Anticipating a Deep Bear Market Ahead
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 27 2026
0mins
Source: Fool
- Healthcare Giant: Medtronic has maintained a dividend increase streak for 49 years, with a current yield of 3.5%, and despite market downturns, it recently reported its highest annual revenue growth in a decade, indicating a successful restructuring and potential for stable dividend growth even in a bear market.
- Real Estate Investment Trust: Realty Income offers a 5.2% dividend yield and has increased its dividend for 31 consecutive years; while not at historical highs, its absolute yield remains attractive, and its occupancy rate never dropped below 96% during the Great Recession, showcasing its reliability amid market fluctuations.
- Steel Industry Leader: Nucor, known for over 50 consecutive years of dividend increases, currently has a low yield of 0.9%, but has only reported one loss in the last four decades, demonstrating resilience in a cyclical industry, making it a potential quality pick for investors during a bear market.
- Long-Term Holding Strategy: The author intends to hold Medtronic, Realty Income, and Nucor through market volatility, believing that these companies' management capabilities and historical performance will enable continued growth in future market conditions, reflecting the value of long-term investing.
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Analyst Views on O
Wall Street analysts forecast O stock price to fall
11 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
7 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 63.840
Low
60.00
Averages
62.59
High
67.50
Current: 63.840
Low
60.00
Averages
62.59
High
67.50
About O
Realty Income Corporation is a real estate investment trust. The Company is engaged in the acquisition, ownership, and management of freestanding commercial properties leased under long‑term net lease agreements to a diversified base of operators, including a blend of investment grade, investment grade equivalent, and other clients. It owns a portfolio of over 15,500 properties in all 50 United States (U.S.) states, the United Kingdom, and eight other countries in Europe. It is engaged in a single business activity, which is the leasing of property to clients, generally on a net basis. That business activity spans various geographic boundaries and includes property types and clients engaged in various industries. Its property types include retail, industrial, gaming, and other. Its industry concentrations include grocery, convenience stores, home improvement, dollar stores, restaurants-quick service, health and fitness, drug stores, automotive service, among others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Realty Income's Compounding Potential in REIT Sector
- Stable Dividend Growth: Realty Income has increased its monthly dividend 135 times since its 1994 listing, maintaining growth for the past 115 consecutive quarters, demonstrating its strong capability in dividend payments and attracting income-seeking investors.
- Significant Investment Returns: Investors have achieved a 13.6% annualized return since the REIT's public debut, with a $25,000 investment in 1994 growing to nearly $1.2 million, highlighting the powerful effects of compounding.
- Future Growth Potential: With a current dividend yield exceeding 5% and projected AFFO per share growth in the mid-to-high single digits, Realty Income could deliver over 10% annualized total returns, making it appealing for long-term investors.
- Strategic Capital Partnerships: By forming strategic partnerships with private capital and investing in data centers, Realty Income is paving the way for future growth, enhancing its financial strength and creating sustained value for shareholders.
See More
The Compounding Power of Realty Income REIT
- Stable Dividend Growth: Since its public listing in 1994, Realty Income has increased its monthly dividend 135 times, with 115 consecutive quarters of growth, achieving a compound annual growth rate of 4.1%, demonstrating its reliability and sustainability in dividend payments.
- Robust Investment Returns: Investors who reinvested dividends have earned a 13.6% compound annual return since 1994; for instance, a $25,000 investment in 1994 would now be worth nearly $1.2 million, showcasing the power of compounding.
- Strong Financial Foundation: Realty Income boasts a dividend yield exceeding 5% and a conservative payout ratio of around 70%, providing it with the financial strength to maintain stable income and invest in growth.
- Future Growth Potential: Through strategic private capital partnerships and investments in data centers, Realty Income aims for mid-to-high single-digit annual growth in adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) per share, potentially delivering over 10% annualized total returns for long-term investors.
See More
REITs Show Significant Rebound Amid Market Decline
- Strong REIT Performance: While the overall market declined by about 1% in June, real estate investment trusts (REITs) surged, with the entire sector up approximately 9.5% this year, demonstrating resilience and attractiveness in the economic recovery.
- Income Distribution Advantage: REITs are favored for their legal requirement to distribute 90% of taxable income to shareholders; for instance, Realty Income has increased its monthly dividend 135 times since going public in 1994, attracting many income-seeking investors.
- Sector Recovery Drivers: With workers returning to offices and malls, lodging and resort REITs have risen nearly 43% this year, while data center REITs have increased over 33% due to extraordinary growth driven by artificial intelligence and rising data usage, highlighting strong growth potential in specific categories.
- Investment Timing Analysis: Although the economic outlook is relatively optimistic with unemployment near historical lows, investing in REITs requires attention to future interest rate trends; if rates remain stable, debt-heavy REITs will continue to benefit from a low-rate environment.
See More
REITs Show Significant Recovery Trends in 2026
- Overall REIT Recovery: In 2026, REITs have risen approximately 9.5%, outperforming the broader market, indicating strong signs of recovery post-pandemic, particularly in the office and retail sectors.
- Subsector Performance: Lodging and resort REITs have surged nearly 43% this year, with a 12% increase in June alone, primarily driven by a resurgence in group and corporate travel, reflecting a rebound in consumer demand.
- Data Center REIT Growth: Data center REITs have increased over 33% this year, fueled by extraordinary growth from artificial intelligence companies and rising data usage, showcasing the sector's robust growth potential that attracts investor interest.
- Economic Environment Impact: The U.S. economy appears relatively strong with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, near historical lows, and if interest rates remain stable, debt-heavy REITs will benefit, especially healthcare-related REITs that tend to perform well during economic downturns.
See More
Rising Medicare Costs and Investment Strategies
- Rising Medicare Costs: The standard monthly premium for Medicare Part B in 2026 is set at $202.90, reflecting a $17.90 increase from 2025, leading to an annual cost nearing $5,000, which continues to exert financial pressure on retirees.
- Investment Requirement Analysis: To cover the annual $5,000 healthcare bill, investors need approximately $143,000 in capital at a 3.5% yield or about $100,000 at a 5% yield, highlighting the urgent need for stable income sources in retirement planning.
- Yield Comparison: An investment portfolio yielding 3.5% can grow a $5,000 income stream to $19,300 over 20 years, while a 10% yield portfolio remains flat at $5,000, underscoring the significance of long-term investment and compounding returns.
- Retirement Income Planning: Retirees should focus on breaking down healthcare costs, ensuring coverage for Medicare expenses first before addressing other expenditures, thereby optimizing financial management and alleviating economic burdens.
See More
Realty Income Raises Dividend for 115 Consecutive Quarters
- Stable Dividend Yield: Realty Income currently offers a 5.2% dividend yield, meaning a $10,000 investment translates to 161 shares, yielding a monthly dividend of $43.83 and an annual income of $526.01, showcasing its potential as a reliable source of passive income.
- Long-standing Dividend Growth: The company has raised its dividend for 115 consecutive quarters since going public in 1994, demonstrating strong cash flow and profitability, which enhances investor confidence in its long-term investment value.
- Unique Monthly Payment Advantage: Known as the 'Monthly Dividend Company', Realty Income's monthly dividend payments provide investors with consistent cash flow, a rarity among traditional quarterly dividend-paying stocks, further attracting income-seeking investors.
- Portfolio Supplement: While its dividend income may not fully support retirement, Realty Income serves as a reliable passive income source within a diversified retirement portfolio, making it suitable for long-term holding to achieve wealth appreciation.
See More
Realty Income's Compounding Potential in REIT Sector
- Stable Dividend Growth: Realty Income has increased its monthly dividend 135 times since its 1994 listing, maintaining growth for the past 115 consecutive quarters, demonstrating its strong capability in dividend payments and attracting income-seeking investors.
- Significant Investment Returns: Investors have achieved a 13.6% annualized return since the REIT's public debut, with a $25,000 investment in 1994 growing to nearly $1.2 million, highlighting the powerful effects of compounding.
- Future Growth Potential: With a current dividend yield exceeding 5% and projected AFFO per share growth in the mid-to-high single digits, Realty Income could deliver over 10% annualized total returns, making it appealing for long-term investors.
- Strategic Capital Partnerships: By forming strategic partnerships with private capital and investing in data centers, Realty Income is paving the way for future growth, enhancing its financial strength and creating sustained value for shareholders.
See More
The Compounding Power of Realty Income REIT
- Stable Dividend Growth: Since its public listing in 1994, Realty Income has increased its monthly dividend 135 times, with 115 consecutive quarters of growth, achieving a compound annual growth rate of 4.1%, demonstrating its reliability and sustainability in dividend payments.
- Robust Investment Returns: Investors who reinvested dividends have earned a 13.6% compound annual return since 1994; for instance, a $25,000 investment in 1994 would now be worth nearly $1.2 million, showcasing the power of compounding.
- Strong Financial Foundation: Realty Income boasts a dividend yield exceeding 5% and a conservative payout ratio of around 70%, providing it with the financial strength to maintain stable income and invest in growth.
- Future Growth Potential: Through strategic private capital partnerships and investments in data centers, Realty Income aims for mid-to-high single-digit annual growth in adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) per share, potentially delivering over 10% annualized total returns for long-term investors.
See More
REITs Show Significant Rebound Amid Market Decline
- Strong REIT Performance: While the overall market declined by about 1% in June, real estate investment trusts (REITs) surged, with the entire sector up approximately 9.5% this year, demonstrating resilience and attractiveness in the economic recovery.
- Income Distribution Advantage: REITs are favored for their legal requirement to distribute 90% of taxable income to shareholders; for instance, Realty Income has increased its monthly dividend 135 times since going public in 1994, attracting many income-seeking investors.
- Sector Recovery Drivers: With workers returning to offices and malls, lodging and resort REITs have risen nearly 43% this year, while data center REITs have increased over 33% due to extraordinary growth driven by artificial intelligence and rising data usage, highlighting strong growth potential in specific categories.
- Investment Timing Analysis: Although the economic outlook is relatively optimistic with unemployment near historical lows, investing in REITs requires attention to future interest rate trends; if rates remain stable, debt-heavy REITs will continue to benefit from a low-rate environment.
See More
REITs Show Significant Recovery Trends in 2026
- Overall REIT Recovery: In 2026, REITs have risen approximately 9.5%, outperforming the broader market, indicating strong signs of recovery post-pandemic, particularly in the office and retail sectors.
- Subsector Performance: Lodging and resort REITs have surged nearly 43% this year, with a 12% increase in June alone, primarily driven by a resurgence in group and corporate travel, reflecting a rebound in consumer demand.
- Data Center REIT Growth: Data center REITs have increased over 33% this year, fueled by extraordinary growth from artificial intelligence companies and rising data usage, showcasing the sector's robust growth potential that attracts investor interest.
- Economic Environment Impact: The U.S. economy appears relatively strong with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, near historical lows, and if interest rates remain stable, debt-heavy REITs will benefit, especially healthcare-related REITs that tend to perform well during economic downturns.
See More
Rising Medicare Costs and Investment Strategies
- Rising Medicare Costs: The standard monthly premium for Medicare Part B in 2026 is set at $202.90, reflecting a $17.90 increase from 2025, leading to an annual cost nearing $5,000, which continues to exert financial pressure on retirees.
- Investment Requirement Analysis: To cover the annual $5,000 healthcare bill, investors need approximately $143,000 in capital at a 3.5% yield or about $100,000 at a 5% yield, highlighting the urgent need for stable income sources in retirement planning.
- Yield Comparison: An investment portfolio yielding 3.5% can grow a $5,000 income stream to $19,300 over 20 years, while a 10% yield portfolio remains flat at $5,000, underscoring the significance of long-term investment and compounding returns.
- Retirement Income Planning: Retirees should focus on breaking down healthcare costs, ensuring coverage for Medicare expenses first before addressing other expenditures, thereby optimizing financial management and alleviating economic burdens.
See More
Realty Income Raises Dividend for 115 Consecutive Quarters
- Stable Dividend Yield: Realty Income currently offers a 5.2% dividend yield, meaning a $10,000 investment translates to 161 shares, yielding a monthly dividend of $43.83 and an annual income of $526.01, showcasing its potential as a reliable source of passive income.
- Long-standing Dividend Growth: The company has raised its dividend for 115 consecutive quarters since going public in 1994, demonstrating strong cash flow and profitability, which enhances investor confidence in its long-term investment value.
- Unique Monthly Payment Advantage: Known as the 'Monthly Dividend Company', Realty Income's monthly dividend payments provide investors with consistent cash flow, a rarity among traditional quarterly dividend-paying stocks, further attracting income-seeking investors.
- Portfolio Supplement: While its dividend income may not fully support retirement, Realty Income serves as a reliable passive income source within a diversified retirement portfolio, making it suitable for long-term holding to achieve wealth appreciation.
See More
