AI Revolution Could Drive S&P 500 Down to 3,500 by 2028
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 23 2026
0mins
Should l Buy APO?
Source: Benzinga
- Global Intelligence Crisis Warning: Citrini Research's chilling 'pre-mortem' scenario suggests that if the AI revolution succeeds too well, the S&P 500 could plunge to 3,500 by 2028, indicating profound economic concerns.
- Negative Feedback Loop Formation: As AI capabilities improve, companies rationally cut headcount to boost margins, leading to reduced consumer spending and creating 'Ghost GDP', which could trigger a deflationary depression reminiscent of the 2008 financial crisis.
- Private Credit Market Risks: The financial contagion is expected to ignite a $2.5 trillion private credit market crisis, with liquidity issues spilling into the housing market, particularly affecting high-earning professionals facing structural unemployment, potentially collapsing home prices in tech hubs like San Francisco and Austin.
- Complex Cryptocurrency Outlook: A liquidity shock could crush Bitcoin and altcoins in the short term, but in the long run, as trust in institutions erodes, Bitcoin may emerge as the ultimate hedge against monetary debasement, especially as AI agents adopt decentralized crypto as the new economy's currency.
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Analyst Views on APO
Wall Street analysts forecast APO stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 110.250
Low
136.00
Averages
164.45
High
182.00
Current: 110.250
Low
136.00
Averages
164.45
High
182.00
About APO
Apollo Global Management, Inc. is a global alternative asset manager and a retirement services provider. It operates through three segments: Asset Management, Retirement Services and Principal Investing. The Asset Management segment focuses on three investing strategies: yield, hybrid, and equity. These strategies reflect the range of investment capabilities across its platform based on relative risk and return. The Retirement Services business is conducted by Athene Holding Ltd (Athene), a financial services company that specializes in issuing, reinsuring, and acquiring retirement savings products designed for the increasing number of individuals and institutions seeking to fund retirement needs. Athene product lines include annuities and funding agreements. The Principal Investing segment includes realized performance fee income, realized investment income from its balance sheet investments, and certain allocable expenses related to corporate functions supporting the entire company.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Apollo Global Management Estimates Q1 Investment Income
- Investment Income Estimate: Apollo Global Management estimates its Q1 pre-tax alternative net investment income at approximately $205 million, translating to an annualized return of about 6%, indicating stable performance in alternative investments but falling short of market expectations.
- Athene Investment Returns: Apollo estimates that Athene's annualized return on investments in a pooled investment vehicle is around 7%, suggesting strong performance for the majority of its alternative investment portfolio, although this is a decline from the 10% return reported in Q4 2025.
- Other Investment Returns: The annualized return on Athene's other alternative investments, including retirement services platforms, stands at 3%, highlighting the need for a diversified investment strategy to mitigate challenges posed by market volatility.
- Market Reaction: Apollo's shares fell by 5.22% to $104.50 in pre-market trading on Thursday, reflecting investor concerns over the Q1 income estimate, which could impact future capital inflows and market confidence.
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Apollo Global Management Faces Securities Class Action Lawsuit
- Deadline for Claims: ClaimsFiler reminds investors that those who purchased or acquired Apollo Global Management (NYSE:APO) securities between May 10, 2021, and February 21, 2026, must file lead plaintiff applications by May 1, 2026, or risk losing their opportunity to claim damages.
- Legal Allegations: Apollo and certain executives are accused of failing to disclose material information during the class period, violating federal securities laws, including frequent communications with Jeffrey Epstein, which harmed the company's reputation and investor confidence.
- Impact of False Statements: The lawsuit alleges that Apollo's claims of never doing business with Epstein were false, potentially leading investors to misjudge the company's future prospects and operations due to the misleading nature of the statements made.
- Case Details: The case is titled Feldman v. Apollo Global Management, Inc., Case No. 26-cv-01692, and investors can visit ClaimsFiler for more information and legal consultation options to protect their rights.
See More
Apollo Global Management Faces Securities Class Action Lawsuit
- Lawsuit Background: Hagens Berman has filed a securities class action against Apollo Global Management (NYSE:APO), representing investors who purchased securities between May 10, 2021, and February 21, 2026, alleging that executives made materially false statements regarding ties to Jeffrey Epstein.
- Investor Losses: The lawsuit claims Apollo's leadership misled the public by asserting that the firm “never did any business” with Epstein, a narrative that began to unravel in early 2026, leading to significant losses for investors and urging affected parties to apply as Lead Plaintiff by May 1, 2026.
- Investigation Developments: Reed Kathrein, a partner at Hagens Berman, noted that recent investigative reports suggest a deeper professional entanglement involving current CEO Marc Rowan, exacerbating the trust crisis surrounding Apollo.
- Whistleblower Program: The lawsuit encourages individuals with non-public information to utilize the SEC Whistleblower program, where providing original information may yield rewards of up to 30% of any successful recovery, highlighting the importance of transparency and corporate accountability.
See More
Apollo Global Management Faces Class Action Lawsuit
- Lawsuit Background: Bronstein, Gewirtz & Grossman LLC has filed a class action lawsuit against Apollo Global Management and certain executives, alleging violations of federal securities laws from May 10, 2021, to February 21, 2026, seeking damages for investors.
- False Statement Allegations: The complaint claims that Apollo's executives frequently communicated with Jeffrey Epstein in the 2010s, contradicting the company's assertions of no business ties with Epstein, thereby damaging its reputation significantly.
- Investor Losses: As the true details emerged, investors reportedly suffered losses, and the lawsuit urges affected investors to apply by May 1, 2026, to be appointed as lead plaintiffs to participate in any recovery.
- Law Firm's Strength: Bronstein, Gewirtz & Grossman operates on a contingency fee basis, representing investors in securities fraud class actions and has successfully recovered hundreds of millions for investors nationwide, showcasing its expertise and track record in this field.
See More
Class Action Lawsuit Reminder Against Apollo Global Management, Inc.
- Lawsuit Background: The Schall Law Firm reminds investors of a class action lawsuit against Apollo Global Management, Inc. (NYSE:APO) for violations of §§10(b) and 20(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, covering the period from May 10, 2021, to February 21, 2026.
- False Statement Allegations: The complaint alleges that Apollo made false and misleading statements throughout the class period, claiming no business dealings with Jeffrey Epstein, despite regular contact between the company's leadership and Epstein, which could severely harm its reputation.
- Investor Losses: Following the revelation of Apollo's true connections, investors suffered damages, prompting the Schall Law Firm to encourage affected investors to reach out before May 1, 2026, to participate in the lawsuit and seek recovery.
- Legal Status: The class action has not yet been certified, meaning investors are not represented by an attorney until certification occurs, and those who choose not to act will remain absent class members.
See More
Blue Owl Capital Shares Drop Amid Redemption Limits Announcement
- Redemption Limit Announcement: Blue Owl Credit Income Corp. informed shareholders that redemptions in its private credit and technology-focused funds will be capped at 5%, following withdrawal requests totaling 21.9% and 40.7%, respectively.
- Stock Price Reaction: Shares of Blue Owl Capital fell 7%, or 59 cents, to $8.13 in morning trading, indicating a negative market response and concerns over liquidity risks associated with the redemption limits.
- Industry Impact: Other alternative asset management stocks, including Ares Management, KKR, Apollo Global, and Blackstone, also experienced declines, reflecting a broader loss of confidence in the sector following Blue Owl's announcement.
- Market Sentiment: This situation has raised investor concerns regarding the liquidity status of Blue Owl Capital and its funds, potentially leading to a decrease in investor trust and adversely affecting its market performance.
See More
Apollo Global Management Estimates Q1 Investment Income
- Investment Income Estimate: Apollo Global Management estimates its Q1 pre-tax alternative net investment income at approximately $205 million, translating to an annualized return of about 6%, indicating stable performance in alternative investments but falling short of market expectations.
- Athene Investment Returns: Apollo estimates that Athene's annualized return on investments in a pooled investment vehicle is around 7%, suggesting strong performance for the majority of its alternative investment portfolio, although this is a decline from the 10% return reported in Q4 2025.
- Other Investment Returns: The annualized return on Athene's other alternative investments, including retirement services platforms, stands at 3%, highlighting the need for a diversified investment strategy to mitigate challenges posed by market volatility.
- Market Reaction: Apollo's shares fell by 5.22% to $104.50 in pre-market trading on Thursday, reflecting investor concerns over the Q1 income estimate, which could impact future capital inflows and market confidence.
See More
Apollo Global Management Faces Securities Class Action Lawsuit
- Deadline for Claims: ClaimsFiler reminds investors that those who purchased or acquired Apollo Global Management (NYSE:APO) securities between May 10, 2021, and February 21, 2026, must file lead plaintiff applications by May 1, 2026, or risk losing their opportunity to claim damages.
- Legal Allegations: Apollo and certain executives are accused of failing to disclose material information during the class period, violating federal securities laws, including frequent communications with Jeffrey Epstein, which harmed the company's reputation and investor confidence.
- Impact of False Statements: The lawsuit alleges that Apollo's claims of never doing business with Epstein were false, potentially leading investors to misjudge the company's future prospects and operations due to the misleading nature of the statements made.
- Case Details: The case is titled Feldman v. Apollo Global Management, Inc., Case No. 26-cv-01692, and investors can visit ClaimsFiler for more information and legal consultation options to protect their rights.
See More
Apollo Global Management Faces Securities Class Action Lawsuit
- Lawsuit Background: Hagens Berman has filed a securities class action against Apollo Global Management (NYSE:APO), representing investors who purchased securities between May 10, 2021, and February 21, 2026, alleging that executives made materially false statements regarding ties to Jeffrey Epstein.
- Investor Losses: The lawsuit claims Apollo's leadership misled the public by asserting that the firm “never did any business” with Epstein, a narrative that began to unravel in early 2026, leading to significant losses for investors and urging affected parties to apply as Lead Plaintiff by May 1, 2026.
- Investigation Developments: Reed Kathrein, a partner at Hagens Berman, noted that recent investigative reports suggest a deeper professional entanglement involving current CEO Marc Rowan, exacerbating the trust crisis surrounding Apollo.
- Whistleblower Program: The lawsuit encourages individuals with non-public information to utilize the SEC Whistleblower program, where providing original information may yield rewards of up to 30% of any successful recovery, highlighting the importance of transparency and corporate accountability.
See More
Apollo Global Management Faces Class Action Lawsuit
- Lawsuit Background: Bronstein, Gewirtz & Grossman LLC has filed a class action lawsuit against Apollo Global Management and certain executives, alleging violations of federal securities laws from May 10, 2021, to February 21, 2026, seeking damages for investors.
- False Statement Allegations: The complaint claims that Apollo's executives frequently communicated with Jeffrey Epstein in the 2010s, contradicting the company's assertions of no business ties with Epstein, thereby damaging its reputation significantly.
- Investor Losses: As the true details emerged, investors reportedly suffered losses, and the lawsuit urges affected investors to apply by May 1, 2026, to be appointed as lead plaintiffs to participate in any recovery.
- Law Firm's Strength: Bronstein, Gewirtz & Grossman operates on a contingency fee basis, representing investors in securities fraud class actions and has successfully recovered hundreds of millions for investors nationwide, showcasing its expertise and track record in this field.
See More
Class Action Lawsuit Reminder Against Apollo Global Management, Inc.
- Lawsuit Background: The Schall Law Firm reminds investors of a class action lawsuit against Apollo Global Management, Inc. (NYSE:APO) for violations of §§10(b) and 20(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, covering the period from May 10, 2021, to February 21, 2026.
- False Statement Allegations: The complaint alleges that Apollo made false and misleading statements throughout the class period, claiming no business dealings with Jeffrey Epstein, despite regular contact between the company's leadership and Epstein, which could severely harm its reputation.
- Investor Losses: Following the revelation of Apollo's true connections, investors suffered damages, prompting the Schall Law Firm to encourage affected investors to reach out before May 1, 2026, to participate in the lawsuit and seek recovery.
- Legal Status: The class action has not yet been certified, meaning investors are not represented by an attorney until certification occurs, and those who choose not to act will remain absent class members.
See More
Blue Owl Capital Shares Drop Amid Redemption Limits Announcement
- Redemption Limit Announcement: Blue Owl Credit Income Corp. informed shareholders that redemptions in its private credit and technology-focused funds will be capped at 5%, following withdrawal requests totaling 21.9% and 40.7%, respectively.
- Stock Price Reaction: Shares of Blue Owl Capital fell 7%, or 59 cents, to $8.13 in morning trading, indicating a negative market response and concerns over liquidity risks associated with the redemption limits.
- Industry Impact: Other alternative asset management stocks, including Ares Management, KKR, Apollo Global, and Blackstone, also experienced declines, reflecting a broader loss of confidence in the sector following Blue Owl's announcement.
- Market Sentiment: This situation has raised investor concerns regarding the liquidity status of Blue Owl Capital and its funds, potentially leading to a decrease in investor trust and adversely affecting its market performance.
See More
