Ceva announces Q3 adjusted EPS of 11 cents, surpassing consensus of 10 cents
Q3 Financial Performance: Ceva reported Q3 revenue of $28.4M, surpassing the consensus estimate of $28.04M, with a non-GAAP gross margin of 89%, up from 87% in the previous year.
Strategic Licensing Agreements: The company secured several strategic licensing agreements, including a significant portfolio license for its NeuPro NPU family with Microchip, enhancing its position in wireless connectivity and AI expansion.
Growth in AI and Wireless IoT: Ceva's AI processor licensing is contributing significantly to its revenue, and wireless IoT shipments are at record highs, positioning the company for sustainable growth.
Focus on Physical AI: Ceva aims to lead in enabling Physical AI at the edge, reinforcing its role as a foundational technology provider for intelligent, connected devices.
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- Phase Analysis: Ceva is currently in Phase 18 of the Adhishthana cycle, with shares declining over 40% since entering this phase, indicating persistent structural weakness and reflecting market pessimism about its future performance.
- Guna Triad Structure: Under the Adhishthana framework, Ceva's Phases 14, 15, and 16 were characterized by range-bound activity and sluggish price action, lacking the Satoguna characteristics necessary to support expansion in Phase 18, significantly reducing the probability of a bullish move.
- Investor Outlook: With a weak triad formation preceding it, Phase 18 has thus far delivered corrections rather than expansions, leading investors to approach aggressive bullish positions with caution and suggesting a reassessment under more favorable market conditions.
- External Pressures: Recent target cuts from research institutions have added to the cautious sentiment surrounding Ceva's stock, with the current environment favoring consolidation over momentum-driven movements, prompting investors to monitor for future structural improvements.
- Investor Conference Schedule: Ceva will showcase its strategy and growth opportunities in Physical AI at the Mobile World Congress in Barcelona from March 2-5, 2026, which is expected to attract significant attention from industry investors.
- Industry Event Participation: Following this, Ceva will participate in the Embedded World 2026 in Nuremberg, Germany from March 10-12, further solidifying its market position in smart edge technology.
- One-on-One Meeting Opportunities: At the Loop Capital Markets 7th Annual Investor Conference and Stifel NYC Technology One-on-One Conference on March 10, 2026, Ceva will offer one-on-one meetings with its management team, aiming to deepen engagement and communication with investors.
- Strategic Showcase Platform: Ceva will further demonstrate its technological prowess at the 38th Annual ROTH Conference on March 23-24, 2026, leveraging this opportunity to strengthen relationships with potential investors and showcase its leadership in smart edge products.
- Record Revenue: CEVA achieved an all-time high revenue of $31.3 million in Q4 2025, reflecting a 7% year-over-year and 10% sequential increase, showcasing the company's strong execution in wireless connectivity and AI, thereby reinforcing its market leadership.
- Licensing Revenue Growth: The company reported an 11% year-over-year increase in licensing revenue to $17.5 million, indicating robust demand across multiple markets, particularly in Wi-Fi 7 and combo connectivity, highlighting CEVA's technological diversity and market adaptability.
- Optimistic Outlook: Management anticipates total revenue growth of 8% to 12% in 2026, with non-GAAP net income expected to rise by 35% to 40% year-over-year, indicating that ongoing investments in AI and Physical AI will drive future growth.
- Record Device Shipments: CEVA powered 2.1 billion devices in 2025, with Wi-Fi shipments growing 48% year-over-year, demonstrating the company's strong performance in the rapidly expanding Smart Edge market.
- Earnings Highlights: CEVA's Q4 non-GAAP EPS stands at $0.18, aligning with expectations, while revenue hits $31.29 million, reflecting a 7.1% year-over-year increase and surpassing estimates by $0.26 million, indicating stable market performance.
- Licensing Revenue Growth: The company reports licensing and related revenue of $17.5 million, an 11% increase year-over-year, demonstrating sustained demand for CEVA's technology licensing and enhancing revenue diversification.
- Royalty Revenue Performance: Royalty revenue reaches $13.8 million, up 2%, marking the strongest quarterly royalty performance in over four years, showcasing CEVA's competitive edge in its core technology sectors.
- Balance Sheet Strengthening: CEVA successfully raised approximately $63 million net through a follow-on offering, further strengthening its balance sheet and providing financial support for future investments and expansion.
- Earnings Announcement: CEVA is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 16 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.18, reflecting a substantial year-over-year growth of 357.1%, which could enhance investor confidence and drive stock price appreciation.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated Q4 revenue is $31.03 million, representing a 6.3% year-over-year increase, indicating the company's stable performance in the market and potentially attracting more investor interest in its future growth prospects.
- Performance Prediction Trends: Over the past two years, CEVA has beaten EPS and revenue estimates 50% of the time; however, in the last three months, both EPS and revenue estimates have seen two downward revisions, reflecting a cautious market outlook on its short-term performance.
- Public Offering Plan: CEVA has announced an underwritten public offering of 3 million shares of common stock, which may provide the company with additional funding support to drive its future growth strategies.
- Shopify Upgrade: MoffettNathanson upgraded Shopify from neutral to buy, citing an attractive entry point due to market fears surrounding software companies, and believes Shopify will emerge as a long-term winner in the AI commerce landscape.
- Nvidia Outlook: Bernstein reiterated Nvidia as outperform, emphasizing that the AI growth trend remains robust, particularly in the AI compute sector, suggesting continued benefits for Nvidia and its peers.
- Thomson Reuters Upgrade: RBC upgraded Thomson Reuters from sector perform to outperform, indicating that the company's potential in the AI space will drive a rebound in stock price, creating an asymmetric upside opportunity in a complex market.
- Micron Price Target Increase: Deutsche Bank raised Micron's price target from $300 to $500 per share, asserting that the current market environment remains favorable for Micron's performance in the upcoming quarters, indicating strong growth potential.









