Aemetis Secures Approval for MVR Project Expected to Boost Cash Flow by $32 Million Annually
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 02 2025
0mins
Source: Newsfilter
- Project Approval: Aemetis has received construction permits for the mechanical vapor recompression (MVR) project at its 65 million gallon ethanol plant in Keyes, California, marking a significant advancement in energy efficiency for the company.
- Cash Flow Increase: The project is expected to generate an additional $32 million in annual cash flow from operations after its completion in mid-2026, primarily through energy cost reductions and increased income from Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) credits.
- Carbon Intensity Reduction: The MVR system is projected to reduce natural gas usage at the Keyes plant by approximately 80% and achieve a double-digit reduction in the carbon intensity of the fuel ethanol, thereby increasing the number of LCFS credits generated and enhancing the company's competitive position in the market.
- Strategic Investment: The project has secured approximately $19.7 million in grants and tax credits from the California Energy Commission, Pacific Gas and Electric, and the U.S. Internal Revenue Service, reflecting Aemetis' long-term commitment to renewable fuels and contributing to the creation of high-paying jobs in rural areas.
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Analyst Views on AMTX
Wall Street analysts forecast AMTX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMTX is 20.00 USD with a low forecast of 20.00 USD and a high forecast of 20.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
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1 Buy
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Moderate Buy
Current: 1.680
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20.00
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20.00
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Current: 1.680
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20.00
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20.00
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20.00
About AMTX
Aemetis, Inc. is a renewable natural gas and renewable fuels company. The Company focused on the operation, acquisition, development and commercialization of technologies that lower fuel costs and reduce emissions. The Company’s segments include California Ethanol, California Dairy Renewable Natural Gas, and India Biodiesel. The California Ethanol segment consists of an approximately 65 million gallons per year ethanol plant in Keyes, California. The California Dairy Renewable Natural Gas segment is engaged in the production and sale of renewable natural gas and associated environmental attributes, consisting of anaerobic digesters located at diaries, a 36-mile biogas collection pipeline, and a biogas upgrading hub and pipeline interconnect that produces Renewable Natural Gas from the biogas. The India Biodiesel segment includes a biodiesel production plant in Kakinada, India with a production capacity of over 80 million gallons per year and administrative offices in Hyderabad, India.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Aemetis Sells $17 Million in Federal Clean Energy Tax Credits
- Tax Credit Sale: Aemetis' subsidiary Aemetis Biogas LLC successfully sold $17 million in federal clean energy tax credits, including $12 million from an Investment Tax Credit and $5 million from a Production Tax Credit, which is expected to generate approximately $15 million in net cash flow, significantly enhancing the company's financial flexibility.
- New Cash Flow Source: This transaction marks the company's first sale of a Section 45Z Clean Fuel Production Credit from dairy RNG, with expectations for additional similar transactions in the future, further driving cash flow growth from renewable natural gas production and enhancing the company's market competitiveness.
- Future Outlook: Aemetis anticipates that future 45Z tax credits will increase significantly due to rising production volumes and enhanced credit values mandated by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, further solidifying the company's financial foundation and supporting production expansion.
- Strategic Execution: The company has completed $95 million in Investment Tax Credit transactions and is executing its tax credit monetization strategy with today's first Section 45Z sale, which is expected to become a vital source of operating cash flow to support production expansion and new job creation.

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Wednesday's Underperformers: Metals & Mining, Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Stocks
Market Performance: Oil and gas refining and marketing shares are down approximately 0.8% on Wednesday, with Delek US Holdings and Aemetis leading the decline at 3.9% and 3.6%, respectively.
Sector Laggards: The metals and mining sector, along with oil and gas refining and marketing stocks, are identified as laggards in the market on this day.
Author's Perspective: The views expressed in the article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Nasdaq, Inc.
Video Content: A video segment highlights the sector laggards, specifically focusing on the performance of metals and mining, as well as oil and gas refining and marketing stocks.

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