Constellium (CSTM) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy CSTM?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
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Analyst Views on CSTM
Wall Street analysts forecast CSTM stock price to fall
3 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 23.410
Low
20.00
Averages
22.33
High
25.00
Current: 23.410
Low
20.00
Averages
22.33
High
25.00
About CSTM
Constellium SE is a France-based company. The Company is predominantly engaged in the development, manufacturing, and recycling of aluminum products and solutions. It focuses on the development of aluminum products for a broad scope of markets and applications, including aerospace, packaging and automotive. It operates through three segments: Aerospace & Transportation (A&T), Packaging & Automotive Rolled Products (P&ARP), and Automotive Structures & Industry (AS&I). A&T provides aluminum solutions for aircraft and transportation. P&ARP supplies rolled products for packaging and vehicles. AS&I focuses on structural components for automotive applications, including original equipment manufacturers.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Strong Earnings Expectations: Constellium is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 18, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.37, reflecting a substantial year-over-year increase of 208.8%, indicating a significant improvement in profitability that could drive stock price appreciation.
- Revenue Growth Forecast: The expected Q4 revenue of $2.09 billion represents a 21.5% year-over-year increase, highlighting robust demand in the aluminum market, which further solidifies the company's market position and attracts investor interest.
- Historical Performance: Over the past year, Constellium has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 100% of the time, demonstrating stable performance and market confidence, which may enhance investor trust.
- Estimates Revision Trend: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and no downward revisions, while revenue estimates experienced three upward revisions and one downward revision, indicating analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's future performance, potentially drawing more investor attention.
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- Shipment and Revenue Growth: In Q4 2025, Constellium SE reported shipments of 365,000 tons, an 11% increase, and revenue of $2.2 billion, up 28%, indicating strong performance across all business segments and enhancing market competitiveness.
- Net Income Turnaround: The company achieved a net income of $113 million for the quarter, a significant improvement from a loss of $47 million in the previous year, reflecting a substantial increase in gross profit and marking a recovery in financial health.
- Record Adjusted EBITDA: Adjusted EBITDA reached $213 million, a new record, representing a 113% increase from $100 million in the same quarter last year, including a $67 million non-cash metal price lag benefit, showcasing successful cost control efforts.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management anticipates adjusted EBITDA for 2026 to be in the range of $780 million to $820 million, with free cash flow exceeding $200 million, indicating strong positioning in aerospace, packaging, and automotive markets and commitment to long-term growth objectives.
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- Earnings Beat: Wingstop reported an adjusted EPS of $1.00 for Q4, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.84, indicating strong profitability and boosting market confidence in the company's future performance.
- Sales Miss: The quarterly sales of $175.694 million fell short of the analyst consensus estimate of $177.533 million, yet the overall performance reflects the company's resilience in a competitive fast-food market.
- Stock Surge: Following the earnings report, Wingstop's shares jumped 17.3% to $295.31 on Wednesday, signaling optimistic investor sentiment and potentially attracting more institutional interest in the stock.
- Positive Market Reaction: The broader U.S. stock market rose, with the Dow Jones index gaining around 250 points on Wednesday, and Wingstop's strong performance further fueled market optimism, reflecting investor confidence in the recovery of the restaurant sector.
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- Profit Recovery: Constellium SE reported a net profit of $112 million for Q4 2025, translating to $0.80 per share, a significant turnaround from a net loss of $48 million in the same quarter last year, indicating a strong recovery in profitability.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $2.201 billion in Q4, up 28% from $1.721 billion a year earlier, primarily driven by increased shipments and improved revenue per ton, reflecting robust market demand.
- Increased Shipments: In Q4 2025, Constellium's aluminum shipments rose to 365,000 tons from 328,000 tons last year, demonstrating the company's effective capacity to meet market demand.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: CEO Ingrid Joerg anticipates that demand trends will continue into early 2026, and while adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $780 million and $820 million, down from $846 million in 2025, the company will benefit from supply shortages in automotive products and improved scrap spreads in North America.
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- Strong Earnings Performance: Constellium reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.80, beating expectations by $0.42, which highlights the company's significant improvement in profitability and boosts investor confidence.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $2.2 billion, a 27.9% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $110 million, reflecting strong demand and sales capabilities in the aluminum market.
- Steady Shipment Increase: Q4 shipments totaled 365 thousand metric tons, an 11% increase compared to Q4 2024, indicating effective production and supply chain management, further solidifying the company's market position.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: The company expects adjusted EBITDA to range between $780 million and $820 million by 2026, with free cash flow exceeding $200 million, demonstrating confidence in future growth and clarity in strategic planning.
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