Forecast: This Impressive Vanguard ETF is Set to Outperform the S&P 500 Once More in 2026
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 11 2025
0mins
Should l Buy GOOG?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
S&P 500 Growth Index Overview: The S&P 500 Growth index consists of 216 top-performing growth stocks from the S&P 500, typically yielding higher returns but with increased volatility. The Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF, which tracks this index, has outperformed the S&P 500 consistently since its inception.
Performance Comparison: In 2023, the S&P 500 delivered a total return of 17.8%, while the Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF achieved a return of 22.7%. The ETF's success is attributed to its significant investments in tech giants like Nvidia and Alphabet, which have driven its performance.
Investment Strategy: The Growth index selects stocks based on momentum and sales growth, rebalancing quarterly to maintain high-performing stocks while avoiding underperformers. This strategy has contributed to the ETF's strong returns compared to the broader S&P 500.
Future Outlook: Analysts predict continued strong performance for the Vanguard ETF in 2026, driven by ongoing advancements in technology sectors such as AI, cloud computing, and potential future growth areas like autonomous vehicles and quantum computing. However, the ETF may experience sharper corrections during market downturns, making it suitable for investors comfortable with volatility.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy GOOG?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on GOOG
Wall Street analysts forecast GOOG stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
14 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 289.200
Low
255.00
Averages
336.08
High
400.00
Current: 289.200
Low
255.00
Averages
336.08
High
400.00
About GOOG
Alphabet Inc. is a holding company. The Company's segments include Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets. The Google Services segment includes products and services such as ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Google Maps, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. The Google Cloud segment includes infrastructure and platform services, collaboration tools, and other services for enterprise customers. Its Other Bets segment is engaged in the sale of healthcare-related services and Internet services. Its Google Cloud provides enterprise-ready cloud services, including Google Cloud Platform and Google Workspace. Google Cloud Platform provides access to solutions such as artificial intelligence (AI) offerings, including its AI infrastructure, Vertex AI platform, and Gemini for Google Cloud; cybersecurity, and data and analytics. Google Workspace includes cloud-based communication and collaboration tools for enterprises, such as Calendar, Gmail, Docs, Drive, and Meet.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Meta Lays Off Hundreds in Strategic Restructuring
- Layoff Announcement: Meta has confirmed layoffs affecting hundreds of employees across various departments, including Facebook, global operations, recruiting, sales, and its virtual reality division Reality Labs, indicating a strong commitment to strategic restructuring.
- New Role Opportunities: Some impacted employees are being offered new roles within the company, although these positions may require relocation, reflecting Meta's efforts to optimize its workforce allocation amid significant changes.
- Focus on AI: The layoffs align with Meta's strategic shift towards artificial intelligence, as the company invests billions to catch up with competitors like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google, highlighting its commitment to future technological advancements.
- Historical Layoff Context: In January, Meta cut over 1,000 jobs related to virtual reality, impacting about 10% of its hardware division, indicating a broader trend of adjusting product development directions in response to market dynamics.
See More
Adani Engages Tech Giants for Data Center Partnerships
- Partnership Discussions: Indian billionaire Gautam Adani is in talks with tech giants Meta and Google regarding potential partnerships in his data center business, indicating Adani Group's intent to expand in the digital infrastructure sector.
- Potential Partners: In addition to Meta and Google, Walmart's Flipkart has also engaged with Adani Group, highlighting the growing demand for data centers from large retailers, which could drive diversification for Adani Group.
- Data Center Expansion: While specific sites have yet to be finalized, plans to establish data centers across India reflect a response to the increasing digitalization demands in the Indian market, potentially providing new revenue streams for Adani Group.
- Market Reaction: Adani Group, Meta, Google, and Walmart have not yet commented on the matter, leaving market reactions to these potential partnerships unclear, but such moves could impact the stock prices and market strategies of the involved companies.
See More
Google Unveils New Algorithms to Reduce Memory Requirements
- Memory Demand Reduction: Google has introduced new algorithms including TurboQuant, Quantized Johnson-Lindenstrauss, and PolarQuant, aimed at significantly reducing memory requirements for large language models and vector search engines, thereby enhancing overall operational efficiency and lowering costs.
- Market Reaction: Following Google's announcement, shares of major memory suppliers fell sharply, with Micron down 4%, Western Digital sliding 4.4%, Seagate Technology declining 5.6%, and Sandisk plummeting 6.5%, reflecting market concerns over future memory demand.
- Algorithm Innovation: TurboQuant serves as a compression algorithm that optimally addresses memory overhead in vector quantization, while the Johnson-Lindenstrauss Transform shrinks complex high-dimensional data while preserving essential distances and relationships, greatly enhancing data processing speed.
- Industry Impact: As AI becomes increasingly integrated into various products, this foundational work in vector quantization will become more critical, with Google planning to present TurboQuant at the International Conference on Learning Representations in April, further solidifying its leadership in the AI space.
See More
U.S. Stock Futures Rise; Four Key Stocks to Watch
- Alphabet Stock Decline: Alphabet (GOOG) shares fell over 3% on Tuesday to around $290, marking the lowest close since November and putting it just 3% away from entering a bear market.
- Broadcom Price Target Raised: Broadcom (AVGO) rose 0.94% in premarket trading after GF Securities raised its price target, expecting total TPU shipments to reach 4.5 million and 7.9 million units in 2026E and 2027E, respectively, exceeding previous estimates.
- GM Investment Announcement: General Motors (GM) gained 2.91% in premarket trade after announcing a $600 million investment in its South Korean unit to upgrade manufacturing facilities, including two $300 million commitments aimed at enhancing production capabilities.
- Meta Executive Stock Options: Meta Platforms (META) advanced 1.26% before the opening bell as the company disclosed it is granting stock options to top executives for the first time since its 2012 IPO, aimed at retaining leadership amid intense competition in AI.
See More
GF Securities Raises Broadcom Price Target to $450 Amid TPU Shipment Growth
- Price Target Increase: GF Securities raised Broadcom's price target to $450, reflecting optimistic expectations for its future performance, particularly in light of anticipated growth in TPU shipments, which are now projected to reach 4.5 million and 7.9 million units in 2026 and 2027, respectively, an increase from previous estimates.
- Shipment Expectations: Analyst Alicia Xia noted that Broadcom's TPU shipments are expected to be 4.1 million and 5.8 million units, primarily driven by external sales, which will significantly enhance the company's market share and revenue potential.
- Product Readiness: Broadcom's Ironwood and Sunfish models are ready for customer testing, while MTK's Zebrafish has not yet started, positioning Broadcom favorably in the TPU market with an expected acceleration in deployment by 2027.
- Pricing Trend: The average selling price for the Pumafish is expected to exceed $20,000 in 2027, driven by its more complex design, which will further enhance Broadcom's profitability and competitive position in the market.
See More
GOOGLE INDIA MD: DEDICATED TO ESTABLISHING A NETWORK OF AUTHENTICATED INVESTMENT APPLICATIONS
- Google India's Commitment: Google India is dedicated to establishing a system for verified investment applications.
- Focus on Ecosystem Development: The initiative aims to create a robust ecosystem that enhances trust and reliability in investment platforms.
See More
Meta Lays Off Hundreds in Strategic Restructuring
- Layoff Announcement: Meta has confirmed layoffs affecting hundreds of employees across various departments, including Facebook, global operations, recruiting, sales, and its virtual reality division Reality Labs, indicating a strong commitment to strategic restructuring.
- New Role Opportunities: Some impacted employees are being offered new roles within the company, although these positions may require relocation, reflecting Meta's efforts to optimize its workforce allocation amid significant changes.
- Focus on AI: The layoffs align with Meta's strategic shift towards artificial intelligence, as the company invests billions to catch up with competitors like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google, highlighting its commitment to future technological advancements.
- Historical Layoff Context: In January, Meta cut over 1,000 jobs related to virtual reality, impacting about 10% of its hardware division, indicating a broader trend of adjusting product development directions in response to market dynamics.
See More
Adani Engages Tech Giants for Data Center Partnerships
- Partnership Discussions: Indian billionaire Gautam Adani is in talks with tech giants Meta and Google regarding potential partnerships in his data center business, indicating Adani Group's intent to expand in the digital infrastructure sector.
- Potential Partners: In addition to Meta and Google, Walmart's Flipkart has also engaged with Adani Group, highlighting the growing demand for data centers from large retailers, which could drive diversification for Adani Group.
- Data Center Expansion: While specific sites have yet to be finalized, plans to establish data centers across India reflect a response to the increasing digitalization demands in the Indian market, potentially providing new revenue streams for Adani Group.
- Market Reaction: Adani Group, Meta, Google, and Walmart have not yet commented on the matter, leaving market reactions to these potential partnerships unclear, but such moves could impact the stock prices and market strategies of the involved companies.
See More
Google Unveils New Algorithms to Reduce Memory Requirements
- Memory Demand Reduction: Google has introduced new algorithms including TurboQuant, Quantized Johnson-Lindenstrauss, and PolarQuant, aimed at significantly reducing memory requirements for large language models and vector search engines, thereby enhancing overall operational efficiency and lowering costs.
- Market Reaction: Following Google's announcement, shares of major memory suppliers fell sharply, with Micron down 4%, Western Digital sliding 4.4%, Seagate Technology declining 5.6%, and Sandisk plummeting 6.5%, reflecting market concerns over future memory demand.
- Algorithm Innovation: TurboQuant serves as a compression algorithm that optimally addresses memory overhead in vector quantization, while the Johnson-Lindenstrauss Transform shrinks complex high-dimensional data while preserving essential distances and relationships, greatly enhancing data processing speed.
- Industry Impact: As AI becomes increasingly integrated into various products, this foundational work in vector quantization will become more critical, with Google planning to present TurboQuant at the International Conference on Learning Representations in April, further solidifying its leadership in the AI space.
See More
U.S. Stock Futures Rise; Four Key Stocks to Watch
- Alphabet Stock Decline: Alphabet (GOOG) shares fell over 3% on Tuesday to around $290, marking the lowest close since November and putting it just 3% away from entering a bear market.
- Broadcom Price Target Raised: Broadcom (AVGO) rose 0.94% in premarket trading after GF Securities raised its price target, expecting total TPU shipments to reach 4.5 million and 7.9 million units in 2026E and 2027E, respectively, exceeding previous estimates.
- GM Investment Announcement: General Motors (GM) gained 2.91% in premarket trade after announcing a $600 million investment in its South Korean unit to upgrade manufacturing facilities, including two $300 million commitments aimed at enhancing production capabilities.
- Meta Executive Stock Options: Meta Platforms (META) advanced 1.26% before the opening bell as the company disclosed it is granting stock options to top executives for the first time since its 2012 IPO, aimed at retaining leadership amid intense competition in AI.
See More
GF Securities Raises Broadcom Price Target to $450 Amid TPU Shipment Growth
- Price Target Increase: GF Securities raised Broadcom's price target to $450, reflecting optimistic expectations for its future performance, particularly in light of anticipated growth in TPU shipments, which are now projected to reach 4.5 million and 7.9 million units in 2026 and 2027, respectively, an increase from previous estimates.
- Shipment Expectations: Analyst Alicia Xia noted that Broadcom's TPU shipments are expected to be 4.1 million and 5.8 million units, primarily driven by external sales, which will significantly enhance the company's market share and revenue potential.
- Product Readiness: Broadcom's Ironwood and Sunfish models are ready for customer testing, while MTK's Zebrafish has not yet started, positioning Broadcom favorably in the TPU market with an expected acceleration in deployment by 2027.
- Pricing Trend: The average selling price for the Pumafish is expected to exceed $20,000 in 2027, driven by its more complex design, which will further enhance Broadcom's profitability and competitive position in the market.
See More
GOOGLE INDIA MD: DEDICATED TO ESTABLISHING A NETWORK OF AUTHENTICATED INVESTMENT APPLICATIONS
- Google India's Commitment: Google India is dedicated to establishing a system for verified investment applications.
- Focus on Ecosystem Development: The initiative aims to create a robust ecosystem that enhances trust and reliability in investment platforms.
See More
