Deutsche Bank Raises Rivian Price Target to $23
Institutional investors and professional traders rely on The Fly to keep up-to-the-second on breaking news in the electric vehicle and clean energy space, as well as which stocks in these sectors that the best analysts on Wall Street are saying to buy and sell.From the hotly-debated high-flier Tesla, Wall Street's newest darling Rivian, traditional-stalwarts turned EV-upstarts GMand Fordto the numerous SPAC-deal makers that have come public in this red-hot space, The Fly has you covered with "Charged," a weekly recap of the top stories and expert calls in the sector.Clickto check out Tesla's recent Media Buzz Sentiment as measured by TipRanks.BEYOND EVS:Tigress Financial resumed coverage of Tesla with a Buy rating and $550 price target. The firm sees long-term growth and value creation "increasingly" being driven by Tesla's evolution from a pure-play EV manufacturer into "a multi-layered physical AI platform." The firm sees "the physical AI growth flywheel" being driven by expanding Full Self Drive subscriptions, robotaxis, and Optimus humanoid robots to stack on top of "an already sizable and profitable EV and energy base," Tigress tells investors.CHINA SALES:Tesla's domestic sales in China collapsed 45% year-over-year in January, falling to just 18,485 units, the automaker's lowest monthly retail figure in the country since November 2022, Electrek's Fred Lambert. The data, released today by the China Passenger Car Association, paints a grim picture of Tesla's demand in the world's largest EV market, the author adds.CHINA-U.S. CAR PARTNERSHIPS:FordCEO Jim Farley spoke with senior White House officials about a potential roadmap for Chinese car makers to manufacture vehicles in the U.S. by partnering with American car companies, Bloomberg's David Welch, Keith Naughton, and Jenny Leonard, citing people familiar with the discussions. The rough framework that was talked about between Farley and Trump administration cabinet members last month would let Chinese automakers build vehicles in the U.S. through joint ventures with domestic automakers in which the U.S. firm holds a controlling interest, the authors say. Other publicly traded companies in the space include BYD, Geely, General Motors, Honda, Lucid Group, Mercedes-Benz, Nissan, Rivian, Stellantis, Tesla, Toyotaand Volkswagen.RESULTS:Shares of Rivian outperformed last week after the company reported Q4 losses per share of (66c) vs consensus of (79c), and Q4 revenue of $1.29B vs consensus of $1.27B. Rivian sees FY26 vehicle delivery between 62K-67K and FY26 adjusted EBITDA of ($1.21B)-($1.80B).Deutsche Bank upgraded Rivian to Buy from Hold with a price target of $23, up from $16, following the Q4 report. The firm sees early signs the company's "prospects are inflecting." Rivian's 2026 looks "de-risked" as volume expectations are "reasonable" and its vehicle costs continue to improve, Deutsche tells investors in a research note. The firm says the R2 launch is on track for Q2 at a time when competitors are "slow walking" their electric vehicle transitions. Deutsche sees an attractive risk/reward at current share levels. UBS also upgraded Rivian but to Neutral from Sell with a price target of $16, up from $15, following quarterly results.Meanwhile, DA Davidson analyst Michael Shlisky downgraded Rivian to Underperform from Neutral with a price target of $14, down from $15. The stock jumped 27% on Friday due to positive tone of the R2 launch, but the firm believe that R1 outlook was below its expectations while also noting that R2 launch is not "without significant risks", the analyst tells investors in a research note. To make its current outlook, Rivian will have to deliver the best mid-size EV launch since 2021 without the benefit of tax credits or a mass-channel dealer network, DA Davidson added.2009 GREENHOUSE GAS ENDANGERMENT FINDING:U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Lee Zeldin said in aon X, formerly Twitter, "In the single largest deregulatory action in U.S. history, President Trump and I are now announcing the repeal of the 2009 Obama EPA Endangerment Finding, ALL vehicle greenhouse gas emission standards that followed, and ALL off-cycle credits that include the much-despised start-stop feature in vehicles. This action will save over $1.3 TRILLION in costs for Americans!"BUY ENERGY FUELS:Goldman Sachs initiated coverage of Energy Fuelswith a Buy rating and $30 price target. The company owns and operates the highest-grade uranium deposit in the U.S. as well as the White Mesa Mill, which is a key competitive advantage for the company as it is the only processing facility in the U.S. that is able to process both uranium and rare earth elements, the firm tells investors in a research note. Goldman added that the company maintains a portfolio of three heavy mineral sands assets that aim to come online over the next five years.
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- Production Goal Reaffirmed: Tesla CEO Elon Musk reiterated on social media that production of the Cybercab will commence in April, marking a significant advancement in the company's autonomous vehicle efforts.
- Radical Production Redesign: Musk revealed that Tesla is adopting a 'radical redesign of car manufacturing' to achieve approximately 5X higher production rates, indicating that while initial output may be slow, it will ramp up significantly over time.
- Autonomous Fleet Outlook: Musk predicts that Tesla's autonomous fleet will become the largest in the future, despite the current Full Self-Driving (FSD) service requiring human intervention, reflecting the company's ambitious technological goals.
- Market Performance: As of February 13, Tesla's stock gained 0.09%, closing at $417.44, indicating market confidence in the company's growth potential.
- Subscription Model Shift: Tesla (TSLA) has launched a full self-driving (FSD) subscription service in core markets like the U.S. and Canada, charging approximately $99 per month instead of a one-time fee of nearly $8,000, aiming to lower entry barriers and enhance recurring software revenue.
- Existing User Protection: Current owners who have paid for FSD will retain lifetime access, a strategy that not only safeguards existing customers' investments but also has the potential to attract new users, thereby expanding Tesla's customer base.
- Technical Foundation and Market Positioning: FSD is built on Tesla's Autopilot foundation, incorporating features like adaptive cruise control and lane-keeping; although classified as a Level 2 driver-assistance system, its long-term goal is to achieve higher levels of autonomy, enhancing competitive positioning in the market.
- Future Growth Potential: Analysts view the high-margin software revenue from FSD as a stabilizing factor for Tesla amid challenges in other business areas, while its integration with future robotaxi networks is expected to further enhance the company's long-term value.
- Frequent Incidents: Tesla's robotaxis in Austin have reported 14 accidents since their deployment in June 2025, including five new incidents, highlighting serious safety concerns surrounding the technology.
- No Safety Monitoring: The launch of robotaxis without safety monitors in January 2026 marks a critical step in CEO Elon Musk's ambition to deploy autonomous vehicles across the U.S. by year-end, but raises significant safety worries.
- Accident Details: The latest five reported incidents include collisions with fixed objects, a bus, and backing into obstacles, indicating various safety risks that could undermine public trust in Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology.
- Regulatory Investigation: The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) has opened an investigation into approximately 2.9 million Tesla vehicles due to potential traffic law violations related to FSD, increasing market uncertainty regarding Tesla's future prospects.
- Cybercab Production Plans: CEO Elon Musk confirmed that production of the Cybercab, a steering-wheel-free and pedal-free electric vehicle, will begin in April, integrating into Tesla's Robotaxi autonomous ride-sharing network, which is expected to further enhance the company's advancements in self-driving technology.
- Market Demand Challenges: Despite significant progress in autonomous driving technology, investors must consider whether demand for this new vehicle will be sufficient to support its high valuation, especially in an increasingly competitive electric vehicle market.
- Autonomous Vision: Tesla is transforming into a higher-margin, robotics-focused business, with the vice president stating that the majority of miles driven in the future will be autonomous, emphasizing the company's shift towards providing transportation as a service rather than just selling vehicles.
- User Participation Model: The Cybercab will allow owners to participate in a revenue-sharing program similar to Airbnb, which could attract more users to the Robotaxi network, thereby increasing Tesla's market share.

- Complexity of Humanoid Robots: ARK Invest's research indicates that developing humanoid robots is 200,000 times more complex than robotaxis, a complexity attributed to Elon Musk's first principles approach and relentless determination, highlighting Tesla's technological challenges and potential breakthroughs in robotics.
- Future Vision for Optimus: Wood projects that Tesla's Optimus will begin transforming factory and home life by 2028 or 2029, aligning with Musk's ambitious plans and indicating Tesla's strategic positioning in future technologies.
- Economic Potential Unlocked: ARK Invest anticipates that humanoid robots could unlock $250 billion in untapped GDP by 2025, emphasizing the significance of humanoid robots in the future economy and their potential as a key driver of industry transformation.
- Increased Investment Confidence: Wood's ARK Venture Fund holds stakes in SpaceX and xAI, totaling 17.54%, demonstrating strong confidence in Musk's other ventures and further solidifying Tesla's leadership position in the high-tech sector.
- Union Legal Battle Escalates: The German metalworkers' union IG Metall has filed a criminal defamation complaint against the manager of Tesla's Berlin factory, accusing him of spreading false claims related to a works-council meeting, potentially increasing legal risks for Tesla's operations in Europe.
- Robotaxi Safety Record Deteriorates: New reports in the U.S. indicate that Tesla's Robotaxi fleet experienced five additional crashes in January 2026, bringing the total to 14, with an accident frequency of one crash every 57,000 miles, significantly worse than the rate Tesla claims for human drivers, which could undermine consumer confidence.
- Brand Strategy Under Scrutiny: Investor Ross Gerber criticized Tesla's brand image as having turned








