Federal Reserve Keeps Rates Unchanged, Markets Rebound
The major averages closed lower after the Federal Reserve, now under new chair Kevin Warsh, voted 12-0 to keep the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.5%-3.75%. Of note, in the committee's quarterly summary of economic projections, half of the respondents indicated they expect at least one rate hike this year, with some committee members projecting two or three. In a dramatically shorter post-meeting statement, the Fed said that inflation remains elevated, but committed that the committee will "deliver price stability."In the opening hours of the evening session, markets are recovering lost ground fromthe Fed's perceived hawkish tilt. S&P e-minis are up 0.7%, and Nasdaq 100 futures are up 1.2%. Also helping sentiment was the statement from President Trump that the peace deal with Iran has been signed, In commodities, WTI Crude Oil is trending lower toward $75 per barrel. After lurching lower on broad dollar strength driven by sharply higher short term rates, gold and silver are finding support.Check out this evening's top movers from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly.HIGHER -Rumble Inc.up 18% after expansion into AI businessAXT, Inc.up 3.7% after subsidiary Tongmei enters supply agreement with CaselaAlkermes plcup 2.1% after positive results from Phase 2 study of AlixorextonNucor Corporationup 0.4% after Q2 pre-announcementLOWER -Steel Dynamicsdown 2.6% after Q2 pre-announcement
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- Corporate Restructuring: Following the acquisition of Northern Data AG, Rumble has rebranded as RUM Group Inc. effective June 18, 2026, establishing two core business units: the Rumble video platform and Quake AI cloud services, aimed at enhancing market competitiveness through resource integration.
- Technological Infrastructure: Quake AI consolidates approximately 22,000 NVIDIA H100/H200 GPUs and 250 MW of data center power, providing robust computing capabilities that support AI agents' coordination and transactions, which is expected to drive technological innovation in future enterprises.
- Creative Platform: Rumble serves as the foundation for creative expression, offering various content creation and distribution tools designed to provide users with a platform for free expression, enhancing user engagement and creativity, thereby solidifying its position in the video media market.
- Future Outlook: RUM Group Inc. plans to unveil more product details and brand rollout strategies in the coming months, demonstrating its commitment to human imagination and creativity, aiming to drive business growth through the integration of technology and creativity.
- Corporate Restructuring: Following the completion of its acquisition of Northern Data, Rumble has restructured its corporate identity and renamed itself RUM Group, marking a strategic shift in its cloud and AI infrastructure business.
- Business Unit Division: Effective June 18, Rumble will operate through two business units: the video platform Rumble and the cloud and AI infrastructure business Quake AI, formerly known as Northern Data, aimed at enhancing market competitiveness.
- Revenue Outlook Upgrade: Northern Data recently raised its 2026 revenue forecast by approximately 30%, projecting revenues between €170 million and €190 million, indicating strong market demand and growth potential.
- Stock Price Surge: Rumble's stock price jumped over 18% during pre-market trading on Thursday, reflecting positive market sentiment regarding the company's restructuring and future growth prospects.
- Tech Stock Surge: Intel's (INTC.O) shares rose 9.3% in premarket trading due to optimism surrounding a Middle East peace deal, alleviating concerns about a hawkish Federal Reserve under new Chair Warsh and boosting overall market sentiment.
- Market Expectation Shift: The CME Group's FedWatch tool indicates a 50% chance of a 25-bps rate hike in September, up from 27% on Wednesday, reflecting a divergence in investor views regarding future monetary policy.
- Positive Economic Data: Recent data showed U.S. retail sales in May exceeded expectations, with households increasing spending on cars and other vehicles despite rising gasoline prices, indicating economic resilience and further supporting market confidence.
- Strong Individual Stock Performances: Rumble (RUM.O) surged 16.2% after rebranding to RUM Group and closing its acquisition of German AI cloud company Northern Data; Smith & Wesson (SWBI.O) saw a 16.6% increase following a rise in fourth-quarter sales, highlighting robust performances among individual companies.
- Diplomatic Breakthrough: The U.S. and Iran signed a 14-point Memorandum of Understanding, establishing a 60-day negotiation window to reach a broader peace agreement, reopening the critical Strait of Hormuz, which could ease tensions in the Middle East and stabilize global energy markets.
- Federal Reserve Outlook: At the first meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh, the Fed held rates steady but indicated a potential rate hike in 2026, raising the year-end core inflation projection to 3.3%, reflecting a commitment to combating inflation that may influence future monetary policy directions.
- Positive Market Reaction: U.S. stock futures surged following the diplomatic progress, with Nasdaq futures up 1.4% and S&P 500 futures up 0.9%, indicating investor optimism about market prospects, which could stimulate further capital inflows into equities.
- Tech Stock Movements: Apple warned of potential price hikes on some products due to rising AI-driven costs, leading memory stocks like Micron (MU) to rise between 4% and 6%, while Rumble Inc (RUM) surged 17% after finalizing its Northern Data acquisition, highlighting strong market interest in tech stocks.
- Peace Agreement Signed: The U.S. and Iran have signed a 14-point Memorandum of Understanding that extends the ceasefire and establishes a framework for a peace agreement, with a 60-day negotiation period that could enhance stability and economic recovery in the Middle East.
- Significant Economic Impact: As part of the deal, the U.S. will lift its naval blockade of Iran and restore pre-war military deployments within 30 days, while Iran will facilitate the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, allowing commercial shipping to resume, which is expected to stabilize global oil prices.
- Federal Reserve Policy Dynamics: At Kevin Warsh's first meeting, the Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged, although it now projects a rate hike in 2026, with inflation expectations raised to 3.6%, indicating a cautious stance that may affect future market liquidity.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the signing of the U.S.-Iran peace agreement, U.S. stock futures rose broadly, with S&P 500 futures up about 0.81%, reflecting market optimism about future economic improvements, particularly against the backdrop of energy prices and inflation pressures.
- Restructuring and Expansion: Following its acquisition of Northern Data AG, Rumble has restructured into RUM Group, introducing a new AI infrastructure division, Quake AI, which signifies a strategic shift from video streaming to cloud computing, expected to enhance market competitiveness significantly.
- Stock Surge: RUM's stock surged over 18% late Wednesday after the restructuring announcement, reflecting positive market sentiment towards the company's new direction and indicating increased investor confidence in its AI business prospects.
- Infrastructure Development: Quake AI integrates approximately 22,000 NVIDIA H100 and H200 GPUs, with a data center network power capacity of around 250 megawatts, providing strong future scalability to support additional AI hardware and cloud service deployments, thereby enhancing the company's technical capabilities.
- Growing Market Demand: Northern Data raised its 2026 revenue forecast to between €170 million and €190 million, indicating strong demand for AI computing capacity, while Rumble's $270 million agreement with Together AI further demonstrates the market potential for dedicated AI cloud services.









