ADT Acquires Origin Wireless for $170 Million
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy ADT?
ADT Inc. has acquired Origin Wireless, bringing Origin's AI sensing platform and related intellectual property into the ADT ecosystem. Origin AI's sensing technology enables the home to better understand classification of motion and human detection without cameras, audio, or wearable devices. Once integrated into ADT's platform, these capabilities are expected to enable new customer use cases and safety enhancements by providing deeper understanding of presence, occupancy, motion, and related activity within the home. The acquisition of Origin includes a rich portfolio of more than 200 early-priority global patents, providing a core intelligence layer designed to power future security and smart home capabilities, including applications supporting aging in place. By adding real-time understanding of presence and activity within the home and analyzing any anomalies, this technology adds critical context with the potential to reduce false alarms, improve municipal compliance, and enhance coordination with first responders. AI sensing also enables smarter automation and personalization across the connected home, with potential applications that range from occupancy-based comfort settings to aging in place and health solutions. ADT and Origin are building a foundation for the next phase of intelligent home protection, to transform reactive alerts to real-time understanding of what's happening inside the home, improving accuracy, safety, and customer privacy. ADT expects to begin commercializing new offerings that incorporate Origin's AI sensing technology into the ADT ecosystem in 2027. The purchase price for the transaction was $170 million in cash, subject to customary purchase price adjustments.
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Analyst Views on ADT
Wall Street analysts forecast ADT stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 8.110
Low
9.00
Averages
9.00
High
9.00
Current: 8.110
Low
9.00
Averages
9.00
High
9.00
About ADT
ADT Inc. provides safe, smart and sustainable solutions for people, homes and small businesses. The Company's core security offerings include burglar and life safety alarms, smart security cameras, smart home automation systems, and video surveillance systems. Its security offerings are designed to detect intrusion; control access; sense movement, smoke, fire, carbon monoxide, leaks, temperature, and other environmental conditions and hazards; and address personal medical emergencies, such as injuries or unanticipated falls. It offers its customers routine maintenance and the installation of upgraded or additional equipment. Additionally, its personal emergency response system products and services utilize its security monitoring infrastructure to provide customers with solutions that help to sustain independent living, detect when a fall occurs, and provide protection while on the go with geolocation capability.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Revenue Estimate: According to Benzinga Pro, ADT's quarterly revenue is projected to be $1.3 billion, up from $1.26 billion last year, reflecting the company's robust performance in the market.
- Dividend Yield: Currently, ADT has an annual dividend yield of 2.71%, with a quarterly dividend of 5.5 cents, totaling 22 cents annually, which has attracted investor interest in its potential income growth.
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- Webcast Availability: Investors can listen to the live webcast of the conference call through ADT's investor relations website, with a replay available within 24 hours post-event, ensuring access to information for those unable to participate live.
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- Earnings Forecast: ADT is set to release its Q4 earnings before the market opens on March 2, with analysts expecting earnings of 22 cents per share, an increase from 20 cents in the previous year, indicating ongoing improvement in profitability.
- Revenue Estimate: According to Benzinga Pro, ADT's quarterly revenue is projected to be $1.3 billion, up from $1.26 billion last year, reflecting the company's robust performance in the market.
- Dividend Yield: Currently, ADT has an annual dividend yield of 2.71%, with a quarterly dividend of 5.5 cents, totaling 22 cents annually, which has attracted investor interest in its potential income growth.
- Investment Return Analysis: To achieve a monthly dividend income of $500, an investor would need approximately 27,273 shares of ADT, equating to an investment of about $221,184, highlighting the stock's investment value and its impact on income generation.
See More
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- Earnings Announcement Schedule: ADT is set to release its Q4 earnings on March 2 before market open, with consensus EPS estimates at $0.22, reflecting a 10% year-over-year increase, and revenue expectations at $1.3 billion, indicating stable income generation capabilities.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, ADT has exceeded EPS estimates 100% of the time, showcasing its earnings stability, while revenue estimates have been surpassed 50% of the time, highlighting the company's competitive position in the market.
- Valuation and Market Reaction: Despite being viewed as an undervalued cash cow with significant institutional interest, the market continues to underestimate ADT's potential, reflecting investor caution regarding its future growth prospects.
- Strategic Partnership Agreement: ADT has signed a $30 million agreement with Origin AI and Verisure to scale AI-driven security solutions, a move that not only enhances the company's technological capabilities but also has the potential to drive future revenue growth.
See More
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- Agreement Value: The five-year renewable commercial agreement between ADT and Verisure is valued at $30 million, covering development services and a per-household activation fee, further solidifying both companies' leadership in the global residential security market.
- Technology Licensing Expansion: This agreement expands Verisure's rights to commercialize the AI sensing platform across Europe and Latin America, allowing for long-term use of specific AI sensing applications beyond the current agreement, enhancing competitive positioning.
- Exclusivity Rights: Key terms include defined exclusivity in professionally monitored security in Europe and Latin America, ensuring Verisure's market advantage in these regions while fostering ongoing collaboration in AI model performance enhancement.
- Data Collaboration: The collaboration will involve data sharing to enhance AI model performance and support development, indicating a strong commitment to technological innovation and market expansion between ADT and Verisure.
See More
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- Earnings Release Schedule: ADT Inc. will release its fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results before the market opens on March 2, 2026, providing investors with crucial financial data and future outlook.
- Conference Call Details: Following the earnings release, management will host a conference call at 10 a.m. ET to discuss the financial results and lead a Q&A session, enhancing interaction and transparency with investors.
- Webcast Availability: Investors can listen to the live webcast of the conference call through ADT's investor relations website, with a replay available within 24 hours post-event, ensuring access to information for those unable to participate live.
- Customer Service Commitment: As a leading provider of security and smart home solutions in the U.S., ADT is dedicated to enhancing customer trust in safety and connectivity through innovative offerings and premium customer experiences, further solidifying its market position.
See More
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- Strong Company Performance: CEO Risher highlighted record bookings, profits, and cash flow in the quarter, indicating robust financial health that may attract more investor interest.
- Future Strategic Focus: The company plans to invest heavily in autonomous vehicles, demonstrating foresight in technology innovation and market trends aimed at enhancing competitive positioning.
- Business Transformation: Lyft's evolution from a ride-hailing app to a fleet management company reflects its ability to diversify its business model and adapt to market changes, potentially creating new revenue streams.
- Investor Attention: As analysts closely monitor the balance between growth and profitability, Lyft's stock is likely to become a focal point for investors, influencing its market performance going forward.
See More
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- Index Inclusion Impact: ADT was officially added to the S&P SmallCap 600 Index before trading opened on February 9, 2026, which is expected to enhance its market visibility and potentially attract more institutional investors, thereby driving up its stock price.
- Market Underestimation: Despite being undervalued by the market, ADT's potential as a cash cow remains significant, with analysts believing the company is poised for higher profitability and shareholder returns in the future.
- Institutional Investment Dynamics: Recent increases in holdings by major institutional investors in ADT indicate confidence in the company's growth prospects, and such institutional behavior typically has a positive impact on stock prices.
- Quantitative Rating Analysis: According to Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating, ADT ranks poorly among mid-cap stocks, particularly in terms of dividend safety, prompting investors to monitor its financial health to assess long-term investment risks.
See More
