractional trading, recurring investment, access to investing on margin, fully paid securities lending, cash sweep, instant withdrawals, Robinhood retirement, 24-hour market, joint investing accounts, and event contracts. It also offers a variety of ways for its customers to grow their financial knowledge, including Robinhood Learn, In-App Education, Newsfeeds, Sherwood Snacks, and Crypto Learn and Earn. It also operates regulated crypto platforms including Bitbuy and Coinsquare. Its self-clearing system, order routing system, data platform, and other back-end infrastructure allow its customers to focus on investing, saving and spending.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Revenue Decline: Robinhood reported $623 million in transaction-based revenue for Q1 2026, a 20% drop from Q4 2025, with options revenue shrinking 17% to $260 million, indicating shaky foundations for future profitability.
- Crypto Revenue Plunge: The quarter saw a 39% decline in crypto transaction revenue to $134 million, the lowest since 2024, reflecting a brutal sell-off in the crypto market that may keep investors sidelined and further impact company earnings.
- Decreasing Active Users: Despite having 27.4 million clients at the end of Q1, only 13.5 million were active monthly users, a 36% drop from the peak of 21.3 million in Q2 2021, suggesting insufficient client engagement that could affect future trading volumes and revenues.
- Valuation Pressure: Robinhood's price-to-sales ratio remains elevated at 20.8, significantly above its long-term average of 11.8, indicating that if revenue continues to decline, the stock could face a further 43% drop, posing a threat to investor confidence.
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- Stock Surge: Since the beginning of 2024, Robinhood's stock has surged 731%, significantly outperforming peers like Interactive Brokers and Charles Schwab, indicating strong market performance and heightened investor confidence.
- Regulatory Approval: Recently, Robinhood secured regulatory approval to act as a direct underwriter for initial public offerings (IPOs), marking a significant expansion into the investment banking sector and opening up a new revenue stream for the company.
- Investment Banking Expansion: Robinhood plans to build its own investment banking and equity underwriting business, becoming a direct syndicate partner in IPOs, which allows it to bypass Wall Street intermediaries and gain control of shares at institutional offer prices, thereby enhancing its competitive position.
- New Revenue Stream: This strategy not only provides Robinhood users with the opportunity to participate in IPOs at listing prices but also creates a profitable, non-transactional revenue stream for the company, reducing reliance on payment for order flow and net interest income, although building the investment banking business will take time and trust.
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- Stock Decline: SpaceX's stock has dropped 23% from its post-IPO high of $202, currently trading at $156, indicating market concerns over its high valuation that may lead to decreased investor confidence.
- Historical Trends: Among the 15 largest IPOs since 2006, the average stock price has fallen 50% within the first year, suggesting that SpaceX's shares could decline further to $67.50 in the coming months, reflecting pessimistic market expectations for its future performance.
- Overvaluation: With a market value of $2 trillion and $19.3 billion in revenue over the past four quarters, SpaceX's price-to-sales ratio stands at 104, nearly double that of Palantir, the highest-valued stock in the S&P 500, indicating that such high valuations are unsustainable.
- Investment Strategy Advice: Historical data shows that investors typically underperform in large IPOs, suggesting that investors should wait for a more attractive buying opportunity rather than rushing in at high prices.
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- Record IPO Achievement: SpaceX made its market debut on June 12, raising a staggering $75 billion and achieving a market capitalization of nearly $1.8 trillion, marking the largest IPO in history and reflecting strong market confidence in its growth prospects.
- Significant Stock Volatility: Despite a 19% increase on its first trading day to $135, the stock has since fallen 23% to $156 as of June 23, indicating investor concerns about its long-term performance, particularly given the historical trend of large IPOs experiencing substantial declines.
- Future Performance Predictions: Historical data suggests that SpaceX's stock could drop by 50% within the next year, potentially reaching $67.50, and it is expected to trade 33% below its IPO price by year-end, highlighting the need for investors to approach short-term investment opportunities with caution.
- High Valuation Risks: With a market cap of $2 trillion and revenue of only $19.3 billion over the past four quarters, SpaceX's price-to-sales ratio stands at an exorbitant 104, nearly double that of the highest-valued company in the S&P 500, indicating that such a high valuation may be unsustainable in changing market conditions.
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- Significant Stock Decline: Robinhood's stock has plummeted by 57% from last year's peak of $154, hitting a 52-week low of $63 in March, primarily due to a sharp decline in options and cryptocurrency trading revenue, which has shaken investor confidence.
- Recovery in Trading Metrics: Although May's monthly brokerage metrics indicate a recovery in options trading volume for the second consecutive month, reaching the highest level of 2026, analysts remain skeptical about the sustainability of this recovery, suggesting it may not provide long-term support for the stock price.
- Unstable Revenue Structure: In Q1 2026, Robinhood generated $623 million in total transaction revenue, a 20% decline from the previous quarter, with options revenue down 17% to $260 million and crypto revenue plummeting 39% to $134 million, highlighting the company's revenue volatility.
- Increased Valuation Pressure: Despite having 27.4 million clients at the end of Q1, only 13.5 million were active monthly users, significantly below the peak of 21.3 million in Q2 2021, and with a current price-to-sales ratio of 20.8, well above the long-term average of 11.8, indicating further downside risk for the stock.
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- Product Innovation: Cboe has launched binary option contracts based on the Mini-S&P 500 Index, marking its first foray into the rapidly growing prediction markets sector, aimed at meeting investor demand for short-term outcome trading.
- Surge in Trading Volume: According to Pew Research Center data, the combined global monthly trading volume on Kalshi and Polymarket skyrocketed from under $5 billion in September last year to approximately $24 billion in April, indicating strong growth potential in prediction markets.
- Platform Access Expansion: Cboe's contracts will initially be available on Interactive Brokers and will gradually roll out to other retail brokerage platforms like Charles Schwab over the coming months, expected to further broaden its market reach.
- Customer Demand Driven: Cboe's head of retail expansion, JJ Kinahan, noted that there is a sustained customer demand for shorter-dated, outcome-based trading, highlighting the company's rapid growth potential in the 0DTE options space.
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