AMD Reports Strong Q4 Earnings but Shares Drop Nearly 12%
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy AMD?
Source: Fool
- Data Center Revenue Surge: AMD's data center segment reported a 39% year-over-year revenue increase to $5.4 billion in Q4, driven by rapid deployments of the Instinct MI350 Series GPUs and growing adoption of Epyc CPUs in servers, indicating strong demand in the AI market.
- New Opportunities with Helios: The launch of the Helios rack-scale platform, which integrates CPUs, GPUs, networking, and software solutions, marks a significant shift for AMD as it transitions from selling individual products to delivering complete systems, with MI450 revenue expected to begin in Q3 2026.
- Record Epyc CPU Sales: AMD achieved record sales of Epyc CPUs in Q4, fueled by the adoption of the fifth-generation Epyc
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Analyst Views on AMD
Wall Street analysts forecast AMD stock price to rise
33 Analyst Rating
25 Buy
8 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 205.940
Low
210.00
Averages
289.13
High
377.00
Current: 205.940
Low
210.00
Averages
289.13
High
377.00
About AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. is a global semiconductor company. The Company is focused on high-performance computing, graphics and visualization technologies. Its segments include Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. Data Center segment includes artificial intelligence (AI) accelerators, microprocessors (CPUs) for servers, graphics processing units (GPUs), accelerated processing units (APUs), data processing units (DPUs), Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs), smart network interface Cards (SmartNICs) and Adaptive system-on-Chip (SoC) products for data centers. Client and Gaming segment includes CPUs, APUs, chipsets for desktops and notebooks, discrete GPUs, and semi-custom SoC products and development services. Embedded segment includes embedded CPUs, GPUs, APUs, FPGAs, system on modules (SOMs), and Adaptive SoC products. It markets and sells its products under the AMD trademark. Its products include AMD EPYC, AMD Ryzen, AMD Ryzen PRO, Virtex UltraScale+, and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
AMD Reports Strong Q4 Earnings but Shares Drop Nearly 12%
- Data Center Revenue Surge: AMD's data center segment reported a 39% year-over-year revenue increase to $5.4 billion in Q4, driven by rapid deployments of the Instinct MI350 Series GPUs and growing adoption of Epyc CPUs in servers, indicating strong demand in the AI market.
- New Opportunities with Helios: The launch of the Helios rack-scale platform, which integrates CPUs, GPUs, networking, and software solutions, marks a significant shift for AMD as it transitions from selling individual products to delivering complete systems, with MI450 revenue expected to begin in Q3 2026.
- Record Epyc CPU Sales: AMD achieved record sales of Epyc CPUs in Q4, fueled by the adoption of the fifth-generation Epyc
See More
Nvidia's Earnings Outlook Analysis Ahead of Report
- Market Value Surge: Since the end of 2022, Nvidia has added nearly $4.2 trillion in market cap, becoming the most valuable company on Wall Street, reflecting its dominant position and market confidence in the AI sector.
- Strong Sales Expectations: Analysts anticipate Nvidia will achieve approximately $65.6 billion in sales for fiscal Q4 2026, a 67% year-over-year increase, indicating robust demand for its AI hardware despite high investor expectations.
- Sustained Competitive Advantage: Nvidia's GPUs face virtually no competition in AI-accelerated data centers, with CEO Jensen Huang aggressively investing in R&D to maintain compute superiority, planning to introduce advanced GPUs annually.
- Pricing Power Challenges: As GPU supply improves, Nvidia's pricing power may weaken; although its GAAP gross margin remains above 70%, future sales growth could be impacted by internal competition and market dynamics.
See More
AMD and TCS Expand Strategic Partnership to Launch AI Architecture in India
- Strategic Partnership Expansion: AMD and TCS have broadened their collaboration to introduce the 'Helios' rack-scale AI architecture, aiming to enhance competitiveness against Nvidia in India's rapidly growing tech market, which is expected to drive widespread AI adoption.
- Data Center Blueprint: The companies will offer an AI-ready data center blueprint supporting up to 200 MW of capacity, planning to collaborate with hyperscalers and AI firms to accelerate data center build-outs in India, addressing the increasing demand for computing resources.
- Infrastructure Co-Development: TCS, through its subsidiary HyperVault, will co-develop an AI infrastructure design based on the 'Helios' platform to support India's national AI initiatives, aiming to provide scalable AI deployment solutions for enterprises.
- Market Share Growth: According to Arista Networks, AMD's share in the AI chip market is rising, with approximately 20% to 25% of recent chip deployments opting for AMD, while Nvidia is projected to dominate with 99% of the market by 2025, indicating AMD's competitive potential.
See More
Broadcom's Rise in the AI Sector
- Surging AI Revenue: Broadcom reported a 74% year-over-year increase in AI semiconductor revenue for the latest quarter, with projections indicating that first-quarter revenue will double to $8.2 billion, driven by strong demand for custom accelerators and AI Ethernet switches, significantly boosting overall performance.
- Record Backlog: The company's backlog for AI switches has surpassed $10 billion, reflecting robust market demand amid ongoing AI data center buildouts, which further solidifies Broadcom's position in the industry.
- Differentiated Product Offering: Broadcom has launched the industry's first Wi-Fi 8 access point and switch system, designed to enhance security and speed for enterprises utilizing AI, thereby increasing its competitive edge and attracting more customers.
- Unique Market Positioning: Broadcom's XPUs are custom chips tailored for specific purposes, differentiating them from Nvidia and AMD's general-purpose GPUs, allowing the company to carve out a niche in the competitive AI market and enhancing its strategic positioning for future growth.
See More
Palantir's Stock Decline: Nvidia and AMD Emerge as New Favorites
- Palantir's High Valuation: Despite a significant stock pullback this year, Palantir's valuation remains astronomical at 128 times forward earnings, which may lead to declining investor confidence in its future growth prospects.
- Optimistic Outlook for Nvidia: Nvidia's forward earnings multiple stands at 24.5, and with the upcoming launch of the Rubin platform, which will support inference at up to 10 times lower costs, the company is expected to continue its growth trajectory and solidify its leadership in the AI chip market.
- AMD's Competitive Edge: Although AMD trades at nearly 32 times forward earnings, its Instinct MI400 chips match Nvidia's Vera Rubin in compute performance and memory bandwidth while offering 1.5 times the memory capacity and scale-out bandwidth, showcasing its potential as a credible challenger to Nvidia.
- Sustained Market Demand: Both Nvidia and AMD are poised to benefit from ongoing GPU demand, while Palantir's excellent product may not justify its high stock price, potentially hindering its ability to deliver market-beating returns.
See More
TSMC on Track to Join $3 Trillion Club
- Market Position Solidified: TSMC's current market capitalization stands at $1.9 trillion, and as the world's largest semiconductor foundry with a 71% share of the global chip market, investors could see a 58% return if it secures membership in the $3 trillion club.
- Strong Financial Performance: In Q4, TSMC reported revenue of $33.7 billion, a 26% year-over-year increase, with earnings per share rising 35% to $3.14, while gross and operating margins improved to 59.9% and 50.8%, respectively, indicating enhanced profitability during expansion.
- Future Growth Expectations: Management forecasts first-quarter revenue of $35.2 billion, representing a 38% year-over-year growth, suggesting that the company will continue to thrive amid rising demand for high-end semiconductors.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: Annual sales of high-end semiconductors are projected to approach $1 trillion by 2026, positioning TSMC to benefit from this trend, with analysts predicting revenues of $193.9 billion and $232.8 billion in 2027 and 2028, respectively.
See More
AMD Reports Strong Q4 Earnings but Shares Drop Nearly 12%
- Data Center Revenue Surge: AMD's data center segment reported a 39% year-over-year revenue increase to $5.4 billion in Q4, driven by rapid deployments of the Instinct MI350 Series GPUs and growing adoption of Epyc CPUs in servers, indicating strong demand in the AI market.
- New Opportunities with Helios: The launch of the Helios rack-scale platform, which integrates CPUs, GPUs, networking, and software solutions, marks a significant shift for AMD as it transitions from selling individual products to delivering complete systems, with MI450 revenue expected to begin in Q3 2026.
- Record Epyc CPU Sales: AMD achieved record sales of Epyc CPUs in Q4, fueled by the adoption of the fifth-generation Epyc
See More
Nvidia's Earnings Outlook Analysis Ahead of Report
- Market Value Surge: Since the end of 2022, Nvidia has added nearly $4.2 trillion in market cap, becoming the most valuable company on Wall Street, reflecting its dominant position and market confidence in the AI sector.
- Strong Sales Expectations: Analysts anticipate Nvidia will achieve approximately $65.6 billion in sales for fiscal Q4 2026, a 67% year-over-year increase, indicating robust demand for its AI hardware despite high investor expectations.
- Sustained Competitive Advantage: Nvidia's GPUs face virtually no competition in AI-accelerated data centers, with CEO Jensen Huang aggressively investing in R&D to maintain compute superiority, planning to introduce advanced GPUs annually.
- Pricing Power Challenges: As GPU supply improves, Nvidia's pricing power may weaken; although its GAAP gross margin remains above 70%, future sales growth could be impacted by internal competition and market dynamics.
See More
AMD and TCS Expand Strategic Partnership to Launch AI Architecture in India
- Strategic Partnership Expansion: AMD and TCS have broadened their collaboration to introduce the 'Helios' rack-scale AI architecture, aiming to enhance competitiveness against Nvidia in India's rapidly growing tech market, which is expected to drive widespread AI adoption.
- Data Center Blueprint: The companies will offer an AI-ready data center blueprint supporting up to 200 MW of capacity, planning to collaborate with hyperscalers and AI firms to accelerate data center build-outs in India, addressing the increasing demand for computing resources.
- Infrastructure Co-Development: TCS, through its subsidiary HyperVault, will co-develop an AI infrastructure design based on the 'Helios' platform to support India's national AI initiatives, aiming to provide scalable AI deployment solutions for enterprises.
- Market Share Growth: According to Arista Networks, AMD's share in the AI chip market is rising, with approximately 20% to 25% of recent chip deployments opting for AMD, while Nvidia is projected to dominate with 99% of the market by 2025, indicating AMD's competitive potential.
See More
Broadcom's Rise in the AI Sector
- Surging AI Revenue: Broadcom reported a 74% year-over-year increase in AI semiconductor revenue for the latest quarter, with projections indicating that first-quarter revenue will double to $8.2 billion, driven by strong demand for custom accelerators and AI Ethernet switches, significantly boosting overall performance.
- Record Backlog: The company's backlog for AI switches has surpassed $10 billion, reflecting robust market demand amid ongoing AI data center buildouts, which further solidifies Broadcom's position in the industry.
- Differentiated Product Offering: Broadcom has launched the industry's first Wi-Fi 8 access point and switch system, designed to enhance security and speed for enterprises utilizing AI, thereby increasing its competitive edge and attracting more customers.
- Unique Market Positioning: Broadcom's XPUs are custom chips tailored for specific purposes, differentiating them from Nvidia and AMD's general-purpose GPUs, allowing the company to carve out a niche in the competitive AI market and enhancing its strategic positioning for future growth.
See More
Palantir's Stock Decline: Nvidia and AMD Emerge as New Favorites
- Palantir's High Valuation: Despite a significant stock pullback this year, Palantir's valuation remains astronomical at 128 times forward earnings, which may lead to declining investor confidence in its future growth prospects.
- Optimistic Outlook for Nvidia: Nvidia's forward earnings multiple stands at 24.5, and with the upcoming launch of the Rubin platform, which will support inference at up to 10 times lower costs, the company is expected to continue its growth trajectory and solidify its leadership in the AI chip market.
- AMD's Competitive Edge: Although AMD trades at nearly 32 times forward earnings, its Instinct MI400 chips match Nvidia's Vera Rubin in compute performance and memory bandwidth while offering 1.5 times the memory capacity and scale-out bandwidth, showcasing its potential as a credible challenger to Nvidia.
- Sustained Market Demand: Both Nvidia and AMD are poised to benefit from ongoing GPU demand, while Palantir's excellent product may not justify its high stock price, potentially hindering its ability to deliver market-beating returns.
See More
TSMC on Track to Join $3 Trillion Club
- Market Position Solidified: TSMC's current market capitalization stands at $1.9 trillion, and as the world's largest semiconductor foundry with a 71% share of the global chip market, investors could see a 58% return if it secures membership in the $3 trillion club.
- Strong Financial Performance: In Q4, TSMC reported revenue of $33.7 billion, a 26% year-over-year increase, with earnings per share rising 35% to $3.14, while gross and operating margins improved to 59.9% and 50.8%, respectively, indicating enhanced profitability during expansion.
- Future Growth Expectations: Management forecasts first-quarter revenue of $35.2 billion, representing a 38% year-over-year growth, suggesting that the company will continue to thrive amid rising demand for high-end semiconductors.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: Annual sales of high-end semiconductors are projected to approach $1 trillion by 2026, positioning TSMC to benefit from this trend, with analysts predicting revenues of $193.9 billion and $232.8 billion in 2027 and 2028, respectively.
See More
