Analysts Remain Bullish on LUNR Stock, Maintain Top Pick Status
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 50 minutes ago
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Should l Buy LUNR?
Source: stocktwits
- Quarterly Performance: Intuitive Machines reported Q1 revenue of $186.7 million, nearly tripling year-over-year but falling short of the $205 million consensus estimate, indicating strong growth potential despite current challenges.
- Profitability Improvement: The company achieved its first-ever positive adjusted EBITDA of $2.7 million, marking a significant improvement in profitability and boosting investor confidence in future performance.
- Market Outlook: Analysts remain optimistic about LUNR's prospects, with Clear Street raising its price target from $25 to $44, suggesting over 20% upside potential, reflecting positive expectations regarding the company's involvement in lunar projects.
- Retail Sentiment: Despite a 3.5% decline in premarket trading, retail sentiment on Stocktwits remains 'extremely bullish', indicating strong support for LUNR stock and suggesting continued investor interest moving forward.
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Analyst Views on LUNR
Wall Street analysts forecast LUNR stock price to fall
10 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 36.520
Low
9.50
Averages
17.74
High
25.00
Current: 36.520
Low
9.50
Averages
17.74
High
25.00
About LUNR
Intuitive Machines, Inc. is a space technology, infrastructure, and services company. It is a provider and supplier of space products and services that enable sustained robotic and human exploration to the Moon, Mars, and beyond. Its services include delivery services, data transmission services, and infrastructure as a service. Its delivery services provide transportation and delivery of payloads, such as satellites, scientific instruments and cargo to various destinations in space, in addition to rideshare delivery and lunar surface access. Its data transmission services offerings include the collection, processing, and interpretation of space-based data, utilizing applications, such as command, control, communications, reconnaissance and prospecting. Its infrastructure as a service delivers space assets, performing tasks and making decisions without human intervention that are designed to perform essential functions, such as navigation, scientific data collection, and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Quarterly Performance: Intuitive Machines reported Q1 revenue of $186.7 million, nearly tripling year-over-year but falling short of the $205 million consensus estimate, indicating strong growth potential despite current challenges.
- Profitability Improvement: The company achieved its first-ever positive adjusted EBITDA of $2.7 million, marking a significant improvement in profitability and boosting investor confidence in future performance.
- Market Outlook: Analysts remain optimistic about LUNR's prospects, with Clear Street raising its price target from $25 to $44, suggesting over 20% upside potential, reflecting positive expectations regarding the company's involvement in lunar projects.
- Retail Sentiment: Despite a 3.5% decline in premarket trading, retail sentiment on Stocktwits remains 'extremely bullish', indicating strong support for LUNR stock and suggesting continued investor interest moving forward.
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- Record Performance: Intuitive Machines achieved a record revenue of $186.7 million in Q1 2026, reflecting significant growth compared to the previous year, with gross margins exceeding $30 million, indicating strong market performance and improved profitability.
- Major Contract Award: The company was selected for the Andromeda IDIQ contract by the U.S. Space Force, with an anticipated total value of $6.24 billion, marking a significant milestone as the first major award post-Lanteris acquisition, enhancing market position and future revenue outlook.
- Strategic Acquisition Progress: Intuitive Machines signed a definitive agreement to acquire Goonhilly Earth Station and its U.S. subsidiary, aimed at enhancing its space infrastructure capabilities, further expanding its customer base and strengthening its competitive edge in space communications.
- Optimistic Outlook: CFO McGrath reiterated the revenue outlook for 2026 between $900 million and $1 billion, with a significant portion already supported by contract backlog, demonstrating confidence in future performance and strong market demand.
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- Market Reaction Positive: Following SpaceX's announcement of its IPO set for July 2026, space stocks have seen a strong rally, with Firefly Aerospace and Intuitive Machines experiencing price increases of 7.56% and 2.35% respectively, indicating market confidence in the space economy.
- Firefly Aerospace Performance: Firefly Aerospace went public in August 2025 and has achieved four successful launches of its Alpha rocket, resulting in a success rate of approximately 71%; however, its negative 181% gross margin poses challenges in competing with SpaceX, particularly regarding reusability.
- Intuitive Machines Advantage: Intuitive Machines focuses on space infrastructure and has launched 300 spacecraft, being selected by NASA in 2023 to support the Artemis missions, showcasing its extensive experience in satellite and lunar missions, with a net EBITDA loss margin of negative 53.43%, closer to profitability than Firefly.
- Investment Outlook Analysis: While neither company is currently profitable, Intuitive Machines demonstrates a stronger competitive position, and given its collaboration with NASA and lower loss margins, investors may consider adding it to their portfolios ahead of the SpaceX IPO.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Intuitive Machines reported Q1 revenue of $186.7 million, nearly tripling from $62.5 million last year, although it fell short of analysts' expectations of $205 million, indicating the company's potential in rapid expansion.
- Increased Contract Backlog: The company's backlog climbed to $1.1 billion, more than quadrupling from last year, reflecting strong market demand and new orders, which are expected to support future revenue growth.
- Strategic Acquisition Plans: Intuitive Machines announced the acquisition of the U.K.-based Goonhilly Earth Station and COMSAT to expand its space-to-Earth communications network, adding 44 antennas that will enhance deep-space communication and navigation capabilities for future lunar missions.
- Optimistic Market Sentiment: According to Stocktwits data, retail sentiment around LUNR stock remains in 'extremely bullish' territory, with message volume increasing over 50% in 24 hours, demonstrating strong investor confidence in the company's future prospects.
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- IPO Expectations: SpaceX is valued at potentially over $1 trillion and is expected to raise between $40 billion and $80 billion in its IPO, which would surpass Saudi Aramco's record $29 billion from 2020, marking a significant milestone for the space economy.
- Market Reaction: Following the IPO announcement, stocks of companies involved in the space economy surged, with Firefly Aerospace jumping 16%, and York Space Systems and Rocket Lab rising 5% and 10% respectively, indicating strong market interest in the sector.
- Sustained Rally: Since the March 25 IPO news, York Space Systems has seen a 40% increase in stock price, Rocket Lab has risen by 57%, and Intuitive Machines and Firefly Aerospace have gained 46% and 36% respectively, reflecting growing confidence in space stocks.
- Institutional Attention: Morgan Stanley's
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- Earnings Miss: Intuitive Machines reported a Q1 loss of $0.25 per share on revenues of $186.7 million, falling short of analyst expectations of a $0.06 loss and $200.1 million in revenue, leading to a sharp decline in stock price at the open.
- Revenue Surge: Despite the losses, the company nearly tripled its revenue year-over-year thanks to the acquisition of satellite manufacturer Lanteris, indicating strong growth potential in the space sector.
- EBITDA Record: The adjusted EBITDA for the quarter reached $2.7 million, setting a new record, which, despite significant GAAP losses, may attract investor interest due to its positive non-GAAP performance.
- Positive Outlook: Management guided for full-year sales between $900 million and $1 billion, exceeding analyst expectations, while securing $428.9 million in new contracts suggests a robust revenue growth trajectory ahead.
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