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CNI Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Canadian National Railway Co (CNI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
106.580
1 Day change
0.15%
52 Week Range
113.080
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Canadian National Railway Co (CNI) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. While the company has shown solid financial performance in its latest quarter, the technical indicators and market sentiment do not suggest an immediate buying opportunity. The lack of significant positive catalysts and mixed analyst ratings further support a hold recommendation.

Technical Analysis

The stock's MACD is negatively expanding, RSI is neutral at 47.241, and the price is below the key pivot level of 110.674. While moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), the overall technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish trend.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue up 2.43% YoY, net income up 8.90% YoY, and EPS up 11.54% YoY. Analysts like Jefferies and RBC Capital are optimistic about the company's infrastructure and valuation potential.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Muted guidance for 2026, economic uncertainty, and lack of immediate growth catalysts. Analysts like UBS and Stephens have downgraded or lowered price targets, citing limited earnings growth visibility and muted volume trends.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, the company reported revenue of $4.464 billion (+2.43% YoY), net income of $1.248 billion (+8.90% YoY), EPS of $2.03 (+11.54% YoY), and a gross margin of 66.76% (+4.28% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Mixed ratings with some optimism about long-term infrastructure value (Jefferies, RBC Capital) but concerns over muted growth and economic uncertainty (Stephens, UBS). Price targets range from $97 to $130, reflecting a lack of consensus.

Wall Street analysts forecast CNI stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CNI stock price to rise
9 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 106.420
sliders
Low
105
Averages
113.56
High
136.77
Current: 106.420
sliders
Low
105
Averages
113.56
High
136.77
BofA
Neutral
maintain
$105 -> $117
AI Analysis
2026-03-04
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$105 -> $117
AI Analysis
2026-03-04
maintain
Neutral
Reason
BofA raised the firm's price target on CN to $117 from $105 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets on Transportation - Railroads stocks under its coverage, the analyst tells investors. Operating performance remains strong and the firm sees several indicators signaling a potential inflection in the industrial economy.
Jefferies
Buy
upgrade
$115 -> $130
2026-03-02
Reason
Jefferies
Price Target
$115 -> $130
2026-03-02
upgrade
Buy
Reason
Jefferies raised the firm's price target on CN to $130 from $115 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. In an environment where investors are increasingly focused on business models vulnerable to AI-driven disruption, the firm views transportation physical networks as "core HALO exposures," or Heavy Assets with Low Obsolescence, where value is derived "not just from software or labor inputs, but from long-lived infrastructure that is capital intensive, regulated, and effectively impossible to rebuild from scratch," the analyst tells investors. Against this backdrop, the firm is raising price targets across its physical asset transportation stocks.
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