CoreWeave vs Nebius: AI Compute Power Showdown
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 12 2026
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- AI Demand Potential: CoreWeave is currently sitting on tens of billions in AI demand contracts, indicating a robust demand foundation in the AI data center market, despite competitive pressures from Nebius.
- Compute Efficiency Comparison: Nebius claims it can generate three times more compute power per megawatt than CoreWeave, and this efficiency gap could redefine the economics of AI data centers, impacting future market dynamics.
- Market Positioning Challenge: As the AI industry rapidly evolves, the competition between CoreWeave and Nebius will determine which company is better positioned for the next phase of AI growth, potentially influencing investor decisions.
- Investment Advisory Warning: Despite CoreWeave's significant potential in the AI sector, The Motley Fool's analyst team has not included it in their current list of top investment stocks, advising investors to exercise caution in their decision-making.
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Analyst Views on CRWV
Wall Street analysts forecast CRWV stock price to rise
25 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
13 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 106.860
Low
68.00
Averages
123.23
High
180.00
Current: 106.860
Low
68.00
Averages
123.23
High
180.00
About CRWV
CoreWeave, Inc. is a cloud infrastructure technology company. The Company offers the CoreWeave Cloud Platform, which consists of software and cloud services that deliver the automation and efficiency needed to manage complex artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. Its CoreWeave Cloud Platform is an integrated solution that is purpose-built for running AI workloads such as model training and inference. Its solutions include infrastructure services, managed software services, and application software services. Its Infrastructure Services provide its customers with access to advanced graphics processing unit (GPU) and central processing unit (CPU) compute, highly performant networking, and storage. Its Managed Software Services include CKS, a flexible virtual private cloud and a bare metal service that runs kubernetes directly on high-performance servers. Its Application Software Services build on top of its infrastructure and managed software services, integrating additional tools.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Threat to Nvidia's Market Share: Nvidia currently holds an 86% revenue share in the data center market, but Google's increased reliance on its own TPUs may reduce dependence on Nvidia processors, with capital expenditures projected to reach $185 billion this year, potentially impacting Nvidia's sales.
- Competitive Pressure on CoreWeave: Google's entry into the AI cloud space poses a threat to CoreWeave, with analysts warning that competition could compress CoreWeave's pricing power and margins, particularly as it seeks to expand its enterprise client base.
- Intensifying AI Infrastructure Competition: As companies like Google ramp up investments in AI infrastructure, market competition is intensifying, putting previously dominant AI firms under unprecedented pressure, prompting investors to closely monitor industry developments.
See More
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- Google's Strategic Move: Google's joint venture with Blackstone aims to deploy 500 megawatts of capacity by 2027, heavily relying on its own TPUs, which could undermine Nvidia's dominance in the AI hardware market.
- CoreWeave Under Pressure: Google's entry poses a threat to CoreWeave, with analysts warning that competition will compress CoreWeave's pricing power and margins, particularly as the company expands under significant debt.
- Intensifying Industry Competition: As companies like Google, Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft ramp up their investments in proprietary AI chips, the competitive landscape in AI infrastructure is becoming increasingly fierce, putting former market leaders at unprecedented risk.
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- Customer Commitments Drive Growth: Management noted that customer commitments for 2027 are already in place, and current capacity is sold out, indicating that spending is primarily aimed at meeting anticipated workloads rather than speculative investments.
- Diverse Financing Strategy: Nebius is raising funds through various means, including asset-backed financing and corporate debt, with cash and cash equivalents reaching $9.3 billion at the end of Q1, ensuring the funding needs for its expansion plans.
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- Financial Disclosure Issues: The IPO filing lacks critical financial metrics such as subscriber churn and unit economics, leading analysts to caution that these omissions could hinder investors' ability to accurately value the company, especially given its valuation exceeding $1 trillion.
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- AI Business Challenges: SpaceX's AI division reported a $2.5 billion operating loss in Q1, with capital expenditures reaching $10.1 billion, indicating a lack of competitiveness in the AI market; the decision to lease compute capacity to Anthropic reflects the company's struggle with low demand for its AI services.
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- Intel's Market Performance: Intel's stock surged nearly 500% over the past year, despite only a 7% year-over-year revenue increase to $13.6 billion in Q1; however, its adjusted earnings per share soared 123% to $0.29, indicating improved profitability.
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- Profitability Challenges: Despite CoreWeave's promising outlook amid rising AI infrastructure spending, its operating expenses grew faster than revenue, leading to squeezed margins and increased net losses, prompting investors to carefully assess its long-term profitability.
See More
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- New AI Cloud Company: Google has partnered with Blackstone to establish a new AI cloud computing company, aiming to deploy 500 megawatts of capacity by 2027, which could disrupt Nvidia and CoreWeave's market positions in AI hardware and cloud services.
- Threat to Nvidia's Market Share: Nvidia currently holds an 86% revenue share in the data center market, but Google's increased reliance on its own TPUs may reduce dependence on Nvidia processors, with capital expenditures projected to reach $185 billion this year, potentially impacting Nvidia's sales.
- Competitive Pressure on CoreWeave: Google's entry into the AI cloud space poses a threat to CoreWeave, with analysts warning that competition could compress CoreWeave's pricing power and margins, particularly as it seeks to expand its enterprise client base.
- Intensifying AI Infrastructure Competition: As companies like Google ramp up investments in AI infrastructure, market competition is intensifying, putting previously dominant AI firms under unprecedented pressure, prompting investors to closely monitor industry developments.
See More
Google's New AI Cloud Service Challenges Nvidia
- Market Size Forecast: The AI cloud services market is projected to reach $400 billion by 2031, highlighting significant growth potential that attracts attention from major tech players.
- Google's Strategic Move: Google's joint venture with Blackstone aims to deploy 500 megawatts of capacity by 2027, heavily relying on its own TPUs, which could undermine Nvidia's dominance in the AI hardware market.
- CoreWeave Under Pressure: Google's entry poses a threat to CoreWeave, with analysts warning that competition will compress CoreWeave's pricing power and margins, particularly as the company expands under significant debt.
- Intensifying Industry Competition: As companies like Google, Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft ramp up their investments in proprietary AI chips, the competitive landscape in AI infrastructure is becoming increasingly fierce, putting former market leaders at unprecedented risk.
See More
Nebius Group Doubles Down on AI Infrastructure Investment
- Increased Capital Expenditure: Nebius Group has raised its capital expenditure plan for 2026 from $16-$20 billion to $20-$25 billion, reflecting strong confidence in future demand despite intensifying market competition.
- Customer Commitments Drive Growth: Management noted that customer commitments for 2027 are already in place, and current capacity is sold out, indicating that spending is primarily aimed at meeting anticipated workloads rather than speculative investments.
- Diverse Financing Strategy: Nebius is raising funds through various means, including asset-backed financing and corporate debt, with cash and cash equivalents reaching $9.3 billion at the end of Q1, ensuring the funding needs for its expansion plans.
- Strong Market Performance: Nebius shares have surged 63.7% over the past month, significantly outperforming the Internet Software and Services industry's growth of 14.2%, demonstrating investor confidence in its future growth potential.
See More
Musk Sparks Confusion Ahead of SpaceX IPO
- Lease Agreement Details: SpaceX's deal with AI startup Anthropic involves a $1.25 billion monthly lease until May 2029, but Musk's claim of a 180-day lease raises concerns about financial transparency, potentially confusing investors ahead of the IPO.
- Financial Disclosure Issues: The IPO filing lacks critical financial metrics such as subscriber churn and unit economics, leading analysts to caution that these omissions could hinder investors' ability to accurately value the company, especially given its valuation exceeding $1 trillion.
- AI Business Challenges: SpaceX's AI division reported a $2.5 billion operating loss in Q1, and while Musk aims to monetize compute capacity through the Anthropic deal, the company has yet to capitalize on its costly infrastructure, indicating insufficient market demand.
- Surging Capital Expenditures: SpaceX's capital expenditures reached $10.1 billion in Q1 2023, more than doubling year-over-year, with $7.7 billion tied to xAI, raising investor concerns about the company's financial health amid significant losses.
See More
Musk Reveals SpaceX-Anthropic Deal Details Ahead of IPO
- IPO Uncertainty: SpaceX's omission of critical deal details with Anthropic in its IPO prospectus has led to confusion among investors regarding the company's valuation, particularly as Musk's tweet contradicts the prospectus by mentioning a 180-day lease agreement, potentially undermining investor confidence.
- Revenue Potential Unclear: While SpaceX anticipates receiving $1.25 billion monthly from Anthropic, Musk's statement suggests the agreement could terminate shortly, raising doubts about the projected $15 billion revenue over three years and impacting overall financial transparency for the company.
- AI Business Challenges: SpaceX's AI division reported a $2.5 billion operating loss in Q1, with capital expenditures reaching $10.1 billion, indicating a lack of competitiveness in the AI market; the decision to lease compute capacity to Anthropic reflects the company's struggle with low demand for its AI services.
- Cautious Market Reaction: Given SpaceX's IPO valuation exceeding $1 trillion and quarterly losses in the billions, investors are wary of participating in this record IPO, and Musk's tweet has intensified scrutiny over the company's financial disclosures.
See More
Nvidia and CoreWeave's AI Prospects Amidst Market Challenges
- Nvidia's Investment Strategy: Nvidia's significant investments in Intel and CoreWeave, which make up 71.6% of its portfolio, reflect its strong confidence in the AI sector, although it faces market volatility risks that could impact future growth.
- Intel's Market Performance: Intel's stock surged nearly 500% over the past year, despite only a 7% year-over-year revenue increase to $13.6 billion in Q1; however, its adjusted earnings per share soared 123% to $0.29, indicating improved profitability.
- CoreWeave's Growth Potential: CoreWeave reported Q1 revenue of $2.1 billion, up 111.6% year-over-year, and its backlog of $99.4 billion indicates strong market demand, although it faces risks due to high customer concentration.
- Profitability Challenges: Despite CoreWeave's promising outlook amid rising AI infrastructure spending, its operating expenses grew faster than revenue, leading to squeezed margins and increased net losses, prompting investors to carefully assess its long-term profitability.
See More
