Anthropic Confidentially Files for IPO, SpaceX Plans to Raise $75B
Anthropic has confidentially filed for an IPO, giving the AI company the option to go public once the SEC completes its review. Meanwhile, SpaceX is preparing to launch a record setting offering of its own, aiming to raise $75B at a $1.75T valuation as its roadshow kicks off Thursday.This week's private company news:Anthropic said in a, "Anthropic, PBC confidentially submitted a draft registration statement on Form S-1 to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for a proposed initial public offering of our common stock. This gives us the option to go public after the SEC completes its review. The proposed initial public offering will depend on market conditions and other factors. The number of shares to be offered and the price have not yet been set. This announcement is being published under Rule 135 of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. It is not an offer to sell securities; nor is it a solicitation of an offer to buy them. Any offers, solicitations of offers to buy, or any sales of securities will be made only in accordance with the registration requirements of the Securities Act."SpaceX plans to raise a record $75B by pricing its IPO at $135 per share, selling 555.6 million shares and targeting a valuation of $1.75T, Reuters' Echo Wang, citing sources familiar with the matter. SpaceX's roadshow begins on Thursday.Base Power, a provider of home batteries for backup power, is in talks to raise around $1B at a $12B valuation, Forbes' Rashi Shrivastava and Anna Tong, citing four sources familiar with the matter. Ribbit Capital is in talks to lead the round, one of the sources said. Founded in 2023 by Zach Dell, son of billionaire computer pioneer Michael Dell, and Justin Lopas, Base Power installs and maintains large capacity home batteries which can serve as backup power if the main grid goes down.Some of the biggest capital raises by private companies this week include:AlphaSense– The AI platform announced the close of a $350M funding round valuing the company at $7.5B. The round was led by Vitruvian Partners, Accenture Ventures, and J.P. Morgan Asset Management, with additional new investors including D. E. Shaw Ventures and Pinegrove Opportunity Partners, along with existing investors including CapitalG, Goldman Sachs Alternatives, and Viking Global Investors. Publicly-traded companies operating in the same space include Microsoft, Alphabet, and IBM.Mach Industries– The defense manufacturer building advanced unmanned systems for modern defense raised $300M in Series C funding. The round was led by Infinite Capital and Ribbit Capital, valuing the company at $1.8B. Publicly-traded companies operating in the same space include Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and RTX.Coralogix– The data and AI platform for observability announced it raised $200M in Series F funding. The round was co-led by Advent, CPPIB, and Greenfield, with participation from Brighton Park Capital, bringing total funding in Coralogix to $550M. Publicly-traded companies operating in the same space include Datadog, Elastic, and New Relic.Town Inks– The personalized AI assistant raised $55M in Series A led by by Andreessen Horowitz, with participation from Forerunner Ventures and continued support from First Round Capital, Alt Capital, and Conviction. Publicly-traded companies operating in the same space include Avery Dennisonand HP Inc..Corgi– The company announced a $106M Series B1 round, led by TCV with participation from Prime Capital, Zone 2 Ventures, Oliver Jung, Leblon Capital, Kindred Ventures, Quadri Ventures, First Order Fund, Vocal Ventures, Nordstar, GSBackers, Repeat Ventures, 8188 Capital, and other strategic investors. "This fresh round of funding brings the company's valuation to $2.6 billion. The financing will support continued expansion of Corgi's full-stack insurance platform and launch into new lines of commercial insurance," the company stated. Publicly-traded companies operating in the same space include Nvidia, UiPath, and iRobot.Unicorns to watch this week:Galvanize Therapeutics– The commercial‑stage medical technology company pioneering pulsed‑electric‑field therapies for oncology and chronic lung disease has recently closed an oversubscribed $100M Series C. Publicly-traded companies in the operating space include Opko Healthand Adverum Biotechnologies.Runway– The generative‑AI multimedia platform — valued at $3B-plus — continues to expand its model suite and enterprise footprint across video, image, and multimodal creation. Publicly-traded companies in the operating space include Microsoft, Alphabet, and Nvidia.Celonis– The process mining and execution management software company remains a top candidate for a high profile tech IPO. Publicly-traded companies in the operating space include UiPath, IBM, and SAP.Mistral AI– The European AI model developer is reportedly targeting a $600M raise at a $6B valuation, continuing its rapid ascent as a frontier‑model competitor. Publicly-traded companies in the operating space include Nvidia, Microsoft, and Alphabet.iCapital– The alternative‑investment platform — estimated at a $7.5B valuation — continues to scale its private‑markets access infrastructure for wealth managers and institutions. Publicly-traded companies in the operating space include Blackstone, Apollo Global, and Blue Owl.Other IPOs to watch:Kardigan– The company has filed an initial public offering of shares of its common stock. The company has applied to list its common stock on the Nasdaq Global Market under the symbol "KARD." JP Morgan, Jefferies, Leerink Partners, and TD Cowen are acting as the underwriters for the offering.Quantinuum– The company priced 28M shares at $60.00. The deal size was increased to 28M shares from 26.5M and priced above the $53.00-$55.00 target range. JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley are acting as joint book running managers for the offering. Quantinuum is a quantum computing company offering a full-stack platform designed to make quantum computing deployable in real-world environments.Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company– The company announced the launch of its initial public offering of 20M shares of its common stock. In connection with the offering, Sunshine expects to grant the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to 3,000,000 shares of common stock. The IPO price is expected to be between $13.50-$16.50 per share. Sunshine's common stock has been approved for listing, subject to official notice of issuance, under the ticker symbol "SSMR" on the New York Stock Exchange.Innio– The company announced that it has publicly filed a registration statement on Form S-1 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission relating to a proposed initial public offering of its common shares. The timing of the offering, number of shares to be offered and the price range for the proposed offering have not yet been determined. Innio has applied to list its common shares on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the ticker symbol "INIO." Innio designs, manufactures and services power systems under its Jenbacher and Waukesha brands. The company delivers power for applications including data centers, microgrids, grid stabilization, industrial energy and gas compression.Inspire Brands– The company announced that it has confidentially submitted a draft registration statement on Form S-1 with the Securities and Exchange Commission relating to the proposed initial public offering of its common stock. Inspire Brands expects to use the net proceeds of the proposed offering to repay outstanding indebtedness under its existing term loan facility and pay offering fees and expenses."Private Markets" is The Fly's recurring series of stories on the latest moves in the private sector, largest unicorn companies and initial public offerings to watch. Fly subscribers, add $PRIVATE to your portfolio for alerts on breaking news in the startup and venture capital space.
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- Financial Performance Analysis: Microsoft reported an 18% year-over-year revenue increase in the last quarter, with its intelligent cloud segment growing by 30%, indicating strong demand in the AI sector, despite the stock price dropping over 30% from its peak.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: The company expects capital expenditures to reach $190 billion for the current fiscal year, more than 60% higher than last year, reflecting Microsoft's commitment to AI infrastructure, although investors remain skeptical about this spending.
- Copilot User Growth: The paid version of Microsoft's Copilot has grown to 20 million users from 15 million last quarter, indicating a foundation for future commercialization, despite slow market share growth against competitors.
- Analyst Ratings Optimistic: Over 80% of analysts rate Microsoft as a strong buy, with a 12-month price target of $559.02, representing a 46% upside from the current stock price, reflecting confidence in the company's future growth prospects.
- Microsoft Stake Value: Microsoft's 27% stake in OpenAI is valued at approximately $135 billion, and if OpenAI goes public at $1 trillion, this stake could be worth about $270 billion, significantly enhancing Microsoft's market capitalization and potentially accounting for 9% of its total value.
- IPO Timing Delay: OpenAI is now targeting a 2027 IPO, as CEO Sam Altman refuses to accept a valuation below $1 trillion, a decision that could impact Microsoft's investment returns and force the market to reassess the value of its assets.
- Microsoft Financial Performance: Despite a declining stock price, Microsoft reported $82.9 billion in revenue for Q3 2026, an 18% year-over-year increase, with earnings per share rising 23% to $4.27, demonstrating strong growth potential in its core business.
- Capital Expenditure Pressure: Microsoft anticipates capital expenditures of $190 billion in 2026, including $25 billion due to rising component prices, which may pressure profit margins in the coming years, causing investor concerns about the sustainability of its growth.
- Stock Price Plunge: Microsoft's stock dropped 10% from $481.63 to $433.50 on January 29, 2026, due to misleading statements regarding its AI chatbot Copilot and Azure, significantly impacting investor confidence and market performance.
- Class Action Initiated: A class action lawsuit filed by Bleichmar Fonti & Auld LLP accuses Microsoft and its executives of violating securities laws, with investors needing to apply by August 11, 2026, to lead the case, highlighting potential reputational risks for the company.
- Functionality Issues Exposed: The lawsuit alleges that despite claims of Copilot's best-in-class capabilities, severe functionality issues led to user attrition, jeopardizing Azure's revenue growth and reflecting challenges in the company's technological innovation.
- Market Reaction: The Wall Street Journal reported significant problems with Copilot, exacerbating investor concerns about Microsoft's future growth and potentially leading to a broader crisis of trust in the company’s long-term strategy.
- Investment Recommendation Omission: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team has identified that Apple is not included in the current list of top investment stocks, indicating a cautious market sentiment regarding its future growth potential, which may affect investor confidence.
- Historical Return Comparison: Compared to previously recommended stocks like Netflix and Nvidia, which achieved returns of 418,761% and 1,195,804% respectively after their recommendations, Apple's relative disadvantage in the current investment landscape may lead to capital outflows.
- Market Performance Discrepancy: With Stock Advisor's total average return at 918%, significantly surpassing the S&P 500's 208%, it suggests that investors may prefer other recommended stocks, potentially impacting Apple's market performance.
- Analyst Holdings Insight: Analyst Parkev Tatevosian holds shares in Microsoft, while The Motley Fool recommends both Apple and Microsoft, reflecting differing investment confidence in these companies, which may influence market perceptions of Apple.
- Job Cuts Announcement: Microsoft plans to cut 3,200 jobs in its Xbox division, with 1,600 layoffs this week and an additional 1,250 by the end of the fiscal year, representing about 20% of the division's workforce, indicating a significant restructuring in response to market pressures.
- Subscription Service Underperformance: The company's Game Pass subscription service is falling short of internal targets, projected to reach 77 million users this year but currently at only 30 million, highlighting the challenges Microsoft faces in the gaming market and the need for strategic adjustments.
- Poor Stock Performance: Microsoft shares have dropped 23% in the first half of 2026, marking its worst performance since 2000, reflecting investor concerns amid a broader selloff in software stocks and increasing competition in AI from rivals like Google and OpenAI.
- Retail Sentiment Shift: As of early Tuesday, retail sentiment for MSFT shifted from 'bullish' to 'neutral', indicating investor frustration over the company's underperformance and raising questions about its strategic decisions in the AI landscape.
- Competitive History: Microsoft and Apple have been in fierce competition for decades, continually challenging each other in operating systems and hardware, which has accelerated technological advancements.
- Market Performance: As of July 3, 2026, Microsoft's stock price stood at 0.94%, while Apple's was at 1.36%, indicating differing performances in the market between the two companies.
- Video Release: A related video was published on July 5, 2026, further exploring the dynamics of competition between the two companies and its impact on the industry.
- Industry Impact: The rivalry between Microsoft and Apple not only affects their respective market shares but also drives innovation and progress across the entire technology sector, serving as a significant catalyst for technological development.











