AI Disruption Creates Opportunities for Stock Selectors.
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 20 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy PLTR?
Source: Barron's
Efficient Markets Theory: Burton Malkiel's 1973 book, "A Random Walk Down Wall Street," introduced the concept of efficient markets, suggesting that stock prices reflect all available information.
Random Selection vs. Expertise: Malkiel famously argued that a "blindfolded monkey" could randomly select stocks and achieve returns comparable to those of professional financial experts.
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Analyst Views on PLTR
Wall Street analysts forecast PLTR stock price to rise
17 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
10 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 135.380
Low
50.00
Averages
192.88
High
255.00
Current: 135.380
Low
50.00
Averages
192.88
High
255.00
About PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc. is engaged in building software to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations. The Company has built four principal software platforms, including Palantir Gotham (Gotham), Palantir Foundry (Foundry), Palantir Apollo (Apollo), and Palantir Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP). Apollo is a cloud-agnostic, single control layer that coordinates ongoing delivery of new features, security updates, and platform configurations, helping to ensure the continuous operation of critical systems. Gotham enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants. Foundry transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data. AIP enables responsible artificial intelligence (AI)-advantage across the enterprise by using primary, core components built to effectively activate large language models and other AI within any organization.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Stock Growth: Palantir's shares have surged 1,200% over the past three years, driven by consistent earnings growth and positive outlook on demand, attracting early investors' interest.
- Valuation Concerns: Despite the impressive stock rise, high valuation has caused some investors to worry, leading to a 25% decline in stock price this year, reflecting market caution regarding future demand.
- Commercial Customer Expansion: Palantir has increased its U.S. commercial customer base from under 20 five years ago to over 500 today, with the latest quarter's U.S. commercial contract value exceeding $1.3 billion, marking a 67% year-over-year increase, showcasing its successful business transformation.
- AI Platform Driving Growth: The launch of Palantir's Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) in 2023 provides customers with a fast and cost-effective way to implement AI, further boosting revenue growth and enhancing market competitiveness.
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- Agreement Extension: On February 10, Palantir Technologies Inc. announced the extension of its multi-year agreement with Airbus to further enhance the Skywise civil aviation data platform, which improves aircraft design and efficiency while providing ongoing technological support amid increasing innovation and competitiveness demands in the aerospace sector.
- Performance Surge: Recent reports indicate that Palantir's revenue increased by 70% year-over-year in Q4, with operating income surging approximately 2.1 times, showcasing the company's robust growth momentum, and analysts predict that this growth will persist and accelerate, solidifying its competitive position in the software industry.
- Market Outlook: The Skywise platform not only enhances airline operational performance but also delivers secure, AI-enabled capabilities that improve efficiency across manufacturing, supply chain, maintenance, and flight operations, highlighting its strategic significance in the aviation sector.
- Investment Potential: While Palantir is viewed as a promising investment, analysts suggest that certain AI stocks may offer greater upside potential and lower downside risk, urging investors to carefully assess market dynamics.
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- Surging Market Demand: As global tensions rise, governments are increasing investments in defenses against low-cost drones and advanced missile systems, with the global military radar market projected to exceed $50 billion in the coming years, highlighting strong investment potential in AI-driven systems as one of the fastest-growing segments.
- VisionWave's New System Development: VisionWave Holdings Inc. has announced the initiation of early-stage architecture and feasibility work on an AI-controlled intelligent radar system designed to enhance radar survivability and continuity of sensing through a distributed mesh decoy architecture, which, if successful, will significantly boost its market competitiveness.
- Technological Innovation and Advantages: The system is designed to be modular, featuring a fusion and orchestration component, distributed mesh units, and an AI control layer that adapts in real-time to environmental changes, thereby enhancing the system's robustness and flexibility to maintain effective operational capabilities in complex battlefield environments.
- Intellectual Property Strategy: VisionWave is advancing an intellectual property strategy to protect key architectural elements of the system, including distributed-node role definitions and AI-supervised network behavior policies, ensuring its technological advantages remain competitive in the market.
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- Stock Performance: At the start of 2026, Microsoft has seen a nearly 20% decline while Palantir has dropped over 25%, contrasting sharply with their strong investment performance in recent years, indicating a waning market confidence in both stocks.
- Analyst Price Targets: Microsoft's average price target stands at $596, representing a 49% upside from its current price of $400, while Palantir's target is $190, suggesting a 46% upside from its current $130 price, indicating similar investment attractiveness for both.
- Market Sentiment Discrepancy: While analysts are nearly unanimously bullish on Microsoft with a lowest target of $392 close to its current trading price, Palantir shows significant divergence with a low target of $70, highlighting substantial downside risk and reflecting differing market opinions on its valuation.
- Valuation vs. Growth: Palantir trades at a forward P/E ratio of about 100, compared to Microsoft's 24, and despite Palantir's impressive 70% annual growth rate, sustaining such high growth poses challenges, prompting investors to carefully consider whether paying a fourfold premium is justified.
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- Nvidia Outlook Positive: Oppenheimer reiterates its outperform rating on Nvidia, anticipating sustained outsized growth in high-performance gaming, datacenter/AI, and autonomous driving, indicating strong market demand and future profitability potential.
- CIBC Rating Upgrade: Barclays upgrades CIBC from underweight to overweight, highlighting the bank's progress over the past two years with ROE expansion and consistent earnings performance, suggesting significant growth potential and investment appeal in the Canadian market.
- Credo Technology Buy Rating: Goldman Sachs initiates coverage of Credo Technology with a buy rating and a 12-month price target of $165, indicating a favorable risk/reward profile and confidence in the company's future growth.
- Chewy Rating Upgrade: Raymond James upgrades Chewy from market perform to outperform, noting an attractive EV/EBITDA of approximately 8x, combined with topline and margin opportunities in 2026, highlighting the stock's appeal.
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- Ad Campaign Support: The Jobs and Democracy PAC, aligned with the Democratic Party, is launching a six-figure ad campaign to support Alex Bores in New York's 12th congressional district, where Bores is a key proponent of the RAISE Act, which mandates large AI developers to publish safety protocols and report serious misuse of their technologies.
- Competitive Primary: Bores faces a crowded field in the Democratic primary, and given the district's demographics, the winner of this primary is likely to secure the general election, making AI regulation a pivotal issue for voters.
- Bipartisan Backing: The Jobs and Democracy PAC is part of a larger bipartisan initiative led by former lawmakers Brad Carson and Chris Stewart to support candidates advocating for increased AI regulation, recently bolstered by a $20 million donation from Anthropic.
- Regulatory Debate Intensifies: Congressional discussions on AI regulation are centered around whether to temporarily ban states from implementing certain AI laws to prevent a patchwork of regulations, with proponents arguing it could slow AI development, although the proposal has failed to gain bipartisan support.
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