Bridger Aerospace Reports Q1 Revenue of $8.5M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 06 2026
0mins
Reports Q1 revenue $8.5M, consensus $17.3M. "We entered 2026 focused on ensuring our industry-leading fleet was fully prepared for what we expect to be a very active fire season. We achieved our earliest-ever mobilization of a multi-mission aircraft, with flight activity beginning in February in Oklahoma. Our continued emphasis on year-round readiness drove typical first-quarter investments in winter maintenance and flight training, positioning us to ramp revenue as fire activity increases," said Sam Davis, Chief Executive Officer of Bridger Aerospace. "Looking ahead, early indicators point to elevated wildfire risk, driven by historically low snowpack in the West and widespread drought conditions across much of the country. We believe these dynamics have yet to fully manifest, as fuel build-up and fire severity continue to develop. March was the warmest on record in the U.S. in 132 years, underscoring the urgency of the environment we are operating in. Against this backdrop, Bridger stands ready to protect lives, property, and the environment."
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Analyst Views on BAER
Wall Street analysts forecast BAER stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 1.940
Low
5.25
Averages
5.25
High
5.25
Current: 1.940
Low
5.25
Averages
5.25
High
5.25
About BAER
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. is an aerial firefighting company providing aerial firefighting and wildfire management services to federal and state government agencies, including the United States Forest Service, across the nation, as well as internationally. It provides various services using technology and environmentally friendly and sustainable firefighting methods throughout the United States. Its portfolio is organized across three core offerings: Fire Suppression, Aerial Surveillance, and Maintenance, Repair and Overhaul (MRO). Fire Suppression consists of deploying specialized Super Scooper aircraft to drop large amounts of water to extinguish wildfires. Aerial Surveillance consists of providing aerial surveillance for fire suppression aircraft over an incident and providing tactical coordination with the incident commander. MRO consists of maintenance and repair services for return-to-service upgrades of certain Canadair CL-215T Amphibious aircraft.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Record Guaranteed Days: The guaranteed days for these task orders represent the longest in Bridger's history, increasing from last year's 120 days to 160 days, indicating the company's enhanced capability to address the growing wildfire threat.
- Immediate Effect Orders: The first task order became effective on May 8, with the second ensuring coverage into the fourth quarter of 2026, further solidifying Bridger's leadership in aerial firefighting services.
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See More
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- Slower Net New Money: The annualized pace of net new money was 1.7%, down from 2.7% in the second half of 2025, attributed to the ongoing rollout of its revised risk and compliance framework and uncertainty from the Middle East conflict, highlighting the challenges in the current market environment.
- Cost Control Initiatives: Julius Baer is actively working to contain costs across the organization, aiming for SFr 130 million in gross run-rate efficiency measures by the end of 2028, with an adjusted cost/income ratio of 62%, an improvement from 67% in H2 2025, indicating ongoing efforts to enhance operational efficiency.
- Executive Transition: CFO Evie Kostakis will step down after a transition period in the second half of the year, yet she will remain until the end of 2026 to support the handover to her successor, reflecting the company's prudent planning regarding executive succession.
See More
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- Task Order Overview: Bridger Aerospace has secured two separate 160-day task orders from the US Forest Service, valued at over $30 million, ensuring a steady revenue stream for 2026 and highlighting the company's strong market position in aerial firefighting.
- Record Guaranteed Days: The guaranteed days for these task orders represent the longest in Bridger's history, increasing from last year's 120 days to 160 days, indicating the company's enhanced capability to address the growing wildfire threat.
- Immediate Effect Orders: The first task order became effective on May 8, with the second ensuring coverage into the fourth quarter of 2026, further solidifying Bridger's leadership in aerial firefighting services.
- Strategic Implications: Bridger's CEO noted that these orders not only enhance operational readiness but also drive year-round deployment and revenue strategies, strengthening the company's ability to protect lives and the environment, reflecting a trusted partnership with the Forest Service.
See More
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- Earnings Miss: Bridger Aerospace reported a Q1 GAAP EPS of -$0.69, missing estimates by $0.32, indicating significant challenges in profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Decline: The company generated $8.5M in revenue for Q1, a 45.5% year-over-year decline that fell short of expectations by $8.75M, reflecting substantial issues in market demand and operational efficiency, potentially leading to tighter future cash flows.
- Future Growth Plans: Despite the current poor performance, Bridger Aerospace aims for over 25% revenue growth in 2026, leveraging new fleet assets and contracts to expand operations, demonstrating confidence in future market opportunities.
- Historical Performance Comparison: In Q4 2025, Bridger Aerospace reported a GAAP EPS of -$0.40, slightly missing expectations, while revenue of $8.54M exceeded estimates by $2.04M, highlighting the volatility in the company's performance across different quarters.
See More
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- Executive Appointment: Bank of Singapore has appointed Vi Sun Yang from Julius Baer as Head of Private Banking for ASEAN, effective June 29, 2026, aiming to enhance its private banking business in the ASEAN market, aligning with OCBC's corporate strategy.
- Asset Management Growth: The bank exceeded its 2023 target of $145 billion in assets under management in 2025, reporting over 20% growth in global AUM, indicating strong performance and market confidence in its wealth management capabilities.
- Extensive Experience: Yang brings over 30 years of wealth management experience, having served as Market Head for Southeast Asia at Julius Baer and held senior roles at UBS Singapore, which is expected to provide valuable industry insights and leadership to Bank of Singapore.
- Strategic Investment: The bank's ongoing investments in the ASEAN market reflect its focus on Asian wealth flows, and Yang's appointment is anticipated to further enhance the bank's momentum in the region and strengthen its client service capabilities.
See More
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- Visa and Mastercard Ratings: Loop initiates coverage on Visa and Mastercard with a buy rating, anticipating significant net revenue growth driven by market share gains and upside from foreign exchange volatility, enhancing their competitive edge in the payment processing sector.
- Arista and Cisco Buy Ratings: Truist initiates buy ratings for Arista Networks and Cisco, citing their high-quality business scale and thematic attractiveness, particularly in the data center growth space, which presents underappreciated opportunities.
- 10X Genomics Upgrade: William Blair upgrades 10X Genomics from market perform to outperform, highlighting its pivotal role in AI drug discovery and improved profitability, which is expected to drive future growth following five consecutive topline beats.
- MiniMed Platform Outlook: Morgan Stanley initiates MiniMed at overweight with a $19 price target, projecting that its differentiated diabetes management platform will drive growth and margin expansion, particularly given the significant underpenetration in the U.S. market.
See More
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- Executive Transition: Bridger Aerospace announced the appointment of Justin Mogford as General Counsel and Corporate Secretary effective April, succeeding James Muchmore, who has served since 2016, aiming to enhance governance and compliance as the company scales its operations.
- Extensive Legal Background: Mogford brings over a decade of public company legal experience from Bristow Group, where he was involved in strategic initiatives including mergers and acquisitions, which is expected to add significant value to Bridger's legal and governance functions.
- Strategic Growth Focus: CEO Sam Davis highlighted that Mogford's expertise will be crucial in driving operational excellence and financial discipline to meet the rising demand for year-round aerial firefighting services from federal and state customers.
- Support for Transition: James Muchmore will assist in ensuring a smooth transition for Mogford, reflecting the company's high regard for his contributions during its early growth stages and laying a solid foundation for future expansion.
See More
