Breaking Down the Numbers: TPYP Aims for $40
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 22 2025
0mins
Should l Buy PAGP?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Analysis: The Tortoise North American Pipeline Fund ETF (TPYP) has an implied analyst target price of $39.66 per unit, while it is currently trading at approximately $35.58, indicating an expected upside of 11.46%.
Underlying Holdings Performance: Key holdings within TPYP, including Energy Transfer LP (ET), Plains All American Pipeline LP (PAA), and Plains GP Holdings LP (PAGP), show significant potential for growth based on analysts' target prices.
Analyst Target Comparisons: ET's average target price is $22.87, suggesting a 30.96% increase from its current price of $17.46; PAA has a target of $21.13 (20.21% upside), and PAGP's target is $21.25 (12.34% upside).
Investor Considerations: Questions arise regarding the validity of these analyst targets, prompting further research into whether they reflect realistic expectations or if they may be overly optimistic given recent market developments.
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Analyst Views on PAGP
Wall Street analysts forecast PAGP stock price to fall
6 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 23.320
Low
16.50
Averages
20.42
High
23.00
Current: 23.320
Low
16.50
Averages
20.42
High
23.00
About PAGP
Plains GP Holdings, L.P. through Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA), owns and operates midstream energy infrastructure and provides logistics services for crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGL). The Company operates through two segments: Crude Oil and NGL. The Crude Oil segment operations generally consist of gathering and transporting crude oil using pipelines (including gathering systems), trucks, and at times on barges or railcars, in addition to providing terminalling, storage and other related services utilizing its integrated assets across the United States and Canada. The NGL segment operations involve natural gas processing and NGL fractionation, storage, transportation and terminalling. The NGL segment is engaged in providing gathering, fractionation, storage, and/or terminalling services to third-party customers, extracting NGL mix from the gas stream processed at its Empress straddle plant facility as well as acquiring NGL mix.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Iran War Fuels Growth for North American Oil Companies
- Rising Oil Prices: The Iranian attacks on oil infrastructure have effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a sharp increase in oil prices, which is expected to drive revenue growth for North American oil companies.
- Enbridge Expansion Plans: Enbridge is set to invest CAD 28.4 billion in pipeline and terminal expansions, which is projected to increase its cash flow per share by 3% this year, allowing for continued growth in its 5.4% dividend and enhancing its market competitiveness.
- Enterprise Products Partners Investments: Enterprise Products Partners has invested billions in new pipeline systems and marine terminals, with $4.8 billion in major growth projects currently under construction, expected to support a 5.9% distribution growth, maintaining a 27-year streak of payout increases.
- Plains All American Pipeline Strategic Adjustments: Plains has optimized its pipeline portfolio through acquisitions of EPIC Crude Oil Pipelines and BridgeTex Pipeline, which is expected to drive stable cash flow growth in the future and support its 7.7% high dividend, boosting investor confidence.
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Plains GP Holdings Rated Among Best Infrastructure Stocks
- Analysts See Long-Term Growth: Barclays raised its price target for Plains GP Holdings from $18 to $21 while maintaining an 'Underweight' rating, indicating over 12% downside potential, reflecting confidence in the company's ability to benefit from the US-Iran conflict.
- Attractive Dividend Yield: Plains GP Holdings announced a quarterly dividend of $0.4175 per share on April 8, payable on May 15, 2026, with a strong annual dividend yield of 7.08%, appealing to income-seeking investors.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Analysts are bullish on Plains GP Holdings due to increased production activity in the U.S. and structurally higher crude prices, suggesting the company can achieve growth and strengthen its market position.
- Competitive Analysis: While PAGP is seen as a promising investment, analysts note that certain AI stocks may offer greater upside potential and lower downside risk, indicating a diverse perspective on investment choices in the market.
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- Share Reduction Details: Chickasaw Capital Management sold 144,038 shares of Plains GP Holdings in Q1 2026, resulting in a total holding of 8,675,146 shares valued at $210.6 million, indicating a cautious stance towards the company.
- Market Value Analysis: Despite the reduction, the value of Chickasaw's position in Plains GP Holdings increased by $41.8 million at quarter-end, reflecting both trading activities and price movements, suggesting ongoing market confidence in the company.
- Portfolio Concentration: Chickasaw reported 95 holdings in its 13F filing, with the top five equities representing 52.6% of its $2.8 billion AUM, indicating a high concentration in its portfolio, with Plains GP Holdings still accounting for 7.4%.
- Shareholder Returns: Plains GP Holdings has delivered a 24.5% return to shareholders this year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 2.1%, and the board raised the quarterly dividend by 9.9% to $0.4175, resulting in a 7.1% yield that appeals to income-seeking investors.
See More
Chickasaw Reduces Stake in Plains GP Holdings
- Stake Reduction: Chickasaw Capital Management sold 144,038 shares of Plains GP Holdings in Q1 2026, reducing its holdings to 8,675,146 shares valued at $210.6 million, while the stake still represents 7.4% of its reported AUM.
- Company Overview: Plains GP Holdings is a midstream energy company with thousands of miles of pipelines and storage capacity for crude oil and NGLs, leveraging its integrated infrastructure to provide essential logistics and transportation services to the North American energy sector, highlighting its significance in the industry.
- Shareholder Returns: Plains GP Holdings has performed exceptionally well in 2023, with a stock price increase of 24.5% through April 14, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 index's 2.1%, and the increase in dividends further enhances total returns for investors.
- Dividend Appeal: The board raised the quarterly dividend by 9.9% to $0.4175 per share, resulting in a new dividend yield of 7.1%, which is substantially higher than the S&P 500's 1.1%, making Plains GP more attractive to income-seeking investors.
See More
Canada's Competition Bureau Investigates Keyera's Acquisition Deal
- Regulatory Review Initiated: Canada's Competition Bureau has obtained a federal court order to gather information related to Keyera's acquisition of Plains All American Pipeline's Canadian natural gas liquids business, indicating significant regulatory scrutiny over the deal.
- Transaction Scale and Impact: Valued at $5.15 billion, the Bureau is investigating whether this transaction could substantially lessen or prevent competition in the Canadian oil and gas sector, highlighting the regulator's focus on market competition.
- Asset Details Disclosed: The deal involves assets including 193,000 bbl/day of fractionation capacity, 23 million barrels of storage capacity, and over 2,400 km of pipeline infrastructure, suggesting that the integration of these assets could have profound implications for market dynamics.
- Regulatory Progress Delayed: Keyera indicated last week that the acquisition process is taking longer than expected, suggesting potential challenges in regulatory review that could impact its market expansion plans and future business growth.
See More
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- FS Credit Opportunities Dividend: The Board of Directors announced a monthly distribution of $0.0583 per share for April 2026, payable on April 30, 2026, to shareholders of record as of April 23, 2026, reflecting the company's commitment to shareholder returns and stable cash flow.
- Entergy Quarterly Dividend: Entergy's board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.64 per share, payable on June 1, 2026, to shareholders of record as of May 1, 2026, highlighting the company's consistent dividend payments since 1988, which reinforces investor confidence.
- Plains Quarterly Distribution: Plains All American Pipeline and Plains GP Holdings announced quarterly cash distributions of $0.4175 per unit for Q1 2026, payable on May 15, 2026, demonstrating the companies' ongoing commitment to shareholder returns amid stable cash flow.
- Dividend Consistency: The distribution amounts for PAA and PAGP remain unchanged from February 2026, indicating a strategic focus on maintaining stable shareholder returns in the current economic climate, which is likely to enhance investor trust.
See More
Iran War Fuels Growth for North American Oil Companies
- Rising Oil Prices: The Iranian attacks on oil infrastructure have effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a sharp increase in oil prices, which is expected to drive revenue growth for North American oil companies.
- Enbridge Expansion Plans: Enbridge is set to invest CAD 28.4 billion in pipeline and terminal expansions, which is projected to increase its cash flow per share by 3% this year, allowing for continued growth in its 5.4% dividend and enhancing its market competitiveness.
- Enterprise Products Partners Investments: Enterprise Products Partners has invested billions in new pipeline systems and marine terminals, with $4.8 billion in major growth projects currently under construction, expected to support a 5.9% distribution growth, maintaining a 27-year streak of payout increases.
- Plains All American Pipeline Strategic Adjustments: Plains has optimized its pipeline portfolio through acquisitions of EPIC Crude Oil Pipelines and BridgeTex Pipeline, which is expected to drive stable cash flow growth in the future and support its 7.7% high dividend, boosting investor confidence.
See More
Plains GP Holdings Rated Among Best Infrastructure Stocks
- Analysts See Long-Term Growth: Barclays raised its price target for Plains GP Holdings from $18 to $21 while maintaining an 'Underweight' rating, indicating over 12% downside potential, reflecting confidence in the company's ability to benefit from the US-Iran conflict.
- Attractive Dividend Yield: Plains GP Holdings announced a quarterly dividend of $0.4175 per share on April 8, payable on May 15, 2026, with a strong annual dividend yield of 7.08%, appealing to income-seeking investors.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Analysts are bullish on Plains GP Holdings due to increased production activity in the U.S. and structurally higher crude prices, suggesting the company can achieve growth and strengthen its market position.
- Competitive Analysis: While PAGP is seen as a promising investment, analysts note that certain AI stocks may offer greater upside potential and lower downside risk, indicating a diverse perspective on investment choices in the market.
See More
Chickasaw Capital Reduces Stake in Plains GP Holdings
- Share Reduction Details: Chickasaw Capital Management sold 144,038 shares of Plains GP Holdings in Q1 2026, resulting in a total holding of 8,675,146 shares valued at $210.6 million, indicating a cautious stance towards the company.
- Market Value Analysis: Despite the reduction, the value of Chickasaw's position in Plains GP Holdings increased by $41.8 million at quarter-end, reflecting both trading activities and price movements, suggesting ongoing market confidence in the company.
- Portfolio Concentration: Chickasaw reported 95 holdings in its 13F filing, with the top five equities representing 52.6% of its $2.8 billion AUM, indicating a high concentration in its portfolio, with Plains GP Holdings still accounting for 7.4%.
- Shareholder Returns: Plains GP Holdings has delivered a 24.5% return to shareholders this year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 2.1%, and the board raised the quarterly dividend by 9.9% to $0.4175, resulting in a 7.1% yield that appeals to income-seeking investors.
See More
Chickasaw Reduces Stake in Plains GP Holdings
- Stake Reduction: Chickasaw Capital Management sold 144,038 shares of Plains GP Holdings in Q1 2026, reducing its holdings to 8,675,146 shares valued at $210.6 million, while the stake still represents 7.4% of its reported AUM.
- Company Overview: Plains GP Holdings is a midstream energy company with thousands of miles of pipelines and storage capacity for crude oil and NGLs, leveraging its integrated infrastructure to provide essential logistics and transportation services to the North American energy sector, highlighting its significance in the industry.
- Shareholder Returns: Plains GP Holdings has performed exceptionally well in 2023, with a stock price increase of 24.5% through April 14, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 index's 2.1%, and the increase in dividends further enhances total returns for investors.
- Dividend Appeal: The board raised the quarterly dividend by 9.9% to $0.4175 per share, resulting in a new dividend yield of 7.1%, which is substantially higher than the S&P 500's 1.1%, making Plains GP more attractive to income-seeking investors.
See More
Canada's Competition Bureau Investigates Keyera's Acquisition Deal
- Regulatory Review Initiated: Canada's Competition Bureau has obtained a federal court order to gather information related to Keyera's acquisition of Plains All American Pipeline's Canadian natural gas liquids business, indicating significant regulatory scrutiny over the deal.
- Transaction Scale and Impact: Valued at $5.15 billion, the Bureau is investigating whether this transaction could substantially lessen or prevent competition in the Canadian oil and gas sector, highlighting the regulator's focus on market competition.
- Asset Details Disclosed: The deal involves assets including 193,000 bbl/day of fractionation capacity, 23 million barrels of storage capacity, and over 2,400 km of pipeline infrastructure, suggesting that the integration of these assets could have profound implications for market dynamics.
- Regulatory Progress Delayed: Keyera indicated last week that the acquisition process is taking longer than expected, suggesting potential challenges in regulatory review that could impact its market expansion plans and future business growth.
See More
FS Credit Opportunities and Entergy Announce Dividend Payments
- FS Credit Opportunities Dividend: The Board of Directors announced a monthly distribution of $0.0583 per share for April 2026, payable on April 30, 2026, to shareholders of record as of April 23, 2026, reflecting the company's commitment to shareholder returns and stable cash flow.
- Entergy Quarterly Dividend: Entergy's board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.64 per share, payable on June 1, 2026, to shareholders of record as of May 1, 2026, highlighting the company's consistent dividend payments since 1988, which reinforces investor confidence.
- Plains Quarterly Distribution: Plains All American Pipeline and Plains GP Holdings announced quarterly cash distributions of $0.4175 per unit for Q1 2026, payable on May 15, 2026, demonstrating the companies' ongoing commitment to shareholder returns amid stable cash flow.
- Dividend Consistency: The distribution amounts for PAA and PAGP remain unchanged from February 2026, indicating a strategic focus on maintaining stable shareholder returns in the current economic climate, which is likely to enhance investor trust.
See More
