Bleecker Street's Short Position on Perdoceo Education Claims Fraud
Bleecker Street's Allegations: Funds managed by Bleecker Street are short Perdoceo Education Corporation (PRDO), claiming that increased enrollments and retention rates are linked to enrollment fraud by criminal networks, which is a widespread issue in the education sector.
Impact of Fraud on Revenue: The firm estimates that ghost student fraud accounts for approximately 8% of PRDO's revenue and 34% of its operating income, based on industry expert estimates of potential ghost student enrollment.
Other Companies Targeted: In addition to PRDO, Bleecker Street is also short on American Public Education (APEI), Grand Canyon Education (LOPE), and Strategic Education (STRA), as mentioned in their report.
Widespread Issue: The report highlights that enrollment fraud is not an isolated incident but a significant problem affecting multiple companies within the education industry.
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- Sale Overview: Perdoceo Education CFO Ashish R Ghia sold 33,271 shares of common stock on March 18, 2026, for approximately $1.2 million, indicating a strategic approach to capital management amidst rising stock prices.
- Impact on Holdings: This transaction accounted for 17.61% of Ghia's direct common stock holdings, leaving him with 155,691 shares, which reflects a continued strong commitment to the company's future despite the sale.
- Financial Performance Highlights: Perdoceo Education achieved about a 50% total return over the past year, with revenues reaching $846.1 million and net income nearing $160 million for the fiscal year 2026, showcasing robust growth and improved profitability in the online education sector.
- Capital Allocation Strategy: The company repurchased $120.8 million in stock last year and authorized an additional $100 million buyback program while maintaining a 2% dividend yield, demonstrating a proactive stance on capital allocation aimed at enhancing shareholder value.
- Insider Selling: Perdoceo Education CFO Ashish R Ghia sold 33,271 shares on March 18, 2026, for approximately $1.17 million, indicating a structured selling pattern following a significant stock price increase.
- Strong Financial Performance: The company reported a 24% revenue increase to about $846 million for the fiscal year 2025, with operating income reaching $196 million and net income nearly $160 million, showcasing its competitive edge in the online education market.
- Capital Allocation Strategy: Perdoceo repurchased $120.8 million in stock last year and authorized an additional $100 million buyback program while maintaining dividends, reflecting a proactive approach to capital management.
- Market Competition Context: While insider selling is viewed as tactical, analysts emphasize the importance of monitoring whether management can sustain double-digit profit growth amidst ongoing earnings increases and rising enrollment figures.
- Insider Trading Activity: Todd Nelson, CEO of Perdoceo Education, sold 51,346 shares on March 16 and 17, 2026, for approximately $1.79 million at a weighted average price of $34.89 per share, indicating strong insider confidence in the company's prospects.
- Ownership Impact: This transaction represented 10.61% of Nelson's direct holdings at the time, highlighting his significant stake in the company and potentially influencing market perceptions of the stock.
- Strong Financial Performance: Perdoceo reported a 24.20% year-over-year increase in annual revenue for Q4 of fiscal year 2025, marking the first double-digit growth in recent history, which underscores the company's competitive strength in the education sector.
- Positive Market Trends: As of March 21, 2026, Perdoceo's stock has risen by 17.83%, following four consecutive years of gains, reflecting investor optimism regarding the company's future growth trajectory.
- Insider Selling Activity: Todd S. Nelson, CEO of Perdoceo Education, sold 51,346 shares in open-market transactions on March 16 and 17, 2026, totaling approximately $1.8 million, indicating a strategic move by executives during a period of rising stock prices.
- Transaction Context: This sale was executed under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan, and prior to this, 91,787 shares were withheld for tax obligations on March 14, reflecting the balance between tax management and equity changes by insiders.
- Company Financial Performance: Perdoceo reported a 24.20% year-over-year increase in annual revenue in its Q4 fiscal 2025 earnings, marking the first double-digit growth in recent history, showcasing the company's strong performance and growth potential in the education market.
- Market Reaction and Outlook: As of March 21, 2026, Perdoceo's stock has risen by 17.83%, continuing a four-year growth trend, which reflects investor confidence in the company's future despite potential concerns over insider selling activities.
- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: Perdoceo Education has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and shareholder return strategy, which is expected to bolster investor confidence.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 1.84% reflects the company's attractiveness in the current market environment, potentially drawing in more investors seeking stable income.
- Future Earnings Outlook: Perdoceo Education anticipates adjusted operating income of up to $263 million in 2026, indicating a proactive strategy in expanding enrollments and its repurchase program aimed at driving long-term growth.
- Financial Performance Exceeds Expectations: The company reported a non-GAAP EPS of $0.59, beating expectations by $0.05, while revenue reached $211.6 million, exceeding forecasts by $1.65 million, showcasing its competitive edge and operational efficiency.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Perdoceo Education Corporation reported full-year revenue of $846.1 million for 2025, a 24.2% increase, with Q4 revenue reaching $211.6 million, up 20% year-over-year, indicating strong market performance and sustained demand.
- Increase in Student Enrollment: Total student enrollments grew by 7.3% in 2025, with AIUS up 11.2% and CTU up 6.6%, demonstrating effective strategies in attracting new students and increasing market recognition.
- Shareholder Return Strategy: The Board approved a new share repurchase authorization of up to $100 million, with $157.6 million returned to shareholders in 2025 through buybacks and dividends, reflecting confidence in future cash flows and enhancing shareholder value.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management expects adjusted operating income for 2026 to range between $250 million and $263 million, indicating growth compared to 2025, which reflects strong confidence in new program rollouts and continued organic growth.








