Atkore projects FY26 adjusted EPS between $5.05 and $5.55, with consensus at $5.41
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 20 2025
0mins
Should l Buy ATKR?
- Financial Projection: The company anticipates an adjusted EBITDA of $340 million to $360 million for FY26.
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Analyst Views on ATKR
Wall Street analysts forecast ATKR stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ATKR is 65.33 USD with a low forecast of 61.00 USD and a high forecast of 71.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 65.800
Low
61.00
Averages
65.33
High
71.00
Current: 65.800
Low
61.00
Averages
65.33
High
71.00
About ATKR
Atkore Inc. is a manufacturer of electrical products for commercial, industrial, data center, telecommunications, and solar applications. The Company’s segments include Electrical and Safety & Infrastructure. The Electrical segment manufactures products used in the construction of electrical power systems including conduit, cable and installation accessories. This segment serves contractors in partnership with the electrical wholesale channel. The Safety & Infrastructure segment designs and manufactures solutions including metal framing, mechanical pipe, perimeter security and cable management for the protection and reliability of critical infrastructure. These solutions are marketed to contractors, original equipment manufacturers, and end-users. It manufactures products in approximately 38 facilities and operates a total footprint of over 8.6 million square feet of manufacturing and distribution space in eight countries.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Price Range Analysis: ATKR's 52-week low is $49.92 and high is $80.06, with the last trade at $65.90, indicating the stock is fluctuating within a cautious mid-range, reflecting market sentiment about its future performance.
- Technical Indicator Focus: The stock has fallen below its 200-day moving average, which may suggest increased selling pressure in the short term, prompting investors to monitor subsequent trends to assess potential risks.
- Market Sentiment Assessment: The current price is down 18% from its 52-week high, indicating a weakening market confidence in ATKR, which could affect its future investment appeal.
- Dividend Stock Dynamics: ATKR is mentioned alongside nine other dividend stocks, highlighting market interest in high-dividend equities, which may influence investors' asset allocation strategies.
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- Strong Performance: Atkore achieved net sales of $656 million and adjusted EBITDA of $69 million in Q1 2026, both exceeding expectations, with adjusted EPS at $0.83, reflecting robust performance in the electrical segment.
- Strategic Divestiture: The company completed the divestiture of its Tectron mechanical tube product line and manufacturing facility, with plans to exit three manufacturing facilities in Q2, aligning with its 80/20 initiative to optimize resource allocation and focus on electrical markets.
- Significant Tax Rate Drop: The first quarter tax rate fell to 3%, down from 21% last year, reflecting a one-time discrete benefit from tax planning related to foreign operations, enhancing the company's financial flexibility.
- Maintained Full-Year Outlook: Atkore reaffirmed its full-year 2026 net sales guidance of $2.95 billion to $3.05 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance of $340 million to $360 million, with expectations for mid-single-digit volume growth primarily driven by core construction and strategic growth initiatives like solar and global construction services.
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- Sustainability Goals: Atkore's 2025 Sustainability Report showcases achievements against its five-year goals, emphasizing the company's commitment to sustainable business practices, which is expected to enhance its market image and customer trust.
- Environmental Product Declarations: The report highlights the issuance of additional Environmental Product Declarations (EPDs), which will improve product transparency and meet customer demand for eco-friendly products, potentially driving sales growth.
- Employer of Choice Awards: Atkore received multiple Employer of Choice awards, which not only enhances the company's attractiveness in the talent market but may also reduce employee turnover and strengthen team stability.
- Financial Performance: In fiscal year 2025, Atkore achieved $2.9 billion in sales with 5,400 employees, demonstrating strong growth potential in the electrical product manufacturing sector, supporting its sustainability strategy.
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- Earnings Beat: Atkore reported a Q1 non-GAAP EPS of $0.83, exceeding expectations by $0.20, indicating strong profitability despite a 0.9% year-over-year revenue decline.
- Revenue Performance: The company achieved revenues of $655.5 million in Q1, surpassing market expectations by $5.75 million, demonstrating resilience in maintaining sales amid market challenges.
- Adjusted EBITDA Decline: Adjusted EBITDA decreased by $30 million year-over-year to $69.1 million, reflecting cost pressures and changes in market conditions that may impact future profitability.
- Stable Full-Year Outlook: Atkore maintains its fiscal year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance in the range of $340 to $360 million and adjusted net income per diluted share guidance of $5.05 to $5.55, showcasing management's confidence in future performance.
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- Earnings Announcement Date: Atkore (ATKR) is set to release its Q1 earnings on February 3rd before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.63, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 61.3%, indicating potential profitability challenges ahead.
- Revenue Expectations Decline: The anticipated revenue for Q1 is $649.75 million, down 1.8% year-over-year, suggesting that weakening market demand and intensified competition may adversely affect the company's performance.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Atkore has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, although recent lack of upward revisions in EPS forecasts indicates analysts' cautious outlook on the company's future performance.
- Expectation Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen four downward revisions with no upward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced three upward revisions and one downward, reflecting a divergence in market sentiment regarding Atkore's future earnings potential.
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