Upstart Holdings Inc. saw its stock price drop by 4.95%, hitting a 20-day low, as broader market indices like the Nasdaq-100 and S&P 500 also experienced declines of 1.07% and 0.51%, respectively.
Despite Upstart's promising growth potential highlighted in recent reports, including a 71% revenue increase in Q3 2025 and a significant expansion of its customer base, the stock is facing downward pressure. Analysts have noted that while the company is projected to achieve a profit of $2.38 per share in 2026, current market conditions and economic uncertainties are causing cautious sentiment among investors, leading to a decline in stock price.
The implications of this stock movement suggest that while Upstart has strong fundamentals and growth prospects, the current market environment is challenging. Investors may need to exercise patience as the company navigates through these economic headwinds.
Wall Street analysts forecast UPST stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for UPST is 56.73 USD with a low forecast of 20.00 USD and a high forecast of 80.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast UPST stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for UPST is 56.73 USD with a low forecast of 20.00 USD and a high forecast of 80.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Buy
4 Hold
2 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 43.165
Low
20.00
Averages
56.73
High
80.00
Current: 43.165
Low
20.00
Averages
56.73
High
80.00
Truist
Arvind Ramnani
Buy
initiated
$59
2026-01-06
Reason
Truist
Arvind Ramnani
Price Target
$59
AI Analysis
2026-01-06
initiated
Buy
Reason
Truist analyst Arvind Ramnani initiated coverage of Upstart with a Buy rating and $59 price target. From the company's inception, Upstart's core offering is anchored around GenAI, including its underwriting model, the analyst tells investors in a research note. While its model offers significant improvements to traditional credit models, it is still highly exposed to the credit cycle, and offers a levered way to play the U.S. easing rates and stable/improving consumer credit, Truist says.
Mizuho
Joseph Catanzaro
Outperform
initiated
$51
2025-12-17
Reason
Mizuho
Joseph Catanzaro
Price Target
$51
2025-12-17
initiated
Outperform
Reason
Mizuho analyst Joseph Catanzaro initiated coverage of Upstream Bio with an Outperform rating and $51 price target. The company's lead program verekitug is well positioned for a positive Phase II readout in asthma in Q1, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm projects $2.7B in risk-adjusted 2035 worldwide sales for verekitug and expects the positive Phase II data to drive share outperformance.
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LifeSci Capital
Outperform
initiated
$43
2025-12-02
Reason
LifeSci Capital
Price Target
$43
2025-12-02
initiated
Outperform
Reason
LifeSci Capital initiated coverage of Upstream Bio with an Outperform rating and $43 price target.
Mizuho
Dan Dolev
Outperform -> Outperform
downgrade
$86 -> $66
2025-11-10
Reason
Mizuho
Dan Dolev
Price Target
$86 -> $66
2025-11-10
downgrade
Outperform -> Outperform
Reason
Mizuho analyst Dan Dolev lowered the firm's price target on Upstart to $66 from $86 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model post the Q3 report.
About UPST
Upstart Holdings, Inc. is an artificial intelligence (AI) lending marketplace. The Company’s platform includes personal loans, automotive retail and refinance loans, home equity lines of credit (HELOCs), and small dollar loans. It applies artificial intelligence models and cloud applications to the process of underwriting consumer credit. Its AI marketplace connects consumers with its lending partner. Its consumers can access Upstart-powered loans via Upstart.com, through a lender-branded product on its lending partners’ own websites, and through auto dealerships that use its Upstart Auto Retail software. Its platform enables lenders provide a product their customers want, rather than letting customers seek loans from competitors. Its cloud-based software platform incorporates technologies and software development approaches to allow for development of new features, such as cloud-native technologies, data integrity and security, and configurable multi-tenant architecture, and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
