Airlines Confront High Fuel Costs and Profit Declines
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 10 hours ago
0mins
Source: CNBC
- Profit Decline: The International Air Transport Association (IATA) forecasts a drop in global airline net profits from $45 billion in 2025 to $23 billion in 2026, with net margins falling from 4.2% to 2%, primarily due to a $100 billion surge in fuel costs and reduced travel from Middle Eastern airspace closures.
- Strong Demand: Despite a 20% rise in fares, airlines like Etihad Airways report ticket demand is on par with pre-conflict levels, indicating consumer resilience in a high-cost environment, although future winter demand remains uncertain.
- Growing Aircraft Orders: Orders for popular jets from Airbus and Boeing remain robust despite high fuel prices, with Etihad planning to add more than 10 aircraft to its existing order book, reflecting confidence in future growth.
- Engine Reliability Issues: Airlines express frustration over new-generation engines that promise fuel efficiency but require more unscheduled maintenance than expected, leading to increased costs in a high fuel price environment.
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Analyst Views on GE
Wall Street analysts forecast GE stock price to rise
9 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
0 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 322.040
Low
275.00
Averages
345.67
High
386.00
Current: 322.040
Low
275.00
Averages
345.67
High
386.00
About GE
General Electric Company, doing business as GE Aerospace, is a global aerospace propulsion, services, and systems company. It has an installed base of over 50,000 commercial and 30,000 military aircraft engines. Its segment includes Commercial Engines & Services and Defense & Propulsion Technologies. Commercial Engines & Services segment designs, develops, manufactures and services jet engines for commercial airframes, as well as business aviation and aeroderivative applications. Its services include maintenance, repair and overhaul of engines and the sale of spare parts and offers services under a variety of arrangements such as long-term service agreements, spare parts agreements or time and material contracts. Defense & Propulsion Technologies segment provides defense engines and critical aircraft systems and consists of Defense & Systems and Propulsion & Additive Technologies businesses. Its portfolio of brands includes Avio Aero, Unison, Dowty Propellers and Colibrium Additive.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Profit Decline: The International Air Transport Association (IATA) forecasts a drop in global airline net profits from $45 billion in 2025 to $23 billion in 2026, with net margins falling from 4.2% to 2%, primarily due to a $100 billion surge in fuel costs and reduced travel from Middle Eastern airspace closures.
- Strong Demand: Despite a 20% rise in fares, airlines like Etihad Airways report ticket demand is on par with pre-conflict levels, indicating consumer resilience in a high-cost environment, although future winter demand remains uncertain.
- Growing Aircraft Orders: Orders for popular jets from Airbus and Boeing remain robust despite high fuel prices, with Etihad planning to add more than 10 aircraft to its existing order book, reflecting confidence in future growth.
- Engine Reliability Issues: Airlines express frustration over new-generation engines that promise fuel efficiency but require more unscheduled maintenance than expected, leading to increased costs in a high fuel price environment.
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- Engine Reliability Issues: Airline CEOs at the industry gathering in Rio de Janeiro reported that new fuel-efficient engines have not met expected reliability standards, forcing carriers to conduct maintenance sooner than anticipated, which undermines the cost savings initially projected.
- Rising Maintenance Costs: The higher-than-expected failure rates of new engines have led airlines to face more frequent unscheduled maintenance, eroding the anticipated 15% fuel savings and negatively impacting overall profitability.
- Market Supply-Demand Imbalance: Despite improvements in new engine production capabilities, ongoing delays in aircraft production have driven up the market value of older engines, with prices for the CFM56 engine increasing by 17% since 2019, exacerbating financial pressures on airlines.
- Manufacturers' Insufficient Investment: While manufacturers like GE Aerospace claim to be increasing output and improving product quality, industry leaders express disappointment over the profitability of manufacturers, urging them to stop high pricing strategies and focus on producing more reliable engines to meet airline demands.
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- Engine Reliability Issues: Airline CEOs report that the new engines' reliability has not met expectations, forcing airlines into unscheduled maintenance earlier than planned, which increases operational costs and undermines the anticipated fuel savings.
- Rising Maintenance Costs: The high frequency of failures in new engines has led to significantly increased maintenance costs for airlines, which is expected to impact overall profitability, especially against the backdrop of rising fuel prices that are suppressing profit prospects.
- Strong Market Demand: Despite rising fares, travel demand remains robust, and the revenue lost from grounded aircraft adds financial pressure on the industry, particularly with an anticipated $100 billion increase in fuel expenses this year.
- Manufacturers' Insufficient Investment: Although engine manufacturers have heavily invested in expanding maintenance capabilities, production delays have kept older engine values high, leading to a shortage of engines that affects future production plans and overall industry stability.
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- Airline Challenges: During the International Air Transport Association's annual meeting, airline CEOs warned that grounded aircraft and higher repair costs could persist for years, with LATAM Brasil's CEO noting 12 single-aisle planes grounded due to engine issues, highlighting significant constraints facing the industry.
- Tight Engine Supply: Despite RTX's Pratt & Whitney and GE Aerospace ramping up investments to enhance repair and production capacity, hundreds of A320neo planes are grounded globally due to long wait times for engine inspections and repairs, indicating that supply pressures are expected to continue for at least another couple of years.
- Rising Maintenance Costs: WestJet's CEO pointed out that modern engines are generating significantly higher maintenance costs than anticipated, with many unscheduled maintenance events increasing ownership costs, thereby impacting airline profitability.
- Profit Discrepancy: IATA's CEO highlighted a disconnect between the financial performance of engine makers, which have seen double-digit margin increases, and airlines facing approximately $11 billion in additional costs due to supply chain disruptions, illustrating the disparity in interests between airlines and engine manufacturers.
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- Strategic Partnership: Wolfspeed signed a memorandum of understanding with GE Aerospace to leverage its 10-kilovolt metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistor technology, aiming to develop high-voltage silicon carbide power modules that will significantly enhance efficiency in industrial and defense markets.
- Military Power Supply: GE Aerospace is set to supply high-voltage power units for U.S. military ground vehicles starting in 2027, marking a deepening of the collaboration that could provide Wolfspeed with stable orders and revenue streams in the defense sector.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the agreement, Wolfspeed's shares rose by 5%, and the stock has gained 250% over the past three months, reflecting strong investor confidence in its growth potential, particularly as demand in the electric vehicle and industrial markets rebounds.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: The CEO of Wolfspeed stated that high-voltage silicon carbide technology is production-ready just as the market faces a power delivery crunch, which is expected to bolster the company's leadership position in power delivery and further solidify its market share.
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- Stock Surge: Wolfspeed (WOLF) shares surged over 13% in premarket trading on Monday, reflecting strong market confidence in the company's future growth potential following its MOU with GE Aerospace.
- Strategic Partnership: Under the MOU, Wolfspeed and GE Aerospace plan to develop standards for high-voltage silicon carbide power modules to support solid-state transformers, industrial electrification, and next-generation aerospace and defense platforms, thereby enhancing supply chain resilience to meet rising power demands.
- Market Demand Drivers: CEO Robert Feurle highlighted that as AI, electrification, and defense platforms increase power demands, the collaboration positions both companies to deliver essential high-voltage silicon carbide components, showcasing their strategic relevance in a rapidly evolving technological landscape.
- Alignment with Government Priorities: The scope of the MOU aligns with U.S. government priorities to accelerate critical technologies, aiming for faster time-to-power in strategic markets like artificial intelligence, further enhancing Wolfspeed's influence in the high-tech sector.
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