Should I Buy CIFR? CIFR 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Cipher Mining Inc (CIFR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

17.700

1 Day change

-6.69%

52 Week Range

25.520

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

Not a good buy right now for a Beginner long-term investor at ~$18.86. The setup is bullish technically, but the stock is already pressing into near-term resistance (~$19.27) with extremely high volatility and the company is still not consistently profitable (negative net income, negative gross margin). With no proprietary “strong buy” signal today, the risk/reward for an impatient entry is not compelling at this exact price level.

Technical Analysis

Trend is bullish: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 confirms an uptrend, and MACD histogram (+0.121) is above zero and expanding (momentum improving). RSI_6 ~62 is neutral-to-slightly bullish (not overbought). Price is approaching resistance: Pivot 17.935 and R1 19.266 (very close), with next resistance R2 20.089. Support levels to watch are 17.935 (pivot) then 16.603 (S1). Pattern-based forward odds provided are mixed/soft near-term (higher chance of small declines next day/week, modestly positive next month), suggesting this is more of a “buy-on-pullback” zone than a chase. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment skews bullish: open interest put/call at 0.39 indicates calls outweigh puts meaningfully. Volume put/call at 0.61 is also call-leaning. However, volatility is extremely elevated (HV ~141.9, 30D IV ~120.2; IV percentile ~60.8), implying the market expects big swings and options are priced for large moves. Net: bullish bias, but with high implied risk.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

1) 15-year, $5.5B AWS AI data-center capacity deal strengthens the ‘AI/HPC hosting’ pivot and improves long-term revenue visibility. 2) Reported fundraising deal nearing completion (headline suggests major investor interest), supportive for expansion/capex needs. 3) Hedge funds are buying (purchase amount up ~106.6% QoQ), reinforcing institutional appetite. 4) Multiple analysts have reiterated/raised bullish views with higher targets recently.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

1) Profitability still weak: latest quarter shows net income negative and gross margin negative, so execution risk remains despite revenue growth. 2) Bitcoin mining exposure still ties part of the story to network difficulty/hash price dynamics (competition pressure cited by analysts previously). 3) Stock and options imply very high volatility, increasing the chance of sharp drawdowns if BTC or risk assets weaken or if AI-colocation timelines slip. 4) Near-term technical overhead resistance around ~$19.27–$20.09 could cap upside in the immediate term without a fresh catalyst.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue rose to ~$71.7M (+197.5% YoY), showing strong top-line growth. However, profitability deteriorated: net income was about -$3.28M (down ~96.2% YoY), EPS -$0.01, and gross margin was -20.33% (negative). Bottom line: growth is strong, but margins/earnings quality are not yet in a durable uptrend.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Street tone is broadly bullish and improving. Recent changes include: Keefe Bruyette (2026-01-26/27) raised PT to $22 from $13 and kept Outperform; JPMorgan (2025-11-24) upgraded to Overweight with $18 PT (called it a ‘nice entry point’ after a large pullback); Citizens JMP initiated Outperform with $30 PT; multiple firms boosted targets after the AWS lease (Clear Street to $34, Northland to $27.5). A key counterpoint: Rosenblatt cut PT to $25 from $33 (2025-12-19) citing tougher mining competition/BTC pressure, though still Buy. Wall St pros: AI/HPC colocation pivot + hyperscaler deal visibility + scarce power capacity. Cons: still early in the profitability transition and mining-linked cyclicality/competition remains a headwind.

11 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CIFR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CIFR is 26.23 USD with a low forecast of 18 USD and a high forecast of 34 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

10 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 18.970

Low

Averages

26.23

High

Current: 18.970

Low

Averages

26.23

High

Keefe Bruyette

Stephen Glagola

upgrade

$13 -> $22

AI Analysis

2026-01-27

New

Reason

Keefe Bruyette

Stephen Glagola

Price Target

$13 -> $22

AI Analysis

2026-01-27

New

upgrade

Reason

Keefe Bruyette analyst Stephen Glagola raised the firm's price target on Cipher Mining to $22 from $13 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.

Keefe Bruyette

Outperform

upgrade

$13 -> $22

2026-01-26

New

Reason

Keefe Bruyette

Price Target

$13 -> $22

2026-01-26

New

upgrade

Outperform

Reason

Keefe Bruyette raised the firm's price target on Cipher Mining to $22 from $13 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model ahead of the Q4 report to reflect recent business developments and hash price trends. Cipher is executing well on its AI colocation strategy, says Keefe, which is "constructive" on the company's 2026 lease signings.

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CIFR Should I Buy

CIFR Should I Buy

Should You Buy Cipher Mining Inc (CIFR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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