Analyst Predicts Growth in Security and Computing for Fastly and Akamai
Analyst Upgrades: Keybanc analyst Jackson Ader upgraded Fastly, Inc. from Sector Weight to Overweight with a price target of $14, and Akamai Technologies, Inc. from Underweight to Overweight with a price target raised from $66 to $115.
Growth Drivers: Ader believes both companies are well-positioned for growth in security and compute offerings, with Akamai expected to benefit from rising demand for edge compute and improved CDN pricing.
Fastly's Recovery: Fastly is projected to see a revenue growth of 12.6%, a significant rebound from previous challenges, driven by an expanded security product line and a new executive team focused on growth.
Market Performance: Fastly's stock is performing well, and Akamai is anticipated to accelerate revenue growth in 2026, supported by the launch of its AI Inference Cloud platform and strong growth in Cloud Infrastructure Services.
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- Oil Price Surge: Crude oil prices soared over 13% as President Trump took a tougher stance on Iran, reaching a 3.5-week high, which not only heightened inflation fears but also pushed bond yields higher, with the 10-year T-note yield rising by 2 basis points to 4.34%.
- Unemployment Claims Drop: Weekly initial unemployment claims unexpectedly fell by 9,000 to 202,000, indicating a stronger labor market than the anticipated increase to 212,000, which could provide support for the stock market amid rising inflation concerns.
- Global Market Decline: Overseas stock markets are lower, with the Euro Stoxx 50 down 2.25%, China's Shanghai Composite down 0.74%, and Japan's Nikkei 225 sharply falling 2.38% from a two-week high, reflecting global economic uncertainty and investor caution.
- Airline Stocks Plummet: Airline stocks are sharply lower as crude oil prices surged over 10%, raising fuel costs; United Airlines and American Airlines Group both fell more than 6%, highlighting the direct impact of rising oil prices on airline profitability.
- Rating Downgrade: Baird downgraded Akamai from Outperform to Neutral, indicating a more balanced risk-reward profile, reflecting a cautious outlook on short-term growth potential.
- Stock Performance: Year-to-date, Akamai has surged 33%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's -4% and IGV's -25%, recently hitting 52-week highs, driven by optimism surrounding compute capabilities and AI traffic.
- Short-Term Outlook: Analysts note that while the long-term prospects for the CIS segment are positive, seasonal factors may limit Q1 growth, particularly in the key CIS area, with no significant near-term uplift expected.
- AI Impact Assessment: Analyst William Power stated that while AI could provide long-term benefits, the current text-based AI activities are unlikely to significantly impact Akamai's delivery business, with expected short-term gains being “modest.”
- Contract Awarded: Montana has awarded Akamai a new data communications contract, streamlining the acquisition of its security and cloud computing solutions for state and local agencies as well as educational institutions, thereby reducing administrative hurdles associated with traditional bidding.
- Market Demand: According to Akamai's VP Rob San Martin, government agencies and schools require immediate access to industry-leading cloud and security tools to enhance service resilience, scalability, and performance while ensuring the protection of citizen data.
- Partnership Utilization: Akamai will leverage its partnership with Carahsoft to fulfill orders and provide technical guidance to participating agencies, ensuring effective implementation and support of its solutions.
- Stock Price Reaction: Following the announcement, Akamai's shares rose approximately 1% in premarket trading on Wednesday, indicating a positive market response to the new contract.
- Contract Awarded: Akamai Technologies announced the acquisition of a new data communications contract, further solidifying its market position in data transmission and expected to generate a stable revenue stream for the company.
- Market Impact: The acquisition of this contract not only enhances Akamai's business portfolio but may also attract more customers to its data solutions, increasing the company's appeal in a competitive market.
- Strategic Significance: By expanding the scope of the contract, Akamai can better meet customer demands for efficient data communication, thereby improving customer satisfaction and fostering long-term partnerships.
- Future Outlook: With the continuous growth in data communication demand, the successful signing of this contract lays the groundwork for Akamai's future business expansion and technological innovation, indicating the company's ongoing development potential in the industry.
- Streamlined Procurement: Akamai's new data communications contract with Montana provides a compliant purchasing pathway for state and local agencies, as well as educational institutions, enabling faster access to industry-leading security and cloud computing solutions, thereby enhancing public sector digital transformation efficiency.
- Cyber Threat Response: This contract addresses the urgent need for government agencies to deploy security patches quickly while offering educational institutions a direct mechanism to modernize campuses and protect student data, significantly bolstering defenses against sophisticated cyber threats.
- Market Expansion Opportunities: The contract allows other U.S. states to utilize this authorized vehicle, enabling them to diversify their technology stack through reciprocal agreements, which further drives Akamai's penetration in the public sector market.
- Partner Support: Akamai will collaborate with Carahsoft to provide technical guidance and fulfill orders, with Carahsoft's involvement helping public sector customers maximize the value of this contract and ensure the successful implementation of their digital transformation initiatives.
- Traffic Surge: The Human Security report reveals that automated traffic grew almost eight times faster than human activity in 2025, indicating a rapid shift towards AI dominance on the internet.
- Data Processing Scale: The report is based on over one quadrillion interactions processed by Human Security's Human Defense Platform, providing a significant benchmark for the industry despite challenges in quantifying automated activity across the internet.
- Agentic Activity Growth: In 2025, the volume of AI agentic activity surged nearly 8,000%, showcasing the increasing capability of AI to perform user actions autonomously, thereby transforming traditional internet interactions.
- Future Predictions: Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince predicts that by 2027, AI bot traffic will surpass human traffic, reflecting the immense data demands of generative AI and its potential impact on the structure of the internet.











