AerCap Q4 Earnings Preview: Analysts Expect Growth
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
0mins
Should l Buy AER?
Source: Benzinga
- Earnings Release Announcement: AerCap Holdings N.V. is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings before the market opens on February 6, with analysts projecting earnings per share of $3.40, an increase from $3.31 in the previous year, indicating sustained profitability improvements.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: According to Benzinga Pro, the consensus estimate for AerCap's quarterly revenue is $2.12 billion, up from $2.07 billion a year earlier, reflecting the company's robust performance in the aviation leasing market.
- New Aircraft Agreements: On January 13, AerCap signed purchase and leaseback agreements with Virgin Atlantic for six new Airbus A330NEO aircraft, which will enhance its fleet modernization and operational efficiency, thereby strengthening its competitive position in the market.
- Stock Price Increase: AerCap shares rose 0.6% to close at $144.00 on the latest trading day, reflecting market optimism regarding the upcoming earnings report, which may drive further stock price appreciation.
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Analyst Views on AER
Wall Street analysts forecast AER stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AER is 153.71 USD with a low forecast of 141.00 USD and a high forecast of 162.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 143.170
Low
141.00
Averages
153.71
High
162.00
Current: 143.170
Low
141.00
Averages
153.71
High
162.00
About AER
AerCap Holdings N.V. is an Ireland-based company, which is primarily engaged in aviation leasing. The Company provides a range of assets for lease, including narrowbody and widebody aircraft, regional jets, freighters, engines and helicopters. Its portfolio consists of 3,536 aircraft, engines, including engines owned and managed by its Shannon Engine Support Ltd (SES) joint venture, and helicopters that were owned, on order or managed. In addition, it offers aftermarket components, equipment and services through its materials business and the lease, purchase and financing of spare engines. Its passenger aircraft portfolio includes Airbus A220 Family, Airbus A320neo Family, Airbus A320 Family, Airbus A330neo Family, Airbus A330neo Family, Airbus A350, Boeing 737 MAX, Boeing 737NG, Boeing 777-200ER/ 300-ER, Boeing 787 and Embraer E190/E195/E2. Its freight aircraft portfolio includes Airbus A321, Boeing 737 and Boeing 767/777.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
AerCap Q4 Earnings Announcement Scheduled
- Earnings Release Date: AerCap is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 6 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $3.45, reflecting a 4.2% year-over-year growth, indicating stable profitability that could positively impact stock prices.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $2.12 billion, up 2.4% year-over-year, showcasing sustained demand in the aviation leasing market, and exceeding this estimate could further bolster investor confidence.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, AerCap has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, a strong performance record that may attract more investor interest and enhance market expectations for future performance.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen five upward revisions and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have experienced one upward and one downward revision, indicating analysts' optimistic outlook on AerCap's future performance, which could influence shareholder investment decisions.
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AerCap Q4 Earnings Preview: Analysts Expect Growth
- Earnings Release Announcement: AerCap Holdings N.V. is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings before the market opens on February 6, with analysts projecting earnings per share of $3.40, an increase from $3.31 in the previous year, indicating sustained profitability improvements.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: According to Benzinga Pro, the consensus estimate for AerCap's quarterly revenue is $2.12 billion, up from $2.07 billion a year earlier, reflecting the company's robust performance in the aviation leasing market.
- New Aircraft Agreements: On January 13, AerCap signed purchase and leaseback agreements with Virgin Atlantic for six new Airbus A330NEO aircraft, which will enhance its fleet modernization and operational efficiency, thereby strengthening its competitive position in the market.
- Stock Price Increase: AerCap shares rose 0.6% to close at $144.00 on the latest trading day, reflecting market optimism regarding the upcoming earnings report, which may drive further stock price appreciation.
See More
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- Cboe Global Markets Performance: The forecasted EPS is $2.93, reflecting a significant 39.52% increase from the previous year, indicating a strong recovery and improved profitability that may attract more investor interest.
- Biogen Earnings Warning: The anticipated EPS is $1.60, a substantial 53.49% decrease compared to last year, highlighting significant challenges the company faces, which could impact market confidence and stock performance.
- AerCap's Stability: The expected EPS is $3.31, unchanged from last year, indicating the company's resilience in the transportation sector, maintaining profitability despite industry fluctuations.
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- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $2.12 billion, up 2.4% year-over-year, showcasing sustained demand in the aviation leasing market, and exceeding this estimate could further bolster investor confidence.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, AerCap has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, a strong performance record that may attract more investor interest and enhance market expectations for future performance.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen five upward revisions and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have experienced one upward and one downward revision, indicating analysts' optimistic outlook on AerCap's future performance, which could influence shareholder investment decisions.
See More
AerCap Q4 Earnings Preview: Analysts Expect Growth
- Earnings Release Announcement: AerCap Holdings N.V. is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings before the market opens on February 6, with analysts projecting earnings per share of $3.40, an increase from $3.31 in the previous year, indicating sustained profitability improvements.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: According to Benzinga Pro, the consensus estimate for AerCap's quarterly revenue is $2.12 billion, up from $2.07 billion a year earlier, reflecting the company's robust performance in the aviation leasing market.
- New Aircraft Agreements: On January 13, AerCap signed purchase and leaseback agreements with Virgin Atlantic for six new Airbus A330NEO aircraft, which will enhance its fleet modernization and operational efficiency, thereby strengthening its competitive position in the market.
- Stock Price Increase: AerCap shares rose 0.6% to close at $144.00 on the latest trading day, reflecting market optimism regarding the upcoming earnings report, which may drive further stock price appreciation.
See More
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- Philip Morris Earnings Outlook: The expected EPS for Q4 2025 is $1.67, representing a 7.74% increase year-over-year, showcasing the company's ability to consistently exceed market expectations and enhancing its competitive edge in the tobacco industry.
- Cboe Global Markets Performance: The forecasted EPS is $2.93, reflecting a significant 39.52% increase from the previous year, indicating a strong recovery and improved profitability that may attract more investor interest.
- Biogen Earnings Warning: The anticipated EPS is $1.60, a substantial 53.49% decrease compared to last year, highlighting significant challenges the company faces, which could impact market confidence and stock performance.
- AerCap's Stability: The expected EPS is $3.31, unchanged from last year, indicating the company's resilience in the transportation sector, maintaining profitability despite industry fluctuations.
See More
Oakmark U.S. Large Value Strategy Outperforms Benchmark in Q4
- Return on Investment: The Oakmark U.S. Large Value Strategy achieved a net return of 4.79% in Q4, significantly outperforming the Russell 1000 Value Index's 3.81%, indicating the effectiveness of its investment strategy and market adaptability.
- New Portfolio Positions: During this period, the fund initiated positions in AerCap Holdings, the world's largest aircraft lessor, Amrize, a producer of building materials and construction solutions, and CDW Corporation, an IT solutions company, reflecting optimism about these sectors' prospects.
- Position Reduction Strategy: Concurrently, the fund eliminated its holdings in Bank of New York Mellon and Magna, indicating a cautious outlook on these companies' future performance amid changing market conditions.
- Market Outlook Analysis: Despite macroeconomic challenges, Bank of New York Mellon's Q4 earnings report demonstrated strong business performance; however, its shares are still considered pricey, suggesting that investors should carefully assess its investment value.
See More
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- Performance Overview: The Oakmark Fund (Investor Class) achieved a 4.78% return in Q4 2025, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 Index's 2.66%, demonstrating the effectiveness of its investment strategy and market adaptability.
- New Investment Positions: In Q4 2025, the fund added new positions in AerCap (NYSE:AER), Amrize (NYSE:AMRZ), and CDW (NASDAQ:CDW), indicating a positive outlook on the aviation leasing and technology services sectors, aiming to enhance overall returns through diversified investments.
- Exit Strategy Adjustments: The fund exited its positions in Bank of New York Mellon (BK) and Magna (MGA) during Q4 2025, reflecting its keen insight into market dynamics and the ability to flexibly adjust its portfolio to optimize risk-return profiles.
- Market Commentary Insights: The Oakmark Fund's Q4 2025 commentary reveals a profound understanding of the U.S. equity market, providing valuable insights for investors by combining market trends with portfolio performance, thereby enhancing trust among its investor base.
See More
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- Price Fluctuation Analysis: The IEFA ETF has a 52-week low of $66.95 and a high of $92.82, with the last trade at $92.58, indicating significant price movement over the past year that reflects market stability and investor confidence in its assets.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the current share price to the 200-day moving average provides investors with valuable insights for technical analysis, aiding in the assessment of market trends and potential buy or sell opportunities.
- ETF Unit Trading Mechanism: ETFs trade like stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting liquidity and market performance of the ETF.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in ETF units focuses on notable inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), which can affect the underlying asset allocation of the ETF and subsequently its overall performance.
See More
