ETF Movers on Tuesday: FIG, ITB
iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF Performance: The iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF is down approximately 2.8% in Tuesday afternoon trading, underperforming other ETFs.
Weakest Components: Notable declines among ETF components include D.R. Horton, which fell about 5.3%, and Century Communities, which decreased by about 5.1%.
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Stock Performance: D.R. Horton, Lennar, and PulteGroup have all seen increases in their stock prices, with D.R. Horton up 5%, Lennar up 5.4%, and PulteGroup up 5.3%.
Toll Brothers Growth: Toll Brothers has also experienced a rise in stock value, increasing by 3.6%.

U.S. Home Builders' Response: U.S. home builders are collaborating to create a program aimed at developing up to 1 million "Trump homes."
Focus on Housing Development: The initiative reflects a strategic effort to address housing needs and potentially capitalize on the political branding associated with former President Trump.
- Significant Revenue Growth: TSMC's Q4 revenue surged 25.5% year-over-year to $33.73 billion, with a gross margin of 62.3%, reflecting strong market demand and profitability, thereby reinforcing its leadership position in the semiconductor industry.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Management anticipates capital spending between $52 billion and $56 billion in 2026, with approximately 40% of revenue allocated to capital expenditures, indicating strong confidence in future growth and ongoing investment in the AI market.
- Increase in Advanced Process Share: Three-nanometer chips accounted for 28% of total wafer revenue, five-nanometer for 35%, and seven-nanometer for 14%, totaling 77% of revenue from the most advanced processes, highlighting the robust demand driven by AI applications and TSMC's technological edge.
- Geopolitical Risk Management: TSMC is actively expanding into the U.S. and Japan to reduce reliance on Taiwan, enhancing the stability and resilience of its global supply chain, ensuring competitiveness in a rapidly changing market environment.
- Rate Cut Expectations: Market focus is on when the Fed will cut rates, with expectations that easing could improve the financing environment for banks and homebuilders, potentially stimulating loan demand and housing sales, thus boosting related stocks.
- Bank Profitability Pressure: Major banks like JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America face pressure from rising deposit costs and slowing loan growth, and a rate cut could ease net interest margin pressures, improving profit outlooks.
- Homebuilder Demand Recovery: As mortgage rates decline, homebuilders such as D.R. Horton and Lennar may see a rebound in buyer demand, especially given limited supply, which could restore pricing power.
- Economic Context Significance: The economic backdrop of rate cuts is crucial; if cuts are due to economic weakness, it may lead to increased loan defaults, posing risks to banks and affecting overall market confidence.
- Ongoing Housing Shortage: Goldman Sachs estimates that the U.S. needs an additional 3 to 4 million homes to balance supply and demand, and while housing affordability remains a significant issue, Redfin predicts a recovery starting in 2026, which should positively impact D.R. Horton and other builders.
- Unmatched Market Capability: D.R. Horton has been the largest homebuilder in the U.S. for 24 years, operating in 126 markets across 36 states, with 63% of its customers being first-time homebuyers, indicating strong market demand and customer base.
- Strong Performance Track Record: D.R. Horton's total returns have outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 10 years, with its return on assets and equity ranking above the industry median, showcasing the management team's capability for success.
- Share Buybacks and Dividend Growth: Over the past five years, D.R. Horton has reduced its outstanding shares by 20% while increasing its dividend by 125%, demonstrating a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders.









