Alphabet's SpaceX Stake Surges to Nearly $100 Billion
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 05 2026
0mins
Should l Buy GOOG?
Source: Benzinga
- Remarkable ROI: Alphabet's $900 million investment in SpaceX in 2015 has ballooned to nearly $100 billion, showcasing the immense potential of this stake, which is now considered one of the most successful trades in the company's history.
- Merger Proposal Impact: Elon Musk's proposal to merge SpaceX with xAI could lead to a combined valuation of $1.25 trillion, further enhancing Alphabet's investment value, potentially pushing its stake worth to around $90 billion.
- Unrealized Gains Realized: In early 2025, Alphabet reported an $8 billion unrealized gain due to SpaceX's soaring valuation, marking a significant financial return from its investment in the space and AI sectors.
- Underappreciated Market Potential: While investors typically focus on Alphabet's search and advertising businesses, its stake in SpaceX could serve as a powerful catalyst for stock price appreciation, especially with a potential IPO on the horizon.
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Analyst Views on GOOG
Wall Street analysts forecast GOOG stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
14 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 294.900
Low
255.00
Averages
336.08
High
400.00
Current: 294.900
Low
255.00
Averages
336.08
High
400.00
About GOOG
Alphabet Inc. is a holding company. The Company's segments include Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets. The Google Services segment includes products and services such as ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Google Maps, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. The Google Cloud segment includes infrastructure and platform services, collaboration tools, and other services for enterprise customers. Its Other Bets segment is engaged in the sale of healthcare-related services and Internet services. Its Google Cloud provides enterprise-ready cloud services, including Google Cloud Platform and Google Workspace. Google Cloud Platform provides access to solutions such as artificial intelligence (AI) offerings, including its AI infrastructure, Vertex AI platform, and Gemini for Google Cloud; cybersecurity, and data and analytics. Google Workspace includes cloud-based communication and collaboration tools for enterprises, such as Calendar, Gmail, Docs, Drive, and Meet.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Flex Tier Benefits: The Flex tier allows developers to run tasks at about a 50% discount during off-peak hours, with processing times ranging from 1 to 15 minutes, a strategy that not only reduces costs but also attracts users with less stringent speed requirements.
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- Flex Tier Benefits: The Flex tier allows developers to run tasks at about a 50% discount during off-peak hours, with processing times ranging from 1 to 15 minutes, a strategy that not only reduces costs but also attracts users with less stringent speed requirements.
- Priority Tier Costs: The Priority tier is designed for applications requiring instant responses, such as chatbots and fraud detection systems, costing 75% to 100% more than the standard tier, indicating Google's willingness to provide higher service quality for high-demand applications.
- Batch Option: The Batch option, while taking up to 24 hours for processing, also offers significant cost savings, making it suitable for scenarios involving large data processing, further enriching Gemini's product offerings to meet diverse customer needs.
See More
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- Profitability Outlook: Despite the negative market sentiment, Micron's forward-looking price-to-earnings ratio of around 6 suggests that potential contractions in gross and operating margins are already factored in, making it an attractive entry point for long-term investors at current price levels.
- Analyst Ratings Stability: While retail investors have fueled bearish sentiment, analysts remain optimistic, with a consensus price target of $547.12, indicating a 70% upside from the current price, showcasing confidence in the company's future performance.
- Impact of Technological Advancements: Google's TurboQuant technology can perform the same AI computing tasks with significantly less memory hardware, which may temporarily affect memory chip demand; however, this advancement could drive demand for higher-performance computing in the long run, presenting new market opportunities for Micron.
See More
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- Financial Recovery: Roku's total revenue for Q4 2025 increased by 16% year-over-year to $1.39 billion, with its high-margin advertising platform revenue rising 18% to $1.22 billion, indicating significant progress in revenue growth.
- Profitability Improvement: The company reported a net income of $80.5 million for Q4, a substantial improvement from the net losses of the previous year, while generating $484 million in free cash flow for the full year, up over 100%, providing funds for future investments and share repurchases.
- Intense Competitive Landscape: Despite positive financial metrics, Roku faces fierce competition from giants like Amazon, Alphabet, and Apple across multiple fronts, which possess deeper pockets and stronger market integration capabilities, posing structural challenges to Roku's long-term growth.
- Significant Valuation Risks: With a current price-to-earnings ratio of about 165, the market's expectations for Roku's future high growth appear overly optimistic, and if platform growth slows or user acquisition costs rise, the stock price could face significant pressure, necessitating careful risk-reward assessment by investors.
See More
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- Market Position Analysis: Alphabet, with a market cap of $3.6 trillion, ranks third, while Microsoft, at $2.8 trillion, is fourth; although Microsoft still trails Alphabet in market capitalization, its market performance is gradually improving.
- AI Competitive Landscape: Microsoft has opted to be an AI facilitator rather than a direct competitor, holding about 27% of OpenAI, which could yield substantial returns if OpenAI goes public, further solidifying its position in the cloud computing market.
- Strong Financial Performance: Microsoft's Azure reported a 39% year-over-year revenue increase in the last quarter, showcasing robust growth in the cloud computing sector, with overall performance being one of the best in the past decade, indicating a solid business foundation.
- Investment Opportunity Emerges: Microsoft's stock is approaching decade-low valuation levels, and despite recent market sell-offs, analysts believe this presents a rare investment opportunity, with expectations for a strong rebound in 2026, potentially reaching new all-time highs.
See More
Roku Reports 18% Revenue Growth in Q4, Achieves Profitability
- Significant Revenue Growth: Roku's total revenue for Q4 increased by 16% year-over-year to $1.39 billion, with platform revenue rising 18% to $1.22 billion, demonstrating strong performance in digital advertising and streaming distribution, thereby enhancing its position in a competitive market.
- Profitability Recovery: The company reported a net income of $80.5 million for Q4, marking a significant improvement from the net losses posted a year earlier, indicating a shift towards profitability that may attract more investor interest in its future growth.
- Strong Cash Flow: Roku generated $484 million in free cash flow for the full year, up over 100% year-over-year, providing a solid foundation for future investments and shareholder returns while also reflecting improved operational efficiency.
- Increased Competitive Pressure: Despite financial progress, Roku's device gross margin was negative 23.3%, highlighting the challenges it faces in competing against giants like Amazon, Alphabet, and Apple, prompting investors to carefully assess whether its high price-to-earnings ratio of 165 is justified.
See More
Comparison of Alphabet and Microsoft's Market Position
- Market Position Shift: In 2025, Alphabet overcame monopoly allegations against its search engine, achieving a new stock price high, which reflects a strong recovery in its AI capabilities and a resurgence of market confidence in its future.
- Microsoft's Growth Potential: In its latest quarter, Azure reported a 39% year-over-year revenue increase, showcasing the robust performance of its cloud platform, even as the market continues to sell off its stock, indicating optimistic investor expectations for its future.
- Valuation Comparison: With Microsoft's stock down approximately 35% from its all-time high, its current valuation approaches decade-low levels, leading analysts to view this as a rare investment opportunity, potentially mirroring Alphabet's rebound in 2026.
- Investment Recommendation: Although the Motley Fool analyst team did not include Microsoft in their current top investment stocks, its strategic positioning in the AI sector and market performance make it a focal point for investors, suggesting potential high returns in the future.
See More
