Cannabis Earnings Show Market Split: US Plant-Touching Stocks Drop, IIPR And Cronos Up
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 08 2025
0mins
Source: Benzinga
Financial Results Overview: Major cannabis companies, including Green Thumb Industries and Verano Holdings, reported mixed financial results for Q1 2025, with U.S.-based operators generally experiencing stock declines despite operational improvements, while Cronos Group and Innovative Industrial Properties saw stock increases.
Company Performance Highlights: Green Thumb's revenue remained flat, Verano faced margin pressure with a net loss, The Cannabist Company contracted revenue but improved margins, MariMed grew wholesale revenue but saw margin compression, Cronos posted profit driven by international growth, and IIPR maintained consistent real estate performance.
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Analyst Views on IIPR
Wall Street analysts forecast IIPR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IIPR is 61.33 USD with a low forecast of 44.00 USD and a high forecast of 90.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
2 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 48.490
Low
44.00
Averages
61.33
High
90.00
Current: 48.490
Low
44.00
Averages
61.33
High
90.00
About IIPR
Innovative Industrial Properties, Inc. is an internally managed real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company is focused on the acquisition, ownership and management of specialized industrial properties leased to experienced, state-licensed operators for their regulated cannabis facilities. It acquires its properties through sale-leaseback transactions and third-party purchases. The Company owns approximately 109 properties comprising an aggregate of 9.0 million rentable square feet (including 666,000 rentable square feet under development/redevelopment) in 19 states, including Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, North Dakota, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, Virginia, and Washington. Its subsidiary is IIP Operating Partnership, LP (Operating Partnership).
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
U.S. Cannabis Stocks Outlook Brightens Following Executive Order
- Policy Shift Impact: The Trump Administration's December 18 Executive Order to reclassify marijuana from Schedule 1 to Schedule 3, while still facing regulatory hurdles, will allow cannabis businesses to deduct expenses, enhancing profitability and competitive positioning in the market.
- Market Expansion Opportunities: States like Pennsylvania and Florida are nearing adult-use sales, which is expected to drive market demand further, particularly benefiting profitable companies such as Green Thumb Industries and NewLake Capital Partners.
- Green Thumb Performance Growth: Green Thumb reported third-quarter revenue of $291 million, up 1.6% year-over-year, with prepackaged sales rising 8%, indicating strong market performance and brand influence despite a slight decline in retail sales.
- NewLake's Stable Income: As a REIT focused on cannabis companies, NewLake's third-quarter revenue reached $12.6 million, up 0.3% year-over-year, with an attractive 11.44% dividend yield and low debt levels, providing a solid foundation for future growth.
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Dividend Analysis for Innovative Industrial Properties Inc.
- Dividend Yield Expectation: Innovative Industrial Properties Inc. (IIPR) currently boasts an annualized dividend yield of 15.8%, and assessing the sustainability of this high yield requires evaluating the company's profitability fluctuations to determine future dividend stability.
- Historical Volatility Analysis: With a current stock price of $48.13, IIPR's trailing twelve-month trading history reveals a volatility of 43%, which may impact investor confidence in dividend and options strategies due to the high level of price fluctuation.
- Options Strategy Consideration: When contemplating selling a June covered call at a $50 strike price, investors must weigh the potential rewards against the risk of capping upside gains beyond $50, ensuring the strategy remains sound and justifiable.
- Market Sentiment Factors: While most options may expire worthless, analyzing market sentiment and investor behavior regarding IIPR's options remains crucial for understanding market dynamics and making informed investment decisions.
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