CHDN vs. TTWO: Which Stock Offers Better Value?
Investment Comparison: Investors in the Gaming sector should consider Churchill Downs (CHDN) and Take-Two Interactive (TTWO), with CHDN currently rated #2 (Buy) and TTWO rated #3 (Hold) by Zacks Rank, indicating a stronger earnings outlook for CHDN.
Valuation Metrics: CHDN has a forward P/E ratio of 18.65 and a PEG ratio of 1.91, while TTWO has a much higher forward P/E of 75.11 and a PEG ratio of 2.17, suggesting that CHDN is more undervalued compared to TTWO.
Value Grades: Based on various valuation metrics, CHDN has earned a Value grade of B, whereas TTWO has a Value grade of D, further indicating that CHDN is the superior value option at this time.
Expert Recommendations: Zacks Investment Research has highlighted CHDN as a strong investment choice, alongside other top stock recommendations that have shown significant potential for growth.
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- Investment Exit: Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund exited its stake in Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO) in Q4 2025, indicating a potential reassessment of the gaming sector, which could impact market confidence and stock performance for TTWO.
- Asset Management Scale: With over $925 billion in assets under management, the PIF holds a significant position in the global investment landscape, although its exit from TTWO may raise questions about its investment strategy.
- Current Holdings: The fund continues to hold 1.28 million shares of Claritev (CTEV) valued at approximately $54.77 million, 24.81 million shares of Electronic Arts (EA) worth about $5.07 billion, 177.09 million shares of Lucid Group (LCID) valued at around $1.87 billion, and 72.84 million shares of Uber Technologies (UBER) worth approximately $5.95 billion, indicating ongoing investments in other tech and automotive sectors.
- Market Outlook: Despite the exit from TTWO, the company has raised its full-year net bookings outlook to $6.7 billion, reflecting strong growth potential in mobile and core franchises, which may attract interest from other investors.
- Cross-Title Collaboration: Zynga's partnership with CBS celebrates the 50th season of Survivor by integrating the show's gameplay into five popular titles, aiming to enhance user engagement and brand recognition.
- Fan-Driven Experience: This update allows players to influence game outcomes through personal decisions, significantly increasing player engagement and interactivity, which is expected to boost retention rates and game stickiness.
- Diverse Game Events: Titles like Words With Friends and Zynga Poker will host special events where players can win limited-edition rewards, further igniting competitive spirit among players.
- Strategic Implications: This collaboration not only showcases Zynga's innovative capabilities in mobile gaming but also strengthens its market competitiveness through association with a well-known brand, likely driving user growth and revenue enhancement.
- Reduction Trend: According to the latest 13F filing, Tiger Global reduced its holdings in several major AI tech companies in Q4 2025, indicating a reassessment of the lofty valuations of AI-driven giants after years of rapid growth and heavy spending.
- Nvidia Holdings Change: As of December 31, 2025, Tiger Global's shares in Nvidia decreased to 11.01 million, down from 11.71 million on September 30, 2025, yet Nvidia remains one of its largest equity positions, reflecting a cautious approach towards near-term valuations.
- Mixed Market Signals: Despite strong AI spending and earnings growth, the market has shown mixed signals regarding the sustainability of AI-led gains, with some analysts warning of bubble risks in parts of the tech sector, particularly among the so-called
- Portfolio Adjustment: Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund (PIF) revealed in its Q4 13F filing that it no longer holds 11,414,680 shares of Take-Two (TTWO), which previously constituted 15% of its assets, indicating a strategic reassessment of its investment approach.
- Transfer to Subsidiary: The TTWO shares have been transferred to PIF's subsidiary, Savvy Games Group, which owns stakes in several video game companies including Niantic, Embracer, and Scopely, highlighting PIF's strategic positioning in the gaming sector.
- Concentration of Major Investments: At the end of Q4, PIF's assets were heavily weighted in Uber, EA, and Lucid, reflecting its investment preferences in technology and entertainment sectors, which may influence future investment decisions.
- Market Outlook Impact: As one of the largest shareholders of Take-Two, the timing of the share transfer coincides with the highly anticipated release of 'GTA 6', which could significantly impact its future investment returns.
- Executive Shakeup Impact: PayPal's CEO Alex Chris is replaced after less than two years, resulting in a nearly 20% drop in stock price following earnings reports, indicating strong market reaction to management changes that could undermine investor confidence.
- Performance Decline Warning: While PayPal reported a 9% increase in total payment volume, a 5% drop in transactions per active account highlights challenges in user growth and profitability, potentially affecting future market competitiveness.
- New CEO Challenges: The appointment of Enrique Lores raises concerns due to his lackluster performance at HP, leading investors to question his ability to effectively drive PayPal's transformation, which may impact the company's strategic direction.
- Market Valuation Slump: With a current P/E ratio around 8.5, significantly below market averages, PayPal is seen as a value investment opportunity; however, investor concerns about future growth may lead to further stock price pressure.
- Executive Shakeup Impact: PayPal's CEO Alex Chris is replaced after less than two years, leading to a nearly 20% drop in stock price, indicating investor unease about the company's future direction amidst challenges in the payment processing sector.
- Performance Decline Warning: Despite a 5% drop in transaction volume over the past year, PayPal is focusing on its most profitable products, yet skepticism about new CEO Enrique Lores' capabilities has resulted in significant stock volatility.
- Investor Confidence Eroded: PayPal's stock has fallen approximately 27% during Chris's tenure and nearly 43% from its peak, reflecting a decline in investor trust in management, particularly in a fiercely competitive market.
- Uncertain Future Outlook: Although PayPal's current P/E ratio is just 8.5, significantly below market levels, some analysts view this as a potential value trap, while others believe there are still growth opportunities under new leadership.











