Cipher Mining Shares Drop to $15.10, Active Options Trading
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5d ago
0mins
Should l Buy CIFR?
Moderately bullish activity in Cipher Mining (CIFR), with shares down 71c near $15.10. Options volume relatively light with 65k contracts traded and calls leading puts for a put/call ratio of 0.44, compared to a typical level near 0.41. Implied volatility (IV30) is higher by 9.4 points near 129.18,in the top quartile of the past year, suggesting an expected daily move of $1.23. Put-call skew flattened, suggesting a modestly bullish tone.Looking ahead: Cipher Mining (CIFR) will report earnings after the close on None.Option markets are pricing in a 50% probability of a move greater than 0.0% or $0.00.
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Analyst Views on CIFR
Wall Street analysts forecast CIFR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CIFR is 26.23 USD with a low forecast of 18.00 USD and a high forecast of 34.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
11 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 12.700
Low
18.00
Averages
26.23
High
34.00
Current: 12.700
Low
18.00
Averages
26.23
High
34.00
About CIFR
Cipher Mining Inc. is focused on the development and operation of industrial-scale data centers for bitcoin mining and high-performance computing (HPC) hosting. The Company operates two wholly owned bitcoin mining data centers, a 207 megawatts (MW) site located in Odessa, Texas that draws fixed priced power from a power purchase agreement with its electricity provider (the Odessa Facility), and a 300 MW data center in Wink, Texas, of which 150 MW is operational as a bitcoin mining data center, that draws power from the power grid (the Black Pearl Facility), and has equity investments in three partially-owned 40 MW bitcoin mining data centers. Its development pipeline totals approximately 3.4 gigawatts (GW) across eight sites. The Odessa Facility is an approximately 52-acre site, located next to a natural gas power production facility. Through a subsidiary, it is in the process of constructing a data center for HPC near Colorado City, Texas (the Barber Lake Facility).
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Cipher Mining Shifts Focus to AI Data Centers
- Long-Term Contracts: Cipher Mining has signed a $5.5 billion, 15-year lease with Amazon, becoming one of its largest customers, which not only provides a stable revenue stream but also highlights its strong appeal in the AI data center market.
- Accelerating Profitability: Although the cryptocurrency mining segment remains unprofitable, Cipher Mining's revenue nearly tripled year-over-year to $71.7 million, with operating losses reduced from $91.4 million to $37.6 million, indicating positive progress towards profitability.
- Diversified Energy Pipeline: The acquisition of a 200-megawatt site in Ohio, expected to energize by 2027, brings Cipher Mining's total pipeline to 3.4 gigawatts, enhancing its competitiveness among tech companies and accelerating the build-out of its energy pipeline.
- AI Market Potential: Grandview Research projects that the artificial intelligence market will maintain a 30.6% compound annual growth rate through 2033, creating significant demand for Cipher Mining's AI data centers, while Bitcoin price volatility offers additional upside for its crypto operations.
See More
Cipher Mining: Dual Growth in AI and Crypto
- Long-Term Contracts: Cipher Mining has secured a $5.5 billion, 15-year lease with Amazon, indicating strong demand in the AI data center market, which is expected to provide the company with a stable long-term revenue stream.
- Crypto Business Growth: Cipher Mining's crypto mining revenue nearly tripled year-over-year to $71.7 million, and while still unprofitable, the operating loss decreased from $91.4 million to $37.6 million, showing positive progress towards profitability.
- Multi-GW Energy Pipeline: The company acquired a 200-megawatt site in Ohio, expected to energize by 2027, bringing its total energy pipeline to 3.4 GW, enhancing its competitive position among tech companies.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: According to Grandview Research, the AI market is projected to maintain a 30.6% compound annual growth rate through 2033, positioning Cipher Mining's AI data centers to benefit from this growth trend, further driving stock price appreciation.
See More
Cipher Mining Prices $2B Offering of Senior Secured Notes
- Financing Size: Cipher Mining's wholly owned subsidiary, Black Pearl Compute LLC, has priced a $2 billion offering of 6.125% senior secured notes, expected to close around February 11, 2026, which will provide essential funding for the company's high-performance computing data center.
- Use of Proceeds: The net proceeds from this offering will finance the remaining costs of the Black Pearl data center in Wink, Texas, while approximately $232.5 million will reimburse Cipher for prior equity contributions, ensuring liquidity for the project.
- Debt Service Reserves: In addition to construction costs, part of the proceeds will establish debt service reserves and cover transaction-related fees and expenses, thereby enhancing the company's financial stability and operational capacity.
- Market Outlook: Amidst volatility in the cryptocurrency market, Cipher Mining demonstrates strong market demand through this financing, which is expected to further bolster the company's strategic positioning and competitiveness in the high-performance computing sector.
See More
Cipher Mining Prices $2 Billion Senior Secured Notes Offering
- Bond Offering Size: Cipher Mining's subsidiary, Black Pearl Compute LLC, has announced a $2 billion offering of 6.125% senior secured notes due 2031, expected to close on February 11, 2026, reflecting the company's strong capital market financing capabilities.
- Clear Use of Proceeds: The net proceeds from this bond issuance will be utilized to finance the remaining costs of the Black Pearl data center in Wink, Texas, and to reimburse Cipher approximately $232.5 million for prior equity contributions to Cipher Black Pearl LLC, ensuring the project's smooth progression.
- Robust Guarantee Structure: The notes will be fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Cipher Black Pearl and 11786 Wink LLC, with first-priority liens on substantially all assets of the issuer and guarantors, enhancing investor confidence.
- Market Condition Impact: Although the bond offering is subject to market and other conditions, Cipher Mining demonstrates strong market adaptability, which is expected to further solidify its leadership position in the industrial data center sector.
See More
Hedge Funds Ramp Up Short Bets Against Software Stocks
- Surge in Short Bets: Hedge funds have made a $24 billion profit from shorting software stocks this year, coinciding with a $1 trillion decline in the industry's overall market value, indicating a growing pessimism towards the software sector.
- Market Turmoil Intensifies: The iShares Expanded Tech-Software ETF (IGV) has dropped 8% this week, bringing its year-to-date losses to over 21%, and a 30% decline from its all-time high last September, reflecting waning investor confidence in the software industry.
- Expectations of Structural Change: Investors increasingly believe that the software sector may be undergoing a
See More
Cipher Mining Proposes $2 Billion Notes Offering Amid Market Decline
- Notes Offering Announcement: Cipher Mining has proposed a $2 billion senior secured notes offering primarily aimed at qualified institutional buyers, with proceeds designated for financing the remaining costs of the Black Pearl Facility in Wink, Texas, and reimbursing approximately $232.5 million in prior equity contributions, indicating a proactive approach to funding.
- Market Impact: Amid a broader market decline, Cipher Mining's stock fell 18.79% to $13.20, reflecting the company's challenges in a mixed market environment, particularly as the technology sector dropped by 1.25% today.
- Technical Indicators: Currently, Cipher Mining trades 21.3% below its 20-day simple moving average and 18.6% below its 100-day SMA, suggesting a bearish trend in the short to medium term, while the RSI at 36 indicates a neutral position, highlighting mixed market sentiment.
- Short Interest Dynamics: Although Cipher Mining's short interest has decreased by 15.57%, with 49.88 million shares sold short representing 16.7% of its float, this remains higher than the peer average of 11.32%, suggesting persistent bearish sentiment in the market towards the stock.
See More
Cipher Mining Shifts Focus to AI Data Centers
- Long-Term Contracts: Cipher Mining has signed a $5.5 billion, 15-year lease with Amazon, becoming one of its largest customers, which not only provides a stable revenue stream but also highlights its strong appeal in the AI data center market.
- Accelerating Profitability: Although the cryptocurrency mining segment remains unprofitable, Cipher Mining's revenue nearly tripled year-over-year to $71.7 million, with operating losses reduced from $91.4 million to $37.6 million, indicating positive progress towards profitability.
- Diversified Energy Pipeline: The acquisition of a 200-megawatt site in Ohio, expected to energize by 2027, brings Cipher Mining's total pipeline to 3.4 gigawatts, enhancing its competitiveness among tech companies and accelerating the build-out of its energy pipeline.
- AI Market Potential: Grandview Research projects that the artificial intelligence market will maintain a 30.6% compound annual growth rate through 2033, creating significant demand for Cipher Mining's AI data centers, while Bitcoin price volatility offers additional upside for its crypto operations.
See More
Cipher Mining: Dual Growth in AI and Crypto
- Long-Term Contracts: Cipher Mining has secured a $5.5 billion, 15-year lease with Amazon, indicating strong demand in the AI data center market, which is expected to provide the company with a stable long-term revenue stream.
- Crypto Business Growth: Cipher Mining's crypto mining revenue nearly tripled year-over-year to $71.7 million, and while still unprofitable, the operating loss decreased from $91.4 million to $37.6 million, showing positive progress towards profitability.
- Multi-GW Energy Pipeline: The company acquired a 200-megawatt site in Ohio, expected to energize by 2027, bringing its total energy pipeline to 3.4 GW, enhancing its competitive position among tech companies.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: According to Grandview Research, the AI market is projected to maintain a 30.6% compound annual growth rate through 2033, positioning Cipher Mining's AI data centers to benefit from this growth trend, further driving stock price appreciation.
See More
Cipher Mining Prices $2B Offering of Senior Secured Notes
- Financing Size: Cipher Mining's wholly owned subsidiary, Black Pearl Compute LLC, has priced a $2 billion offering of 6.125% senior secured notes, expected to close around February 11, 2026, which will provide essential funding for the company's high-performance computing data center.
- Use of Proceeds: The net proceeds from this offering will finance the remaining costs of the Black Pearl data center in Wink, Texas, while approximately $232.5 million will reimburse Cipher for prior equity contributions, ensuring liquidity for the project.
- Debt Service Reserves: In addition to construction costs, part of the proceeds will establish debt service reserves and cover transaction-related fees and expenses, thereby enhancing the company's financial stability and operational capacity.
- Market Outlook: Amidst volatility in the cryptocurrency market, Cipher Mining demonstrates strong market demand through this financing, which is expected to further bolster the company's strategic positioning and competitiveness in the high-performance computing sector.
See More
Cipher Mining Prices $2 Billion Senior Secured Notes Offering
- Bond Offering Size: Cipher Mining's subsidiary, Black Pearl Compute LLC, has announced a $2 billion offering of 6.125% senior secured notes due 2031, expected to close on February 11, 2026, reflecting the company's strong capital market financing capabilities.
- Clear Use of Proceeds: The net proceeds from this bond issuance will be utilized to finance the remaining costs of the Black Pearl data center in Wink, Texas, and to reimburse Cipher approximately $232.5 million for prior equity contributions to Cipher Black Pearl LLC, ensuring the project's smooth progression.
- Robust Guarantee Structure: The notes will be fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Cipher Black Pearl and 11786 Wink LLC, with first-priority liens on substantially all assets of the issuer and guarantors, enhancing investor confidence.
- Market Condition Impact: Although the bond offering is subject to market and other conditions, Cipher Mining demonstrates strong market adaptability, which is expected to further solidify its leadership position in the industrial data center sector.
See More
Hedge Funds Ramp Up Short Bets Against Software Stocks
- Surge in Short Bets: Hedge funds have made a $24 billion profit from shorting software stocks this year, coinciding with a $1 trillion decline in the industry's overall market value, indicating a growing pessimism towards the software sector.
- Market Turmoil Intensifies: The iShares Expanded Tech-Software ETF (IGV) has dropped 8% this week, bringing its year-to-date losses to over 21%, and a 30% decline from its all-time high last September, reflecting waning investor confidence in the software industry.
- Expectations of Structural Change: Investors increasingly believe that the software sector may be undergoing a
See More
Cipher Mining Proposes $2 Billion Notes Offering Amid Market Decline
- Notes Offering Announcement: Cipher Mining has proposed a $2 billion senior secured notes offering primarily aimed at qualified institutional buyers, with proceeds designated for financing the remaining costs of the Black Pearl Facility in Wink, Texas, and reimbursing approximately $232.5 million in prior equity contributions, indicating a proactive approach to funding.
- Market Impact: Amid a broader market decline, Cipher Mining's stock fell 18.79% to $13.20, reflecting the company's challenges in a mixed market environment, particularly as the technology sector dropped by 1.25% today.
- Technical Indicators: Currently, Cipher Mining trades 21.3% below its 20-day simple moving average and 18.6% below its 100-day SMA, suggesting a bearish trend in the short to medium term, while the RSI at 36 indicates a neutral position, highlighting mixed market sentiment.
- Short Interest Dynamics: Although Cipher Mining's short interest has decreased by 15.57%, with 49.88 million shares sold short representing 16.7% of its float, this remains higher than the peer average of 11.32%, suggesting persistent bearish sentiment in the market towards the stock.
See More
