Amazon's Core Fundamentals Strengthen Amid Stock Reset
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy AMZN?
Source: CNBC
- Technical Pullback: Amazon's stock has stabilized near the long-term support zone of $195 to $200 after a sharp technical reset, indicating that the recent market sentiment fatigue does not reflect a deterioration in its core fundamentals, presenting a buying opportunity for long-term investors.
- Oversold Conditions: The Relative Strength Index has fallen into oversold territory, historically associated with intermediate-term rebounds, and combined with significant deviations from key moving averages, this increases the likelihood of a technical rebound toward the $220 to $230 range.
- Profitability Metrics: Amazon's forward P/E ratio stands at approximately 25x, with expected EPS growth of 25% and net margins of 10.8%, all surpassing industry averages, highlighting its robust profitability in the AI infrastructure sector.
- Strategic Investment Opportunity: By selling the March 20, 2026 $200 put option, investors can potentially acquire Amazon shares at a net price of $192.97 if the stock closes below $200, offering a 3.64% discount and a maximum reward of $703 per contract, showcasing a risk-managed investment strategy.
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Analyst Views on AMZN
Wall Street analysts forecast AMZN stock price to rise
44 Analyst Rating
41 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 201.150
Low
175.00
Averages
280.01
High
325.00
Current: 201.150
Low
175.00
Averages
280.01
High
325.00
About AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc. provides a range of products and services to customers. The products offered through its stores include merchandise and content it has purchased for resale and products offered by third-party sellers. The Company’s segments include North America, International and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It serves consumers through its online and physical stores and focuses on selection, price, and convenience. Customers access its offerings through its websites, mobile apps, Alexa, devices, streaming, and physically visiting its stores. It also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, Fire tablet, Fire TV, Echo, Ring, Blink, and eero, and develops and produces media content. It serves developers and enterprises of all sizes, including start-ups, government agencies, and academic institutions, through AWS, which offers a set of on-demand technology services, including compute, storage, database, analytics, and machine learning, and other services.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Cloud Computing Growth: Amazon Web Services (AWS) reported a 24% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4, reaching an annualized revenue run rate of over $140 billion, indicating strong market demand, particularly for AI workloads, further solidifying its leadership in the cloud computing sector.
- AI Chip Business: Amazon's Trainium2 AI chip has become its fastest-growing chip product, achieving an annualized revenue exceeding $10 billion, showcasing the company's strong momentum in the AI chip market and enhancing its competitiveness in the AI space.
- Profitability Risks and Opportunities: While Amazon's heavy reliance on AWS poses risks, if capital expenditures drive growth in this segment, it could enhance overall profitability, potentially leading to an inflection point in earnings growth in the long term.
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- Technical Pullback: Amazon's stock has stabilized near the long-term support zone of $195 to $200 after a sharp technical reset, indicating that the recent market sentiment fatigue does not reflect a deterioration in its core fundamentals, presenting a buying opportunity for long-term investors.
- Oversold Conditions: The Relative Strength Index has fallen into oversold territory, historically associated with intermediate-term rebounds, and combined with significant deviations from key moving averages, this increases the likelihood of a technical rebound toward the $220 to $230 range.
- Profitability Metrics: Amazon's forward P/E ratio stands at approximately 25x, with expected EPS growth of 25% and net margins of 10.8%, all surpassing industry averages, highlighting its robust profitability in the AI infrastructure sector.
- Strategic Investment Opportunity: By selling the March 20, 2026 $200 put option, investors can potentially acquire Amazon shares at a net price of $192.97 if the stock closes below $200, offering a 3.64% discount and a maximum reward of $703 per contract, showcasing a risk-managed investment strategy.
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- Capital Expenditure Plan: Amazon plans to invest $200 billion in capital expenditures in 2026, and despite management's expectation of strong long-term returns, investor caution regarding this massive spending has led to a 13% decline in stock price year-to-date.
- Cloud Computing Growth: Amazon Web Services (AWS) reported a 24% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4, reaching an annualized revenue run rate of over $140 billion, indicating strong market demand, particularly for AI workloads, further solidifying its leadership in the cloud computing sector.
- AI Chip Business: Amazon's Trainium2 AI chip has become its fastest-growing chip product, achieving an annualized revenue exceeding $10 billion, showcasing the company's strong momentum in the AI chip market and enhancing its competitiveness in the AI space.
- Profitability Risks and Opportunities: While Amazon's heavy reliance on AWS poses risks, if capital expenditures drive growth in this segment, it could enhance overall profitability, potentially leading to an inflection point in earnings growth in the long term.
See More
Amazon's Core Fundamentals Strengthen Amid Stock Reset
- Technical Pullback: Amazon's stock has stabilized near the long-term support zone of $195 to $200 after a sharp technical reset, indicating that the recent market sentiment fatigue does not reflect a deterioration in its core fundamentals, presenting a buying opportunity for long-term investors.
- Oversold Conditions: The Relative Strength Index has fallen into oversold territory, historically associated with intermediate-term rebounds, and combined with significant deviations from key moving averages, this increases the likelihood of a technical rebound toward the $220 to $230 range.
- Profitability Metrics: Amazon's forward P/E ratio stands at approximately 25x, with expected EPS growth of 25% and net margins of 10.8%, all surpassing industry averages, highlighting its robust profitability in the AI infrastructure sector.
- Strategic Investment Opportunity: By selling the March 20, 2026 $200 put option, investors can potentially acquire Amazon shares at a net price of $192.97 if the stock closes below $200, offering a 3.64% discount and a maximum reward of $703 per contract, showcasing a risk-managed investment strategy.
See More
Walmart Q4 Earnings Estimates and Insights
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Analysts anticipate Walmart's Q4 revenue to reach $189.18 billion, up from $180.55 billion last year, indicating the company's strong performance in maintaining market share and reinforcing its leadership in the retail sector.
- Earnings Per Share Increase: Expected Q4 earnings per share of 73 cents, up from 66 cents last year, reflect Walmart's consistent ability to exceed analyst expectations in seven of the last eight quarters, bolstering investor confidence.
- Market Reaction Analysis: Market experts suggest that Walmart's earnings report could significantly impact the market, especially with CEO John Furner's debut, as expectations remain high for continued market share gains and margin expansion in core business areas.
- Stock Price Volatility Expectations: Despite a 14.1% increase in Walmart's stock price in 2026, analysts caution that failure to exceed market expectations in the upcoming report could lead to a price pullback, prompting investors to closely monitor the report's potential effects on the broader market.
See More
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- Investor Activities: The video reviews the stock buying and selling activities of 10 super investors, including Warren Buffett, Bill Ackman, Chuck Akre, Howard Marks, and Pat Dorsey, showcasing their investment strategies and market movements in Q4 2026.
- Market Insights: Stock prices referenced in the video are based on trading data from February 17, 2026, reflecting the market dynamics and investor decision-making at that time, helping viewers understand market trends.
- Investment Guidance: By analyzing these super investors' trades, viewers can gain insights into potential investment opportunities, particularly on how to select suitable stocks in the current economic environment.
- Subscription and Offers: The video encourages viewers to subscribe to the channel and click the special offer link below for more investment-related information and resources, enhancing their investment knowledge and decision-making capabilities.
See More
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- Investment Opportunity Analysis: The video discusses ten companies with significant upside potential, spanning various industries, aimed at providing long-term investors with diversified options to achieve capital appreciation in the future.
- Industry Diversity: The selected companies come from different sectors, reflecting a broad range of market opportunities, allowing investors to choose based on their risk preferences and investment strategies to optimize their portfolios.
- Market Timing: The stock prices mentioned are based on trading data from February 13, 2026, providing a temporal reference for investors to assess the current market environment and potential investment timing.
- Subscription and Offers: Viewers are encouraged to subscribe to the channel and click on the special offer link, indicating the creator's intention to enhance viewers' investment decision-making capabilities by providing more content and resources.
See More
Review of Super Investors' Q4 Activities
- Investor Activities: The video reviews the stock buying and selling activities of 10 super investors, including Warren Buffett and Bill Ackman, in Q4 2026, providing deep insights into market trends.
- Recommended Stocks: The analyst team identified 10 best stocks to buy now, notably excluding Meta Platforms, indicating a cautious outlook on its future performance.
- Historical Returns: It highlights the performance of Netflix and Nvidia post-recommendation, with returns of 415,256% and 1,133,904% respectively, showcasing the potential gains from selected stocks.
- Investment Community: Viewers are encouraged to join an investing community built by individual investors, leveraging Stock Advisor's resources to achieve market-beating returns, emphasizing the platform's average return of 889%.
See More
