Dow Chemical Stock Price Analysis and Valuation Insights
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Stock Performance Analysis: Dow Chemical's recent closing price of $33.97 reflects a 0.7% gain over the past week, an 11.8% decline over the past month, and a 40.0% year-to-date return, indicating a mixed market reassessment of its potential and risks.
- Discounted Cash Flow Model: With a recent twelve-month free cash flow loss of approximately $591.1 million, projections estimate a free cash flow of $1.83 billion by 2035, leading to an intrinsic value estimate of $41.15 per share, suggesting the stock is undervalued by about 17.5% compared to its current price.
- Price-to-Sales Ratio Comparison: Dow currently trades at a P/S ratio of 0.62x, significantly below the industry average of 1.11x and peer average of 0.82x, indicating undervaluation, especially when compared to its fair ratio of 1.16x, reinforcing the perception of being undervalued.
- Diverse Valuation Perspectives: The bullish scenario for Dow suggests a fair value of $42.63, implying a 20.3% undervaluation, while the bearish scenario estimates a fair value of $27.00, highlighting the contrasting expectations of future growth and the need for investors to carefully assess potential risks and returns.
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Analyst Views on DOW
Wall Street analysts forecast DOW stock price to fall
14 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
12 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 34.790
Low
22.00
Averages
27.83
High
32.00
Current: 34.790
Low
22.00
Averages
27.83
High
32.00
About DOW
Dow Inc. serves as a holding company for The Dow Chemical Company and its subsidiaries. The Company conducts its operations through six global businesses, which are organized into segments, such as Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure and Performance Materials & Coatings. Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment consists of two integrated global businesses: Hydrocarbons & Energy and Packaging and Specialty Plastics. This segment employs a polyolefin product portfolio. Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure segment consists of two customer-centric global businesses: Industrial Solutions and Polyurethanes & Construction Chemicals that develop intermediate chemicals that are essential to manufacturing processes, as well as downstream, customized materials and formulations that use advanced development technologies. Performance Materials & Coatings segment consists of two global businesses: Coatings & Performance Monomers and Consumer Solutions.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Dow Chemical Stock Price Analysis and Valuation Insights
- Stock Performance Analysis: Dow Chemical's recent closing price of $33.97 reflects a 0.7% gain over the past week, an 11.8% decline over the past month, and a 40.0% year-to-date return, indicating a mixed market reassessment of its potential and risks.
- Discounted Cash Flow Model: With a recent twelve-month free cash flow loss of approximately $591.1 million, projections estimate a free cash flow of $1.83 billion by 2035, leading to an intrinsic value estimate of $41.15 per share, suggesting the stock is undervalued by about 17.5% compared to its current price.
- Price-to-Sales Ratio Comparison: Dow currently trades at a P/S ratio of 0.62x, significantly below the industry average of 1.11x and peer average of 0.82x, indicating undervaluation, especially when compared to its fair ratio of 1.16x, reinforcing the perception of being undervalued.
- Diverse Valuation Perspectives: The bullish scenario for Dow suggests a fair value of $42.63, implying a 20.3% undervaluation, while the bearish scenario estimates a fair value of $27.00, highlighting the contrasting expectations of future growth and the need for investors to carefully assess potential risks and returns.
See More
Dow Inc. to Participate in 2026 Wells Fargo Industrials & Materials Conference
- Conference Participation: Dow Inc. will participate in the 2026 Wells Fargo 16th Annual Industrials & Materials Conference on June 9, 2026, showcasing its leadership in materials science and expected to attract investor interest.
- Investor Engagement: Dow invites investors to join the live webcast of the conference through its website, with a replay and transcript available post-event, enhancing communication with stakeholders.
- Company Overview: Dow is a leading materials science company serving high-growth markets such as packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer applications, with approximately $40 billion in sales in 2025, indicating strong market demand.
- Global Operations: Operating manufacturing sites in 29 countries and employing around 34,600 people, Dow leverages global asset integration and customer-focused innovation to drive sustainable growth.
See More
Positive Revisions Trend in Q1 Earnings Reports
- Earnings Revision Trend: Zacks Director of Research Sheraz Mian highlights that despite a modest decline in Q2 earnings estimates, the overall revision trend remains positive, indicating market confidence in future profitability.
- Sector Performance Disparity: Since early April, sectors such as Energy, Tech, Basic Materials, Industrials, Utilities, and Business Services have seen upward revisions in earnings estimates, particularly in Energy and Tech, reflecting optimistic sentiment in these areas.
- Outstanding Individual Stocks: For instance, Dow (DOW) and LyondellBasell (LYB) have seen their Q2 EPS estimates double over the past month, while Methanex (MEOH) has increased by over 30%, showcasing strong performance in the current market environment.
- Negative Pressure Sectors: In contrast, sectors like Transportation, Autos, Medical, and Consumer Discretionary are facing renewed pressure on Q2 estimates, suggesting a cautious outlook that could impact stock performance in these areas.
See More
Positive Earnings Outlook for Q2 2026
- Strong Earnings Outlook: The overall earnings picture continues to improve, with positive revisions for Q2 2026 indicating enhanced market confidence, even as recent estimates have slightly declined, reflecting a resilient economic backdrop.
- Sector Performance Divergence: Since early April, sectors such as Energy, Tech, Basic Materials, Industrials, Utilities, and Business Services have seen upward revisions, particularly in Energy and Tech, highlighting a robust recovery in these areas.
- Notable Individual Stocks: EPS estimates for Dow (DOW) and LyondellBasell (LYB) have more than doubled in the past month, while Methanex (MEOH) has seen an increase of over 30%, indicating significant improvements in their earnings capabilities.
- Negative Pressure Emerging: Despite strong performances in certain sectors, Q2 estimates for Transportation, Autos, Medical, and Consumer Discretionary have faced renewed pressure since the beginning of the period, indicating ongoing market divergence and uncertainty.
See More
Positive Earnings Outlook for Q2 2026
- Strong Earnings Outlook: The overall earnings picture continues to improve, with positive revisions for Q2 2026 expectations indicating enhanced market confidence, even though recent estimates have slightly declined, reflecting a resilient economic backdrop.
- Sector Performance Divergence: Since early April, sectors such as Energy, Tech, Basic Materials, Industrials, Utilities, and Business Services have seen upward revisions in earnings expectations, particularly driven by the strong recovery potential in Energy and Tech sectors.
- Notable Stock Performance: Q2 EPS estimates for Dow (DOW) and LyondellBasell (LYB) have more than doubled in the past month, while Methanex (MEOH) has seen an increase of over 30%, showcasing robust performance amid current market conditions.
- Negative Pressure Emerging: Despite strong performances in certain sectors, Q2 estimates for Transportation, Autos, Medical, and Consumer Discretionary have come under renewed pressure since the start of the period, indicating market imbalances and potential risks.
See More
Dow Showcases AI Cooling Materials at Computex Taipei 2026
- Thermal Management Showcase: Dow is presenting a range of materials at the 2026 Computex Taipei aimed at addressing heat management challenges in AI computing, including cooling fluids and thermal interface materials, which are expected to enhance heat dissipation in AI servers and data centers.
- Growing Market Demand: As AI technology rapidly expands, the demand for more powerful processors and denser server configurations is increasing, significantly enhancing the market potential for thermal management materials, making it a critical component in data center design.
- High-Performance Cooling Solutions: Dow's liquid cooling and immersion cooling technologies are designed for high-performance computing environments, aimed at supporting thermal stability and long-term operation in data centers, thereby improving overall system reliability and efficiency.
- Advanced Semiconductor Packaging Materials: The company is also showcasing silicone-based materials for advanced semiconductor packaging, which not only support heat transfer but also ensure structural integrity, adapting to the increasingly complex manufacturing processes of AI chips, thus expanding Dow's sales opportunities in the high-value specialty materials market.
See More
Dow Chemical Stock Price Analysis and Valuation Insights
- Stock Performance Analysis: Dow Chemical's recent closing price of $33.97 reflects a 0.7% gain over the past week, an 11.8% decline over the past month, and a 40.0% year-to-date return, indicating a mixed market reassessment of its potential and risks.
- Discounted Cash Flow Model: With a recent twelve-month free cash flow loss of approximately $591.1 million, projections estimate a free cash flow of $1.83 billion by 2035, leading to an intrinsic value estimate of $41.15 per share, suggesting the stock is undervalued by about 17.5% compared to its current price.
- Price-to-Sales Ratio Comparison: Dow currently trades at a P/S ratio of 0.62x, significantly below the industry average of 1.11x and peer average of 0.82x, indicating undervaluation, especially when compared to its fair ratio of 1.16x, reinforcing the perception of being undervalued.
- Diverse Valuation Perspectives: The bullish scenario for Dow suggests a fair value of $42.63, implying a 20.3% undervaluation, while the bearish scenario estimates a fair value of $27.00, highlighting the contrasting expectations of future growth and the need for investors to carefully assess potential risks and returns.
See More
Dow Inc. to Participate in 2026 Wells Fargo Industrials & Materials Conference
- Conference Participation: Dow Inc. will participate in the 2026 Wells Fargo 16th Annual Industrials & Materials Conference on June 9, 2026, showcasing its leadership in materials science and expected to attract investor interest.
- Investor Engagement: Dow invites investors to join the live webcast of the conference through its website, with a replay and transcript available post-event, enhancing communication with stakeholders.
- Company Overview: Dow is a leading materials science company serving high-growth markets such as packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer applications, with approximately $40 billion in sales in 2025, indicating strong market demand.
- Global Operations: Operating manufacturing sites in 29 countries and employing around 34,600 people, Dow leverages global asset integration and customer-focused innovation to drive sustainable growth.
See More
Positive Revisions Trend in Q1 Earnings Reports
- Earnings Revision Trend: Zacks Director of Research Sheraz Mian highlights that despite a modest decline in Q2 earnings estimates, the overall revision trend remains positive, indicating market confidence in future profitability.
- Sector Performance Disparity: Since early April, sectors such as Energy, Tech, Basic Materials, Industrials, Utilities, and Business Services have seen upward revisions in earnings estimates, particularly in Energy and Tech, reflecting optimistic sentiment in these areas.
- Outstanding Individual Stocks: For instance, Dow (DOW) and LyondellBasell (LYB) have seen their Q2 EPS estimates double over the past month, while Methanex (MEOH) has increased by over 30%, showcasing strong performance in the current market environment.
- Negative Pressure Sectors: In contrast, sectors like Transportation, Autos, Medical, and Consumer Discretionary are facing renewed pressure on Q2 estimates, suggesting a cautious outlook that could impact stock performance in these areas.
See More
Positive Earnings Outlook for Q2 2026
- Strong Earnings Outlook: The overall earnings picture continues to improve, with positive revisions for Q2 2026 indicating enhanced market confidence, even as recent estimates have slightly declined, reflecting a resilient economic backdrop.
- Sector Performance Divergence: Since early April, sectors such as Energy, Tech, Basic Materials, Industrials, Utilities, and Business Services have seen upward revisions, particularly in Energy and Tech, highlighting a robust recovery in these areas.
- Notable Individual Stocks: EPS estimates for Dow (DOW) and LyondellBasell (LYB) have more than doubled in the past month, while Methanex (MEOH) has seen an increase of over 30%, indicating significant improvements in their earnings capabilities.
- Negative Pressure Emerging: Despite strong performances in certain sectors, Q2 estimates for Transportation, Autos, Medical, and Consumer Discretionary have faced renewed pressure since the beginning of the period, indicating ongoing market divergence and uncertainty.
See More
Positive Earnings Outlook for Q2 2026
- Strong Earnings Outlook: The overall earnings picture continues to improve, with positive revisions for Q2 2026 expectations indicating enhanced market confidence, even though recent estimates have slightly declined, reflecting a resilient economic backdrop.
- Sector Performance Divergence: Since early April, sectors such as Energy, Tech, Basic Materials, Industrials, Utilities, and Business Services have seen upward revisions in earnings expectations, particularly driven by the strong recovery potential in Energy and Tech sectors.
- Notable Stock Performance: Q2 EPS estimates for Dow (DOW) and LyondellBasell (LYB) have more than doubled in the past month, while Methanex (MEOH) has seen an increase of over 30%, showcasing robust performance amid current market conditions.
- Negative Pressure Emerging: Despite strong performances in certain sectors, Q2 estimates for Transportation, Autos, Medical, and Consumer Discretionary have come under renewed pressure since the start of the period, indicating market imbalances and potential risks.
See More
Dow Showcases AI Cooling Materials at Computex Taipei 2026
- Thermal Management Showcase: Dow is presenting a range of materials at the 2026 Computex Taipei aimed at addressing heat management challenges in AI computing, including cooling fluids and thermal interface materials, which are expected to enhance heat dissipation in AI servers and data centers.
- Growing Market Demand: As AI technology rapidly expands, the demand for more powerful processors and denser server configurations is increasing, significantly enhancing the market potential for thermal management materials, making it a critical component in data center design.
- High-Performance Cooling Solutions: Dow's liquid cooling and immersion cooling technologies are designed for high-performance computing environments, aimed at supporting thermal stability and long-term operation in data centers, thereby improving overall system reliability and efficiency.
- Advanced Semiconductor Packaging Materials: The company is also showcasing silicone-based materials for advanced semiconductor packaging, which not only support heat transfer but also ensure structural integrity, adapting to the increasingly complex manufacturing processes of AI chips, thus expanding Dow's sales opportunities in the high-value specialty materials market.
See More
