UBS Raises Q1 Earnings Estimate for Canadian National Railway
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 29 2025
0mins
Should l Buy CNI?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Canadian National Railway's stock rose by 3.36% and reached a 20-day high amid positive market conditions. UBS analyst Thomas Wadewitz upgraded the Q1 EPS estimate to C$1.82, reflecting better-than-expected volume trends in grain, petroleum, and intermodal transport. This upgrade, along with disciplined cost control, positions CN favorably in a high diesel price environment, contributing to strong market confidence and a consensus Buy rating from analysts.
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Analyst Views on CNI
Wall Street analysts forecast CNI stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
9 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 107.660
Low
105.00
Averages
113.56
High
136.77
Current: 107.660
Low
105.00
Averages
113.56
High
136.77
About CNI
Canadian National Railway Company is a transportation and logistics company. The Company's services include rail, intermodal, trucking, and supply chain services. The Company’s rail services offer equipment, customs brokerage services, transloading and distribution, private car storage and others. Its intermodal container services help shippers expand their door-to-door market reach with about 23 strategically placed intermodal terminals. Its intermodal services include temperature-controlled cargo, port partnerships, logistics park, custom brokerage, transloading and distribution, and others. Its trucking services include door-to-door service, import and export dray, interline services, and specialized services. Its supply chain services offer comprehensive services across a range of industries and product types. The Company transports more than 300 million tons of natural resources, manufactured products, and finished goods throughout North America every year.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Canadian National Railway Announcement: Canadian National Railway (CNR) has raised its target price to $122 from $117.
- Market Impact: This adjustment reflects a positive outlook for the company's performance and potential growth in the market.
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- Price Increase Announcement: Canadian National Railway has raised its target price to $123 from $115.
- Market Impact: This adjustment reflects the company's positive outlook and potential growth in the railway sector.
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- Earnings Estimate Upgrade: UBS analyst Thomas Wadewitz raised the Q1 EPS estimate for Canadian National Railway (CNI) to C$1.82, approximately 2% above consensus, reflecting better-than-expected volume trends in grain, petroleum, and intermodal transport.
- Cost Control Advantage: Despite management's projection of a fuel-lag impact of C$0.03 to C$0.04 per share, disciplined cost control allows CN to maintain a flat operating ratio of 63.9%, demonstrating resilience in a high diesel price environment.
- Strong Market Performance: Year-to-date, Canadian National Railway's stock has risen by 5.6% and offers a 2.5% dividend yield to new investors, highlighting its attractiveness and stability within the rail sector.
- Analyst Consensus Buy: Both Wall Street and Seeking Alpha analysts have a consensus Buy rating on Canadian National Railway, indicating strong market confidence in its future performance and expected solid follow-through.
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- Community Commitment: CN has announced a $750,000 donation over three years to support three organizations in Chicago's South Suburbs, aimed at assisting individuals and families at risk of homelessness, thereby enhancing the company's social responsibility within the community.
- Funding Allocation Details: Each recipient organization will receive $250,000 to expand their services and programs, directly aiding hundreds of families in avoiding reliance on overcrowded emergency shelters, thus improving community safety and stability.
- Partner Feedback: Organizations such as Anew, Respond Now, and South Suburban PADS expressed gratitude for CN's support, emphasizing that this funding will enable them to provide more effective homelessness prevention services, promoting safety and independence for families.
- Long-term Impact Outlook: CN's donation is not only a response to the current crisis but also a first step in deepening its commitment to the community through its Railroaders for Change initiative, aiming to build safer, stronger communities where more people can access the support they need.
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- Record Grain Movement: Canadian National Railway shipped over 2.67 million metric tons of grain in February, setting a new record that surpassed the previous high from 2021, reflecting the company's strong performance in grain logistics and solidifying its market leadership.
- Sustained Growth Momentum: Following a robust January, the impressive February results indicate ongoing growth in the company's transportation business, enhancing investor confidence in its future performance and profitability.
- Commemorative Locomotives Unveiled: On March 4, CN introduced two specially painted locomotives symbolizing independence and innovation, which will operate across its U.S. rail network until 2026, enhancing brand visibility and customer engagement.
- Strategic Network Expansion: Operating a rail network of approximately 20,000 route miles across Canada and the U.S., CN transports a diverse range of commodities, showcasing its competitive strength in North American logistics, although analysts suggest certain AI stocks may offer greater investment upside.
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