Chefs' Warehouse Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Earnings Beat: Chefs' Warehouse reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share of 68 cents, surpassing the analyst estimate of 63 cents, indicating strong profitability in a competitive market.
- Significant Sales Growth: Quarterly sales reached $1.143 billion, up 10.5% year-over-year, not only exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.098 billion but also reflecting robust demand in the upscale dining sector.
- Operating Income Decline: While adjusted EBITDA increased from $68.2 million to $80.3 million, operating income for the fourth quarter fell to $43.2 million from $46.5 million year-over-year, primarily due to a $10.5 million rise in other operating expenses.
- Optimistic Outlook: The company affirmed its fiscal year 2026 sales guidance of $4.350 billion to $4.450 billion, expecting gross profit to range between $1.053 billion and $1.076 billion, demonstrating management's confidence in future market demand.
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- Earnings Announcement: The Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 11 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.62, reflecting a 12.7% year-over-year increase, indicating ongoing improvements in profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $1.1 billion, representing a 6.4% year-over-year growth, showcasing the company's stable growth in the market despite competitive pressures.
- Historical Performance: Over the last two years, CHEF has exceeded EPS estimates 100% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, reinforcing investor confidence through consistent performance.
- Estimate Revisions: In the past three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have had one upward revision with no downward adjustments, reflecting a cautiously optimistic outlook from analysts regarding the company's future performance.
- Earnings Beat: Chefs' Warehouse reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share of 68 cents, surpassing the analyst estimate of 63 cents, indicating strong profitability in a competitive market.
- Significant Sales Growth: Quarterly sales reached $1.143 billion, up 10.5% year-over-year, not only exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.098 billion but also reflecting robust demand in the upscale dining sector.
- Operating Income Decline: While adjusted EBITDA increased from $68.2 million to $80.3 million, operating income for the fourth quarter fell to $43.2 million from $46.5 million year-over-year, primarily due to a $10.5 million rise in other operating expenses.
- Optimistic Outlook: The company affirmed its fiscal year 2026 sales guidance of $4.350 billion to $4.450 billion, expecting gross profit to range between $1.053 billion and $1.076 billion, demonstrating management's confidence in future market demand.
- Earnings Performance: The Chefs' Warehouse reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.68, beating expectations by $0.06, indicating ongoing improvements in profitability that bolster investor confidence.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved $1.14 billion in revenue for Q4, a 10.7% year-over-year increase that surpassed market expectations by $40 million, reflecting strong market performance and rising customer demand.
- Organic Sales Increase: Organic sales rose by $99.9 million, or 9.7%, demonstrating robust growth in core business areas, while acquisitions contributed an additional $9.1 million to sales growth.
- Future Financial Guidance: The company projects fiscal 2026 net sales between $4.35 billion and $4.45 billion, with gross profit expected between $1.053 billion and $1.076 billion, and adjusted EBITDA between $276 million and $286 million, indicating a positive outlook for future performance.
- Strong Sales Outlook: Chefs' Warehouse projects net sales for FY 2026 to be between $4.35 billion and $4.45 billion, reflecting robust performance in Q4 2025, indicating sustained market demand that could drive stock price appreciation.
- Stable Gross Profit: The company anticipates gross profit to range from $1.053 billion to $1.076 billion for FY 2026, showcasing its success in cost control and operational efficiency, thereby strengthening its position in the competitive food distribution market.
- Adjusted EBITDA Forecast: The expected adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $276 million and $286 million, providing investors with a clearer view of the company's core operating performance, which may attract increased investor interest.
- Dilution Impact on Shares: The diluted share count is forecasted to be between 46.0 million and 46.7 million shares, including approximately 6.5 million shares from convertible notes, which may pressure earnings per share but also offers flexibility for future financing.
- Stock Price Analysis: CHEF's 52-week low is $47.39, with a high of $68.94, and the last trade at $60.20 indicates significant price fluctuations, reflecting market caution regarding its future performance.
- Technical Indicator Observation: The current price of $60.20 is below the 200-day moving average, suggesting a potentially bearish sentiment in the short term, prompting investors to monitor subsequent trends to assess risk.
- Market Sentiment Assessment: Despite the fluctuations within the 52-week range, the current price remains above the low point, indicating some market confidence in CHEF's fundamentals, though potential pullback risks should be noted.
- Investor Focus: Investors should closely watch CHEF's price movements in the coming trading days to adjust their investment strategies accordingly.

Record Sales Achievement: The Chef's Warehouse achieved quarterly sales exceeding $1 billion for the first time in 2025, with a 10% year-over-year increase in Q3 revenue.
Positive Growth Outlook: Analysts predict a 7% increase in total sales for 2026, supported by the company's consistent performance, having surpassed earnings expectations for eight consecutive quarters.
Stock Performance: The company's stock has risen 113% over the past two years, closing 2025 with a 25% increase, driven by rising profits and positive earnings reports.
Investment Considerations: Despite its strong performance, The Chef's Warehouse was not included in a recent list of top stock recommendations by The Motley Fool, which suggests investors explore other options for potentially higher returns.








