Driven Brands to Announce Q1 Earnings on June 11
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3 days ago
0mins
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement: Driven Brands (DRVN) is set to release its Q1 earnings on June 11 before market open, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.24, reflecting an 11.1% year-over-year decline, and a revenue estimate of $480.35 million, down 6.9% year-over-year, indicating significant profitability challenges.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, DRVN has exceeded EPS estimates 100% of the time, but only 50% for revenue, suggesting stable earnings performance but challenges in revenue growth that could impact investor confidence.
- Expectation Revisions: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates and seven downward revisions, while revenue estimates saw one upward and seven downward revisions, reflecting analysts' pessimism regarding the company's future performance, which may pressure the stock price.
- Future Outlook: Driven Brands anticipates revenue between $1.95 billion and $2.05 billion in 2026 while targeting a net leverage of 3x by year-end; although this ambitious goal could enhance growth prospects, it may also increase financial risk, affecting the company's long-term strategic direction.
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Analyst Views on DRVN
Wall Street analysts forecast DRVN stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 13.830
Low
17.00
Averages
21.14
High
24.00
Current: 13.830
Low
17.00
Averages
21.14
High
24.00
About DRVN
Driven Brands Holdings Inc. is an automotive services company in North America, providing a range of consumer and commercial automotive services, including paint, collision, glass, vehicle repair, oil change and maintenance. The Company's segments include Take 5 and Franchise Brands. The Take 5 segment is primarily composed of the Company and franchise-operated Take 5 Oil Change business. The Franchise Brands segment is primarily composed of its portfolio of franchise brands, which include CARSTAR, Meineke Car Care Centers, Maaco and 1-800-Radiator & A/C, along with other smaller brands and services for both retail and commercial customers such as commercial fleet operators and insurance carriers. Its AutoGlassNow businesses provide glass replacement and calibration services to commercial, retail and insurance customers. Its subsidiaries include All Star Glass, LLC, AGN Glass, LLC, Carstar Canada GP Corp, Boing US Holdco, Inc, and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Revenue Growth: Driven Brands reported an 8.2% year-over-year revenue increase to $484.4 million in Q1, surpassing the Zacks consensus estimate by 0.3%, indicating strong performance from the Take 5 segment, although management expressed caution regarding future sales and margins.
- Adjusted EBITDA: Adjusted EBITDA rose 1.7% to $104.1 million, reflecting stable profitability despite pressures from higher restatement costs, which are expected to exceed $15 million in Q2, impacting margins.
- Changing Customer Demand: Management highlighted a decline in demand from newer and lower-income customers at Take 5, while the core customer base remains resilient, emphasizing the importance of customer retention and targeted marketing to address churn issues.
- Capital Allocation Priorities: Management reiterated the goal of reducing net leverage to 3x by year-end, with plans to continue investing in high-return Take 5 development and potentially returning cash to shareholders, demonstrating a focus on financial stability.
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- Sales Growth Metrics: Driven Brands Holdings Inc reported a 6% increase in system-wide sales and an 8% rise in revenue for Q1, alongside a 2% same-store sales growth, indicating resilience in performance despite macroeconomic challenges.
- Strong Performance from Take 5: The Take 5 Oil Change segment achieved a remarkable 14% growth in system-wide sales and a 4.5% increase in same-store sales, reflecting successful customer satisfaction and attachment rates, thereby reinforcing its market position.
- Adjusted EBITDA Results: The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $104.1 million for Q1, a 1.7% increase, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 21.5%, showcasing ongoing efforts in cost control and profitability.
- Future Outlook and Challenges: While the core customer base remains stable, a noted moderation in traffic among newer customers and anticipated restatement costs of $35 million to $45 million may pressure future same-store sales growth, necessitating close monitoring of market trends.
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- Sales Growth: Driven Brands reported a 6% increase in system-wide sales, 8% revenue growth, and 2% same-store sales growth in Q1, with adjusted EBITDA rising 2% and margins at 21.5%, indicating stable performance despite moderate consumer traffic softness.
- Leverage Improvement: The net leverage ratio finished the quarter at 3.2x, with management reiterating a target of 3x by year-end, which will enhance flexibility for future capital allocation and bolster investor confidence.
- New CMO Appointment: Bart LaCount has been appointed as Chief Marketing Officer to build a more integrated and data-driven marketing organization aimed at accelerating growth and improving customer acquisition efficiency, which is expected to enhance brand value and customer retention.
- Future Outlook: The company reiterated its 2026 revenue guidance of $1.95 billion to $2.05 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $430 million to $460 million, although it anticipates moderate sales growth and over $15 million in restatement costs in Q2, yet management remains optimistic about long-term growth prospects.
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- Earnings Beat: Driven Brands reported a Q1 non-GAAP EPS of $0.30, exceeding expectations by $0.06, which indicates a sustained improvement in profitability and boosts market confidence in future performance.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q1 revenue of $484.44 million, an 8.2% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $4.09 million, reflecting strong competitive positioning and robust customer demand.
- Same-Store Sales Growth: Driven Brands experienced a 4.5% increase in same-store sales, marking the 23rd consecutive quarter of growth, which underscores the company's solid position in customer loyalty and market share.
- Financial Outlook Reaffirmed: The company reiterated its financial outlook for fiscal year 2026, projecting revenue between $1.95 billion and $2.05 billion, with adjusted EBITDA expected to range from $430 million to $460 million, demonstrating confidence in future growth prospects.
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- Significant Profit Growth: Driven Brands Holdings Inc. reported a first-quarter profit of $23.83 million, translating to $0.14 per share, which marks a substantial increase from last year's $13.50 million and $0.08 per share, indicating improved profitability.
- Strong Adjusted Earnings: Excluding items, the company reported adjusted earnings of $49.02 million or $0.30 per share, reflecting robust core business performance that enhances investor confidence.
- Revenue Continues to Rise: The first-quarter revenue increased by 8.2% to $484.44 million from $447.61 million last year, demonstrating strong market demand and the company's business expansion.
- Optimistic Full-Year Guidance: The company provided full-year EPS guidance of $1.15 to $1.25 and revenue guidance of $1.95 billion to $2.05 billion, showcasing management's confidence and positive outlook for future performance.
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- Earnings Announcement: Driven Brands (DRVN) is set to release its Q1 earnings on June 11 before market open, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.24, reflecting an 11.1% year-over-year decline, and a revenue estimate of $480.35 million, down 6.9% year-over-year, indicating significant profitability challenges.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, DRVN has exceeded EPS estimates 100% of the time, but only 50% for revenue, suggesting stable earnings performance but challenges in revenue growth that could impact investor confidence.
- Expectation Revisions: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates and seven downward revisions, while revenue estimates saw one upward and seven downward revisions, reflecting analysts' pessimism regarding the company's future performance, which may pressure the stock price.
- Future Outlook: Driven Brands anticipates revenue between $1.95 billion and $2.05 billion in 2026 while targeting a net leverage of 3x by year-end; although this ambitious goal could enhance growth prospects, it may also increase financial risk, affecting the company's long-term strategic direction.
See More






