FY26 Revenue Consensus at $378.77M, Adjusted EBITDA View Narrowed to $28M-$34M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Should l Buy RSKD?
Consensus is for FY26 revenue $378.77M. narrows FY26 Adjusted EBITDA view to $28M-$34M from $26M-$34M.
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Analyst Views on RSKD
Wall Street analysts forecast RSKD stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
2 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 4.790
Low
5.00
Averages
5.95
High
8.00
Current: 4.790
Low
5.00
Averages
5.95
High
8.00
About RSKD
Riskified Ltd an Israel-based company engaged software publishing industry. The Company provides eCommerce risk management platform Riskfield which offers to it's customer security solutions. The Platform uses machine learning, which generates savings while ensuring transaction security. The platform of the Company analyzes hundreds of data points per transaction to deliver real-time decisions, enabling merchants to approve more legitimate orders while mitigating fraud and policy abuse. By identifying the individuals behind online interactions, its technology enables merchants to provide frictionless customer experiences, no matter how quickly business is growing. The Company uses a network of historical transaction data to support its model -over one billion historical transactions and 400 million unique consumer profiles-to continuously adapt to evolving fraud patterns.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Riskified Scheduled to Announce Q1 Earnings Results
- Earnings Announcement Date: Riskified (RSKD) is set to announce its Q1 earnings on May 13 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.03, indicating stable profitability year-over-year.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Analysts project Q1 revenue to reach $87.72 million, reflecting a 6.5% year-over-year increase, suggesting the company's growth potential despite facing market challenges.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, RSKD has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, demonstrating consistency and reliability in financial performance.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates saw no upward revisions and three downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced two upward revisions and three downward adjustments, indicating a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.
See More
Riskified Q1 Earnings Exceed Expectations with Revenue Growth
- Earnings Beat: Riskified reported a Q1 non-GAAP EPS of $0.05, exceeding expectations by $0.02, which enhances investor confidence in the company's profitability.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q1 revenue of $88.27 million, reflecting a 7.1% year-over-year increase and surpassing market expectations by $0.55 million, indicating sustained business momentum.
- Upward Revenue Guidance: Riskified now anticipates full-year revenue between $376 million and $384 million, with a midpoint of $380 million, which is above the consensus estimate of $378.77 million, showcasing a positive outlook for future growth.
- Adjusted EBITDA Forecast Increase: The adjusted EBITDA is expected to range from $28 million to $34 million, with a midpoint of $31 million, up from the previous range of $26 million to $34 million, reflecting improved profitability prospects.
See More
Riskified to Participate in 21st Annual Needham Conference
- Management Team Participation: Riskified Ltd. will participate virtually in the 21st Annual Needham Technology, Media, & Consumer 1×1 Conference on May 14, 2026, showcasing its leadership in ecommerce risk intelligence.
- Ecommerce Growth Empowerment: As a leader in ecommerce fraud and risk intelligence, Riskified helps numerous renowned brands and publicly traded companies enhance online sales and improve customer retention by providing guaranteed protection against chargebacks.
- Data-Driven Decision Making: The Riskified platform, developed by the largest team of ecommerce risk analysts, data scientists, and researchers, analyzes the individual behind each interaction to provide real-time identity-based insights and decision support.
- Industry Impact: By continuously optimizing its risk management solutions, Riskified not only enhances client security but also solidifies its competitive advantage in the rapidly evolving ecommerce market.
See More
Riskified Appoints New Board Member
- Board Changes: Riskified announced the appointment of Dr. Samer Haj-Yehia to its Board of Directors and Audit Committee effective March 19, 2026, aiming to enhance the company's expertise in global fintech to support the expansion of its AI-driven platform.
- Executive Departure: Aaron Mankovski resigned from the Board on March 17, 2026, after nearly a decade of service, with Chairman Eido Gal expressing gratitude for his contributions that were pivotal in the company's transition from startup to public entity.
- New Member's Background: Dr. Haj-Yehia brings extensive experience from the financial services sector, having served as Executive Group Chairman of Bank Leumi and held senior roles at Fidelity Investments, with his deep knowledge of financial markets poised to support Riskified's long-term growth.
- Board Composition: Following these changes, Riskified's Board will consist of eight directors, six of whom qualify as
See More
Riskified Launches Specialized Risk Management Solution for Shopify
- Product Launch: Riskified has introduced Dispute Resolve for Shopify brands, designed to streamline the complex chargeback management process through an automated engine, which is expected to significantly reduce the time costs associated with manual operations for merchants.
- Workflow Optimization: The solution features a real-time dashboard that automatically syncs data from various payment gateways, enabling merchants to gain instant clarity into dispute performance, thereby enhancing efficiency and reducing time spent on handling chargebacks.
- Deep Integration: Dispute Resolve further strengthens the integration between Riskified and the Shopify ecosystem, providing comprehensive security across every stage of the customer journey, helping merchants safely approve more orders while mitigating losses from refunds and returns.
- Success Story: Skullcandy leveraged Riskified's Shopify app to achieve a 4x increase in approved revenue while maintaining a mere 0.06% chargeback rate over a 12-month period, demonstrating the platform's effectiveness in enhancing merchant performance and customer experience.
See More
Riskified Partners with Radial to Enhance Fraud Protection
- Strategic Partnership: Riskified has partnered with Radial to integrate its AI-powered platform for payment fraud, refund claims, and return abuse protection, aiming to help merchants increase legitimate order approvals and reduce payment fraud losses, particularly for those using Shopify.
- Global Network Support: With over 20 ecommerce fulfillment centers across North America, Radial supports many recognized retail brands, and by incorporating Riskified's decision-making system, merchants can adjust the checkout experience according to risk without delaying fulfillment, facilitating brand expansion into new markets.
- Real-Time Decisioning: Riskified empowers Radial's customers with accurate, real-time fraud decisions at checkout, approving or declining transactions while assuming full financial liability for fraud chargebacks, achieved through advanced machine learning and a vast global merchant network.
- Policy Protection and Dispute Resolution: The partnership also enables Radial to leverage Riskified's Policy Protect solution to uncover true identities and purchase histories behind orders and claims, allowing for effective fraud prevention policies, while the Dispute Resolve platform streamlines chargeback management, enhancing revenue recovery efficiency.
See More
Riskified Scheduled to Announce Q1 Earnings Results
- Earnings Announcement Date: Riskified (RSKD) is set to announce its Q1 earnings on May 13 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.03, indicating stable profitability year-over-year.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Analysts project Q1 revenue to reach $87.72 million, reflecting a 6.5% year-over-year increase, suggesting the company's growth potential despite facing market challenges.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, RSKD has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, demonstrating consistency and reliability in financial performance.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates saw no upward revisions and three downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced two upward revisions and three downward adjustments, indicating a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.
See More
Riskified Q1 Earnings Exceed Expectations with Revenue Growth
- Earnings Beat: Riskified reported a Q1 non-GAAP EPS of $0.05, exceeding expectations by $0.02, which enhances investor confidence in the company's profitability.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q1 revenue of $88.27 million, reflecting a 7.1% year-over-year increase and surpassing market expectations by $0.55 million, indicating sustained business momentum.
- Upward Revenue Guidance: Riskified now anticipates full-year revenue between $376 million and $384 million, with a midpoint of $380 million, which is above the consensus estimate of $378.77 million, showcasing a positive outlook for future growth.
- Adjusted EBITDA Forecast Increase: The adjusted EBITDA is expected to range from $28 million to $34 million, with a midpoint of $31 million, up from the previous range of $26 million to $34 million, reflecting improved profitability prospects.
See More
Riskified to Participate in 21st Annual Needham Conference
- Management Team Participation: Riskified Ltd. will participate virtually in the 21st Annual Needham Technology, Media, & Consumer 1×1 Conference on May 14, 2026, showcasing its leadership in ecommerce risk intelligence.
- Ecommerce Growth Empowerment: As a leader in ecommerce fraud and risk intelligence, Riskified helps numerous renowned brands and publicly traded companies enhance online sales and improve customer retention by providing guaranteed protection against chargebacks.
- Data-Driven Decision Making: The Riskified platform, developed by the largest team of ecommerce risk analysts, data scientists, and researchers, analyzes the individual behind each interaction to provide real-time identity-based insights and decision support.
- Industry Impact: By continuously optimizing its risk management solutions, Riskified not only enhances client security but also solidifies its competitive advantage in the rapidly evolving ecommerce market.
See More
Riskified Appoints New Board Member
- Board Changes: Riskified announced the appointment of Dr. Samer Haj-Yehia to its Board of Directors and Audit Committee effective March 19, 2026, aiming to enhance the company's expertise in global fintech to support the expansion of its AI-driven platform.
- Executive Departure: Aaron Mankovski resigned from the Board on March 17, 2026, after nearly a decade of service, with Chairman Eido Gal expressing gratitude for his contributions that were pivotal in the company's transition from startup to public entity.
- New Member's Background: Dr. Haj-Yehia brings extensive experience from the financial services sector, having served as Executive Group Chairman of Bank Leumi and held senior roles at Fidelity Investments, with his deep knowledge of financial markets poised to support Riskified's long-term growth.
- Board Composition: Following these changes, Riskified's Board will consist of eight directors, six of whom qualify as
See More
Riskified Launches Specialized Risk Management Solution for Shopify
- Product Launch: Riskified has introduced Dispute Resolve for Shopify brands, designed to streamline the complex chargeback management process through an automated engine, which is expected to significantly reduce the time costs associated with manual operations for merchants.
- Workflow Optimization: The solution features a real-time dashboard that automatically syncs data from various payment gateways, enabling merchants to gain instant clarity into dispute performance, thereby enhancing efficiency and reducing time spent on handling chargebacks.
- Deep Integration: Dispute Resolve further strengthens the integration between Riskified and the Shopify ecosystem, providing comprehensive security across every stage of the customer journey, helping merchants safely approve more orders while mitigating losses from refunds and returns.
- Success Story: Skullcandy leveraged Riskified's Shopify app to achieve a 4x increase in approved revenue while maintaining a mere 0.06% chargeback rate over a 12-month period, demonstrating the platform's effectiveness in enhancing merchant performance and customer experience.
See More
Riskified Partners with Radial to Enhance Fraud Protection
- Strategic Partnership: Riskified has partnered with Radial to integrate its AI-powered platform for payment fraud, refund claims, and return abuse protection, aiming to help merchants increase legitimate order approvals and reduce payment fraud losses, particularly for those using Shopify.
- Global Network Support: With over 20 ecommerce fulfillment centers across North America, Radial supports many recognized retail brands, and by incorporating Riskified's decision-making system, merchants can adjust the checkout experience according to risk without delaying fulfillment, facilitating brand expansion into new markets.
- Real-Time Decisioning: Riskified empowers Radial's customers with accurate, real-time fraud decisions at checkout, approving or declining transactions while assuming full financial liability for fraud chargebacks, achieved through advanced machine learning and a vast global merchant network.
- Policy Protection and Dispute Resolution: The partnership also enables Radial to leverage Riskified's Policy Protect solution to uncover true identities and purchase histories behind orders and claims, allowing for effective fraud prevention policies, while the Dispute Resolve platform streamlines chargeback management, enhancing revenue recovery efficiency.
See More
