Morgan Stanley cuts Elastic NV target price significantly
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 21 2025
0mins
Should l Buy ESTC?
Source: TipRanks
Elastic NV's stock has dropped 5.66% and hit a 52-week low amid broader market declines, with the Nasdaq-100 down 1.34% and S&P 500 down 1.07%.
The core catalyst for this decline is Morgan Stanley's announcement of a target price reduction from $110 to $80, reflecting a more cautious outlook on the company's future performance. This significant cut in target price has contributed to negative sentiment surrounding the stock, especially in the context of a weak market environment.
As investors react to the lowered target price, Elastic NV may face continued pressure on its stock price, particularly as it navigates through a challenging market landscape.
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Analyst Views on ESTC
Wall Street analysts forecast ESTC stock price to rise
26 Analyst Rating
16 Buy
10 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 51.850
Low
75.00
Averages
101.14
High
130.00
Current: 51.850
Low
75.00
Averages
101.14
High
130.00
About ESTC
Elastic NV is a Netherlands-based data analytics company. The Company’s platform, which is available as both a hosted, managed service across public clouds as well as self-managed software, allows its customers to find insights from large amounts of data and take action. The Company offers three search-powered solutions - Enterprise Search, Observability, and Security - that are built into the platform, which is built on the Elastic Stack, a set of software products that ingest data from any source, in any format, and perform search, analysis, and visualization of that data. The Company helps organizations, their employees, and their customers find what they need, while keeping mission-critical applications running smoothly, and protecting against cyber threats. The Company generates revenue primarily from sales of subscriptions to its platform.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Purpose of Disclosure: The primary purpose of these filings is to inform investors about the holdings of major shareholders and their potential impact on corporate governance and strategic direction, thereby aiding market participants in making more informed investment decisions.
- Regulatory Requirements: Under U.S. securities law, any investor holding more than 5% must promptly file a 13D, ensuring that all market participants have access to relevant information and maintaining market fairness.
- Market Impact: The disclosure of 13D filings can influence stock prices and investor confidence, particularly when changes in major shareholder holdings may signal future strategic adjustments or potential acquisitions for the company.
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- Purpose of Disclosure: The primary purpose of these filings is to inform investors about the holdings of major shareholders and their potential impact on corporate governance and strategic direction, thereby aiding market participants in making more informed investment decisions.
- Regulatory Requirements: Under U.S. securities law, any investor holding more than 5% must promptly file a 13D, ensuring that all market participants have access to relevant information and maintaining market fairness.
- Market Impact: The disclosure of 13D filings can influence stock prices and investor confidence, particularly when changes in major shareholder holdings may signal future strategic adjustments or potential acquisitions for the company.
See More
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13D Filings Overview: The article discusses 13D filings with the SEC, which are required when an entity acquires more than 5% of a company's securities.
Reporting Requirements: Any changes in holdings or intentions must be reported through amended filings within a specified timeframe.
Timeframe of Disclosures: The material covers disclosures made from February 26 to March 4, 2026.
Source of Information: The data is sourced from VerityData, indicating its relevance and credibility in tracking these filings.
See More
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See More
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- New Position Disclosure: On February 13, 2026, Kettle Hill Capital Management disclosed acquiring 161,122 shares of RH, with an estimated transaction value of $28.87 million, reflecting confidence in the upscale home furnishings market.
- Asset Allocation Shift: This new position represents 6.4% of Kettle Hill's reportable U.S. equity assets, making it the fund's third-largest holding, indicating a strategic focus on the home furnishings sector.
- Market Performance Analysis: As of February 13, 2026, RH shares were priced at $205.06, down 46.1% over the past year and underperforming the S&P 500 by 57.9 percentage points, suggesting market caution regarding its future outlook.
- Financial Health Status: Despite the stock price decline, RH reported a 10% revenue increase and a 64% year-over-year rise in net income for the first nine months of fiscal 2025, demonstrating effective cost control and potentially providing a buying opportunity for investors.
See More
Kettle Hill Capital Management Acquires RH Shares
- New Investment Disclosure: Kettle Hill Capital Management disclosed a new position on February 13, 2026, acquiring 161,122 shares of RH, with an estimated trade value of $28.87 million, indicating confidence in the company.
- Asset Management Changes: This acquisition increased RH's share in Kettle Hill's reportable assets under management by 6.4%, reflecting a strategic positioning in the upscale home furnishings market.
- Financial Performance Highlights: In the first nine months of fiscal 2025, RH reported a 10% revenue increase and a net income of $96 million, which is a significant 64% year-over-year growth, showcasing effective cost and expense management.
- Market Outlook Analysis: Despite RH's P/E ratio of 37, its forward P/E of 20 suggests potential price recovery in the future, making Kettle Hill's investment a timely opportunity to capitalize on market recovery.
See More
Oppenheimer Lowers Elastic Price Target to $85 While Maintaining Outperform Rating
- Price Target Adjustment: Oppenheimer has lowered Elastic's price target from $100 to $85 while maintaining an Outperform rating, indicating a cautious outlook on the company's future performance.
- Strong Earnings Report: Elastic reported solid Q3 results and raised its FY26 guidance, reflecting broad-based demand and steady commitments and consumption, demonstrating the company's strong competitive position in the market.
- Conservative Q4 Guidance: Oppenheimer views Elastic's Q4 guidance as conservative, setting the stage for potential upside, suggesting that investors may anticipate better performance ahead.
- Market Reaction: Despite the price target reduction, analysts remain optimistic about Elastic's long-term growth potential, believing that its AI-driven growth can offset the slowing revenue momentum.
See More
